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Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 104-70
21-18 31-22 27-16 25-14
Position#2
Record8-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#7
Record3-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game76.2
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia
13 Apr 2025
MIL95
PIS80
26 Nov 2023
MIL81
PIS86
11 Nov 2019
MIL83
PIS63
21 Oct 2018
MIL107
PIS83
06 May 2018
MIL101
PIS74
27 Nov 2016
MIL104
PIS70
01 Nov 2015
MIL89
PIS71
10 May 2015
MIL78
PIS77
27 May 2014
MIL88
PIS78
21 May 2014
MIL87
PIS67
19 May 2014
MIL73
PIS59
04 Nov 2013
MIL75
PIS55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
H27/10
Euroleague
Caserta
#13
W
100-80
100
80
+20
137avg 121
H30/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A03/11
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
100-97
100
97
+3
129avg 121
A06/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
105-92
105
92
+13
140avg 121
H10/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
123avg 121
H13/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
114avg 121
H15/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A17/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
103avg 121
A20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
H24/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-26
25-23
24-26
28-12
27-24
20-25
25-19
21-18
25-20
18-23
27-30
30-26
27-25
16-20
27-26
25-24
30-25
24-18
26-25
24-20
18-19
28-22
16-16
27-17
22-18
23-21
16-20
19-14
13-23
14-17
24-29
24-17
15-21
12-15
25-19
17-21
19-23
27-14
7-21
175.0Avg total
88.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.077.9164.9+9.1100%
Season at home (4)88.077.2165.2+10.8100%
Season away (4)86.078.5164.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.786.3175.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.988.5174.4-2.638%
vs Similar (3)90.785.0175.7+5.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.674.4157.1+8.283%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
no box
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
67-87
67
87
-20
no box
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
133avg 104
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
92avg 104
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
97avg 104
A24/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
97-64
97
64
+33
no box
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
96avg 104
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
62-74
62
74
-12
no box
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
16-24
18-19
19-17
27-21
18-22
16-20
21-19
21-26
12-25
11-20
23-16
16-24
18-18
25-17
30-22
25-22
18-13
12-14
12-34
13-22
18-19
19-13
15-20
20-14
22-14
28-15
27-21
16-18
20-15
16-15
16-21
19-16
18-12
12-19
13-27
13-14
20-22
22-16
18-21
154.4Avg total
75.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.976.2151.1-1.438%
Season at home (4)84.573.0157.5+11.575%
Season away (4)65.279.5144.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)75.978.5154.4-2.630%
Last 5 (5)75.271.8147.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.187.0165.1-8.914%
vs Similar (22)75.575.5151.0-0.045%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
Olimpia MilanoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H27/10
Euroleague
Caserta
#13
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H30/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A03/11
Euroleague
Torino
#12
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A06/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H10/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H15/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/11
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
45.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.782.6+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.639.986.5+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.578.7-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.987.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.678.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.242.886.0+0.550%-
vs Similar (3)42.040.382.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.637.580.1+5.172%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/11
Lega A
75.1Avg total
36.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.477.7-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.177.1-1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)36.741.678.3-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.475.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.146.082.1-9.914%-
vs Similar (22)37.638.776.4-1.145%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.524.2
53.2%
51.1%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.26.4
35.2%
35.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.718.4
74.5%
74.0%18.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.9 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.4
50.9%
51.1%46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.6
26.0%
35.7%16.7
🏀 Free throws13.09.6
73.6%
74.0%9.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWWLWL
Pistoia
WLLWLLWLLL
#2
League position
#7
+2.5
Net rating
-1.9
109.4
Offensive rating
98.8
106.9
Defensive rating
100.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.2%
3-point %
26.0%
61.4%
Assist %
52.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 98.8Defence106.9 · 100.8Shooting53.1% · 47.1%3-point %35.2% · 26.0%Ball care18.6% · 20.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/16HFenerbahce70-79
20/11/16ACremona76-72
17/11/16ACrvena zvezda70-83
15/11/16HBaskonia88-76
13/11/16HSassari86-77
10/11/16HAnadolu Efes105-92
06/11/16ATorino100-97
03/11/16ABamberg102-106 OT
30/10/16HCaserta100-80
27/10/16HReal Madrid90-101
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/16HTrento84-78 OT
13/11/16AVenezia62-74
05/11/16HSassari68-69
30/10/16HVarese97-64
24/10/16ACaserta65-74
15/10/16AAvellino67-83
09/10/16HBrindisi89-81
03/10/16ACremona67-87
11/05/16HAvellino90-92 OT
09/05/16AAvellino70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.088.086.0
Allowed / game77.977.278.5
Point differential+9.1+10.8+7.5
Avg total164.9165.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game74.984.565.2
Allowed / game76.273.079.5
Point differential-1.4+11.5-14.2
Avg total151.1157.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano880100%87.077.9+9.1
2 Reggiana87188%84.479.1+5.2
3 Avellino86275%79.675.5+4.1
4 Caserta86275%82.481.2+1.1
5 Venezia85362%80.978.9+2.0
6 Capo d'Orlando95456%80.877.4+3.3
7 Brindisi84450%81.680.5+1.1
8 Sassari94544%78.676.9+1.7
9 Trento94544%76.175.6+0.6
10 Pistoia83538%74.976.2-1.4
11 Torino83538%83.585.9-2.4
12 Brescia83538%78.182.2-4.1
13 Varese93633%77.180.1-3.0
14 Cantu82625%76.183.9-7.8
15 Cremona92722%77.982.1-4.2
16 Pesaro92722%73.077.7-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano21312725104
Pistoia1822161470
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