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Olimpia Milano vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-98
21-25 23-30 19-19 25-24
Position#11
Record16-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#6
Record17-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Unipol Forum
European cup2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Barcelona
22 Oct 2026
MIL81
BAR89
05 Mar 2026
MIL87
BAR84
27 Mar 2025
MIL88
BAR98
26 Jan 2024
MIL74
BAR70
07 Apr 2023
MIL84
BAR76
04 Nov 2021
MIL75
BAR70
19 Mar 2021
MIL56
BAR72
09 Jan 2019
MIL85
BAR90
26 Oct 2017
MIL78
BAR74
23 Feb 2017
MIL78
BAR83
23 Oct 2014
MIL63
BAR78
02 Apr 2014
MIL91
BAR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
46avg 80
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 80
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 80
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 80
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
78avg 80
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 80
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 80
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
17-23
17-21
15-20
18-19
31-23
19-19
18-19
25-20
9-18
25-25
21-23
19-24
18-29
19-23
20-24
23-29
20-24
19-15
28-12
23-24
25-21
20-19
14-16
14-19
24-23
22-17
19-14
18-22
19-26
30-28
12-16
24-19
24-21
20-22
21-25
16-31
25-23
22-24
26-18
166.6Avg total
81.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.086.1171.2-1.152%
Season at home (15)86.783.5170.2+3.160%
Season away (16)83.588.6172.1-5.144%
Last 10 (10)81.385.3166.6-4.050%
Last 5 (5)83.685.6169.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.888.0164.8-11.233%
vs Similar (16)82.882.2165.0+0.656%
vs Weaker (7)99.982.7182.6+17.1100%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
78avg 82
A27/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
102-79
102
79
+23
97avg 82
H02/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
104avg 82
A07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
87avg 82
H14/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
113-91
113
91
+22
114avg 82
A16/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 82
H21/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 82
H23/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
101-102
101
102
-1
94avg 82
H25/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
21-24
19-19
13-25
25-23
18-17
24-30
24-26
21-33
27-11
24-15
30-20
18-20
23-19
25-25
33-21
19-19
21-20
25-26
27-30
25-32
29-9
19-26
14-13
29-23
29-20
34-29
21-19
16-20
20-11
23-20
23-19
20-27
22-25
26-25
29-18
28-30
27-26
22-20
24-26
183.4Avg total
95.0Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)87.984.5172.4+3.455%
Season at home (16)87.981.0168.9+6.962%
Season away (15)87.888.3176.1-0.547%
Last 10 (10)95.088.4183.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)96.087.6183.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.579.5165.0+6.050%
vs Similar (14)89.485.9175.2+3.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.884.2179.0+10.577%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Olimpia MilanoBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/03
Euroleague
85.9Avg total
40.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.885.8+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.844.188.9+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.683.1-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.385.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.888.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.844.582.3-6.733%-
vs Similar (16)41.641.783.2-0.150%-
vs Weaker (7)50.145.195.3+5.086%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/02
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A07/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/03
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A16/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H23/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H25/03
Euroleague
90.3Avg total
47.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.784.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.141.484.6+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)43.439.983.4+3.571%-
Last 10 (10)47.143.290.3+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)49.044.693.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
vs Similar (14)43.441.384.6+2.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.640.382.9+2.362%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.7
54.6%
54.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.2
29.1%
36.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.119.7
81.7%
78.0%19.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.426.1
63.0%
54.5%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
78.0%13.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWLLWL
Barcelona
LWWWWLWWLL
#11
League position
#6
-4.9
Net rating
+11.4
109.9
Offensive rating
126.4
114.8
Defensive rating
115.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
61.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.1%
3-point %
39.4%
53.2%
Assist %
52.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 126.4Defence114.8 · 115.1Shooting50.2% · 61.6%3-point %29.1% · 39.4%Ball care14.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds25.3% · 34.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/25AReal Madrid89-96
23/03/25HTrento89-87
18/03/25AParis79-92
15/03/25ABrescia79-73
13/03/25ACrvena zvezda82-80
09/03/25HTreviso90-80
06/03/25HFenerbahce76-100
02/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-86
27/02/25HMonaco86-80
16/02/25HTrento63-79
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/25HBayern101-102
23/03/25HBasket Zaragoza97-95
21/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas82-70
16/03/25AMoraBanc Andorra113-91
14/03/25HPartizan87-80
09/03/25HTenerife92-95
07/03/25AAlba Berlin99-85
02/03/25HBreogan102-79
27/02/25AReal Madrid91-96
13/02/25ATenerife86-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%60%44%
Points / game85.086.783.5
Allowed / game86.183.588.6
Point differential-1.1+3.1-5.1
Avg total171.2170.2172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%62%47%
Points / game87.987.987.8
Allowed / game84.581.088.3
Point differential+3.4+6.9-0.5
Avg total172.4168.9176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos32221069%86.181.2+4.9
2 Fenerbahce31211068%83.381.4+1.9
3 Panathinaikos31201165%87.482.9+4.5
4 Monaco32201262%86.882.9+3.8
5 Crvena zvezda31181358%82.079.7+2.3
6 Bayern31181358%87.488.0-0.6
7 Anadolu Efes31171455%86.381.8+4.5
8 Barcelona31171455%87.984.5+3.4
9 Real Madrid31171455%84.582.2+2.3
10 Paris31171455%85.985.3+0.6
11 Partizan31161552%82.379.8+2.5
12 Olimpia Milano31161552%85.086.1-1.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%77.779.1-1.5
14 Baskonia31131842%81.683.1-1.5
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne32131941%81.284.6-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv31102132%85.489.5-4.1
17 Virtus Bologna3172423%77.784.5-6.9
18 Alba Berlin3152616%79.291.1-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2123192588
Barcelona2530192498
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