PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pistoia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 85-74
22-20 20-20 18-13 25-21
Position#7
Record10-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.3
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano
Italy
Position#2
Record20-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.7
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pistoia v Olimpia Milano
05 Jan 2025
PIS82
MIL115
04 Feb 2024
PIS72
MIL78
10 Mar 2020
PIS v MIL
upcoming
04 Feb 2019
PIS20
MIL0
08 Jan 2018
PIS63
MIL79
26 Mar 2017
PIS85
MIL74
14 Feb 2016
PIS80
MIL85
12 Jan 2015
PIS73
MIL79
25 May 2014
PIS84
MIL82
23 May 2014
PIS82
MIL71
17 Feb 2014
PIS79
MIL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
117avg 102
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
79-97
79
97
-18
104avg 102
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
64-59
64
59
+5
93avg 102
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
113avg 102
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
67-59
67
59
+8
92avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
77-64
77
64
+13
113avg 102
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
96avg 102
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
104avg 102
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
97avg 102
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
26-18
17-12
22-21
20-21
16-18
22-31
21-27
9-19
15-13
20-12
20-15
20-23
25-14
19-26
21-23
14-22
13-13
16-6
24-18
29-22
11-18
18-11
19-13
11-15
14-20
22-21
23-19
12-21
30-19
10-18
23-23
17-19
24-17
17-28
13-14
21-30
22-31
31-16
17-22
153.3Avg total
76.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.677.3153.0-1.743%
Season at home (11)80.571.2151.6+9.382%
Season away (12)71.283.0154.2-11.88%
Last 10 (10)76.476.9153.3-0.540%
Last 5 (5)76.879.4156.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.291.5171.7-11.317%
vs Similar (22)74.574.1148.6+0.445%
vs Weaker (2)76.572.0148.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
102avg 113
H23/02
Euroleague
Caserta
#13
W
78-74
78
74
+4
99avg 113
A26/02
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
100avg 113
A02/03
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
114avg 113
H05/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
A09/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
110avg 113
A12/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
71-78
71
78
-7
94avg 113
H16/03
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
115avg 113
H19/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
61-74
61
74
-13
88avg 113
A21/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
106avg 113
H23/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-19
10-24
23-18
17-20
20-15
17-19
24-20
20-23
17-15
16-28
21-21
18-20
25-15
13-14
25-25
20-26
15-25
26-19
21-22
23-17
21-18
18-20
20-20
10-25
21-18
19-17
21-18
23-20
25-21
19-18
19-19
15-21
10-17
15-19
21-17
14-29
22-21
16-14
24-20
156.8Avg total
76.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.478.7166.2+8.787%
Season at home (11)90.377.6167.9+12.6100%
Season away (12)84.879.8164.6+5.175%
Last 10 (10)76.979.9156.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)75.277.8153.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.585.7163.2-8.217%
vs Similar (6)79.584.3163.8-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.079.4166.4+7.691%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
PistoiaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A18/03
Lega A
76.2Avg total
36.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.375.8-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.437.574.9-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.740.976.6-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.376.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.249.088.2-9.817%-
vs Similar (22)36.337.373.5-1.045%-
vs Weaker (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/02
Euroleague
Caserta
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/02
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/03
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H05/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A09/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A12/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H16/03
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H23/03
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
38.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.482.6-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.4-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.382.7-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.778.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.478.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.543.379.8-6.817%-
vs Similar (6)40.743.784.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.540.584.0+3.164%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.921.8
48.6%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.3
34.0%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws13.510.1
74.8%
74.0%10.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.2
46.9%
51.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.4
34.6%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
74.0%15.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLWWLWLW
Olimpia Milano
LLWLWLWLWL
#7
League position
#2
-0.4
Net rating
-4.0
99.2
Offensive rating
101.4
99.6
Defensive rating
105.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.0%
3-point %
34.6%
60.8%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 101.4Defence99.6 · 105.4Shooting49.3% · 48.6%3-point %34.0% · 34.6%Ball care19.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds28.8% · 34.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
27/11/16Olimpia Milano v Pistoia104-70
14/02/16Pistoia v Olimpia Milano80-85
01/11/15Olimpia Milano v Pistoia89-71
10/05/15Olimpia Milano v Pistoia78-77
12/01/15Pistoia v Olimpia Milano73-79
27/05/14Olimpia Milano v Pistoia88-78
25/05/14Pistoia v Olimpia Milano84-82
23/05/14Pistoia v Olimpia Milano82-71
21/05/14Olimpia Milano v Pistoia87-67
19/05/14Olimpia Milano v Pistoia73-59
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/17ATrento91-99
12/03/17HVenezia71-78
04/03/17ASassari75-81
27/02/17AVarese70-75
13/02/17HCaserta77-64
05/02/17HAvellino67-59
29/01/17ABrindisi85-86
22/01/17HCremona64-59
08/01/17ABrescia79-97
02/01/17HReggiana85-71
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/17HBamberg76-84
21/03/17APanathinaikos61-74
19/03/17HCremona86-78
16/03/17HCrvena zvezda71-78
12/03/17ASassari82-75
09/03/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-92
05/03/17HTorino81-74
02/03/17ABaskonia74-87
26/02/17ACaserta78-74
23/02/17HBarcelona78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%82%8%
Points / game75.680.571.2
Allowed / game77.371.283.0
Point differential-1.7+9.3-11.8
Avg total153.0151.6154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game87.490.384.8
Allowed / game78.777.679.8
Point differential+8.7+12.6+5.1
Avg total166.2167.9164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2320387%87.478.7+8.7
2 Venezia2416867%81.077.4+3.6
3 Avellino2315865%79.875.2+4.7
4 Capo d'Orlando24141058%77.877.2+0.6
5 Trento23131057%76.272.8+3.4
6 Sassari24131154%76.773.9+2.8
7 Reggiana23121152%81.882.5-0.7
8 Brindisi23111248%83.782.7+1.0
9 Torino23111248%81.084.7-3.6
10 Brescia23101343%80.280.4-0.3
11 Pistoia23101343%75.677.3-1.7
12 Cantu23101343%78.281.2-3.0
13 Varese24101442%77.080.2-3.2
14 Caserta2491538%78.682.3-3.7
15 Pesaro2371630%73.679.4-5.8
16 Cremona2461825%77.980.5-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2220182585
Olimpia Milano2020132174
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.