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Olimpia Milano vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Sep 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-74
21-29 23-16 18-14 22-15
Position#3
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#6
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1
European cup2021
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow
30 Sep 2021
MIL84
CMO74
30 May 2021
MIL83
CMO73
30 Dec 2020
MIL87
CMO91
08 Nov 2018
MIL85
CMO90
11 Jan 2018
MIL81
CMO107
08 Dec 2016
MIL64
CMO79
09 Apr 2015
MIL79
CMO88
24 Nov 2010
MIL71
CMO65
03 Dec 2008
MIL80
CMO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 77
H30/05
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 77
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 77
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 77
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
58-76
58
76
-18
43avg 77
A09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
58avg 77
A11/06
Lega A
Treviso
#5
W
108-60
108
60
+48
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
73-63
73
63
+10
67avg 77
A25/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-11
20-23
23-16
21-21
17-17
24-14
31-31
19-23
20-25
14-19
24-16
21-16
20-24
18-18
13-25
16-17
18-20
18-15
6-24
24-19
19-22
8-14
11-18
36-20
33-14
17-13
22-13
21-15
20-12
10-29
21-11
20-23
15-21
20-23
29-23
21-18
21-13
18-13
13-19
153.3Avg total
78.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.275.1153.3+3.150%
Last 5 (5)79.870.6150.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.880.2157.9-2.438%
vs Weaker (16)85.673.4158.9+12.281%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H24/05
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
73avg 81
H28/05
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 81
A30/05
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 81
A05/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
76-57
76
57
+19
66avg 81
A07/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 81
H10/06
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
H18/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H19/09
VTB Super Cup
Minsk
#10
W
92-44
92
44
+48
no box
A23/09
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#11
W
105-71
105
71
+34
110avg 81
H26/09
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
19-14
21-18
19-13
15-25
22-24
18-22
31-18
23-20
11-20
23-20
16-23
18-19
28-16
23-15
16-27
24-16
26-17
13-10
13-14
29-24
23-16
25-26
12-15
22-6
27-27
25-24
17-21
21-10
13-19
25-21
22-23
33-11
13-6
28-10
18-17
23-18
23-19
26-20
33-14
158.7Avg total
86.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.372.4158.7+13.980%
Last 5 (5)91.669.4161.0+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.682.5168.1+3.150%
vs Weaker (22)88.673.8162.4+14.891%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
Olimpia MilanoCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/05
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/06
Lega A
Treviso
#5
W
69-34
69
34
+35
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A25/09
Lega A
79.6Avg total
42.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.180.1+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.237.582.8+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)40.436.677.0+3.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.479.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.481.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.240.281.5+1.054%-
vs Weaker (16)44.034.478.4+9.675%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H24/05
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H28/05
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A30/05
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A05/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A07/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H10/06
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H19/09
VTB Super Cup
Minsk
#10
W
46-17
46
17
+29
A23/09
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/09
VTB United League
79.2Avg total
43.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.439.284.6+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.439.686.1+6.883%-
Last 30 away (12)43.838.782.4+5.158%-
Last 10 (10)43.935.379.2+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.431.276.6+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.940.881.6+0.162%-
vs Weaker (22)47.038.785.7+8.377%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.1
46.5%
52.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.118.0
81.4%
77.2%18.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.6
56.0%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.4
39.3%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.118.1
78.4%
77.2%18.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWLLLLWW
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#6
+2.5
Net rating
+19.1
107.5
Offensive rating
121.0
105.0
Defensive rating
101.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
57.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.4%
3-point %
39.3%
56.2%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 121.0Defence105.0 · 101.9Shooting49.3% · 57.2%3-point %35.4% · 39.3%Ball care18.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.5% · 35.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
8
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
30/05/21Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow83-73
11/03/21CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano76-84
30/12/20Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow87-91 OT
08/03/19CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-95
08/11/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow85-90
11/01/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow81-107
12/10/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano93-84
13/01/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-64
08/12/16Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow64-79
09/04/15Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow79-88
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/21ABasket Napoli73-63
21/09/21HVirtus Bologna84-90
20/09/21ABrindisi72-67
18/09/21HTreviso108-60
11/06/21AVirtus Bologna62-73
09/06/21AVirtus Bologna58-76
07/06/21HVirtus Bologna72-83
05/06/21HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/06/21AVenezia93-83
30/05/21HCSKA Moscow83-73
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/21HZielona Gora105-71
23/09/21AMinsk92-44
19/09/21HZenit Petersburg81-73
18/09/21HLokomotiv Kuban91-78
10/06/21HUnics Kazan89-81
07/06/21AUnics Kazan76-57
05/06/21AUnics Kazan85-77
30/05/21AOlimpia Milano73-83
28/05/21HAnadolu Efes86-89
24/05/21HZenit Petersburg85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco110100%75.063.0+12.0
2 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%69.068.0+1.0
3 Bayern1010%68.069.0-1.0
4 Panathinaikos1010%63.075.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2123182284
CSKA Moscow2916141574
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