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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 72-83
21-16 20-24 18-18 13-25
Position#2
Record29-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game74.6
Olimpia Milano
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record26-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game77.6
ItalyLega ALega A - Final
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 78
H10/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-62
88
62
+26
88avg 78
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
89avg 78
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 78
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 78
H22/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
99-65
99
65
+34
97avg 78
H24/05
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
70avg 78
A28/05
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 78
H30/05
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 78
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 78
H05/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-11
12-15
23-23
26-20
23-14
23-17
16-11
23-21
26-14
24-18
20-26
20-16
16-13
16-16
22-20
20-13
22-25
22-17
17-24
23-7
31-22
23-23
22-13
24-27
18-24
29-16
11-17
20-23
20-11
20-23
23-16
21-21
17-17
24-14
31-31
19-23
20-25
14-19
24-16
158.3Avg total
84.4Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)85.674.6160.2+11.081%
Season at home (20)88.575.4163.9+13.180%
Season away (16)82.073.6155.6+8.481%
Last 10 (10)84.473.9158.3+10.580%
Last 5 (5)86.877.6164.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.075.0173.0+23.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.180.3159.4-1.246%
vs Weaker (16)82.873.3156.1+9.475%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
76avg 85
A17/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
97-68
97
68
+29
103avg 85
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
83-91
83
91
-8
81avg 85
H10/05
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
100avg 85
H13/05
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
86avg 85
H14/05
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
no box
A17/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
73-66
73
66
+7
60avg 85
A23/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 85
A25/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 85
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
83avg 85
A05/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
21-26
26-17
19-24
27-15
24-17
24-20
22-16
25-21
16-24
21-20
21-26
27-17
21-26
24-18
19-11
16-18
25-15
22-21
25-29
24-25
22-36
22-9
25-23
17-16
15-13
21-21
20-16
19-18
20-20
21-18
23-18
13-17
24-23
18-13
23-22
23-19
25-20
19-14
16-24
166.5Avg total
86.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.777.6163.2+8.174%
Season at home (17)83.978.7162.6+5.259%
Season away (18)87.376.5163.8+10.889%
Last 10 (10)86.580.0166.5+6.580%
Last 5 (5)84.478.4162.8+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.079.5160.5+1.567%
vs Weaker (23)88.778.7167.4+9.983%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H10/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H24/05
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A28/05
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/05
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/06
Lega A
79.2Avg total
42.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.677.9+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.579.6+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.776.3+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.479.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.082.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.539.279.7+1.246%-
vs Weaker (16)41.534.475.9+7.169%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A17/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/05
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/05
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/05
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A17/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A23/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A05/06
Lega A
83.5Avg total
42.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.281.7+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.980.2+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)42.640.883.4+1.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.383.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.540.380.8+0.267%-
vs Weaker (23)43.238.982.0+4.365%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.9
50.3%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.6
39.5%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.417.4
85.3%
75.8%17.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.8
55.2%
51.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.7
36.7%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.616.7
70.8%
75.8%16.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jun 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWLWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
#2
League position
#1
+15.5
Net rating
+7.3
115.3
Offensive rating
109.7
99.8
Defensive rating
102.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.1%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
39.5%
3-point %
36.7%
57.9%
Assist %
72.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 109.7Defence99.8 · 102.4Shooting53.8% · 55.1%3-point %39.5% · 36.7%Ball care15.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
05/06/21Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna77-83
17/04/21Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna94-84
27/12/20Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano68-73
20/09/20Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna75-68
29/12/19Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano83-70
14/02/19Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna84-86
27/01/19Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna94-75
14/10/18Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano79-88
11/03/18Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano67-73
05/11/17Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna72-64
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/21HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/06/21AVenezia93-83
30/05/21HCSKA Moscow83-73
28/05/21ABarcelona82-84
24/05/21HVenezia99-65
22/05/21HVenezia81-79
16/05/21ATrento74-65
14/05/21HTrento93-79
13/05/21HTrento88-62
10/05/21HCremona74-66
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/21AOlimpia Milano83-77
02/06/21HBrindisi78-75
25/05/21ABrindisi83-74
23/05/21ABrindisi73-66
17/05/21ATreviso105-100 OT
14/05/21HTreviso88-83
13/05/21HTreviso91-72
10/05/21HTrento83-91
21/04/21HTreviso97-68
17/04/21AOlimpia Milano84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %81%80%81%
Points / game85.688.582.0
Allowed / game74.675.473.6
Point differential+11.0+13.2+8.4
Avg total160.2163.9155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%60%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWLWWW59%
AwayLWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %74%59%89%
Points / game85.783.987.3
Allowed / game77.678.776.5
Point differential+8.1+5.2+10.8
Avg total163.2162.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%29%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)43% (7)100% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3629781%85.674.6+11.0
2 Virtus Bologna3526974%85.777.6+8.1
3 Brindisi35241169%84.377.4+7.0
4 Venezia37231462%80.478.6+1.8
5 Sassari34211362%89.485.6+3.8
6 Trieste31141745%79.080.6-1.6
7 Treviso31141745%84.188.8-4.6
8 Trento31131842%77.380.1-2.8
9 Cremona28111739%84.685.5-0.9
10 Pesaro29111838%81.283.9-2.7
11 Brescia29111838%81.584.8-3.3
12 Varese29111838%81.786.9-5.2
13 Reggiana28101836%75.880.8-5.0
14 Fortitudo Bologna29101934%77.881.8-4.0
15 Cantu29101934%78.682.7-4.1
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2120181372
Virtus Bologna1624182583
← all games of the day
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