Olimpia Milano vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2014

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 88-78

16-28 32-16 24-13 16-21

Position#1

Record22-5

FormLWLLW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game70.9

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Sassari

Position#4

Record17-11

FormLWLWL

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game79.8

Lega ARound 29

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Sassari

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sassari winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

82-73

A28/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#15

95-64

+31

H31/03

Lega A

Barcelona

91-63

+28

H02/04

Euroleague

Cantu

76-71

H06/04

Lega A

Unicaja

#14

85-95

-10

A11/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

99-101 OT

101

-2

H16/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

91-77

+14

H18/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

63-75

-12

A21/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

66-86

-20

A23/04

Euroleague

Avellino

#12

94-92 OT

A01/05

Lega A

14-15

24-14

30-25

14-19

25-15

24-17

25-16

21-16

21-20

22-14

26-6

22-23

21-18

25-19

18-15

12-19

18-22

23-26

16-29

28-18

23-19

24-23

23-16

17-29

25-17

22-17

19-21

25-22

16-15

13-24

16-22

18-14

21-19

22-16

13-19

10-32

23-20

17-23

20-14

19-22

163.9Avg total

84.2Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.4	70.9	152.3	+10.5	81%
Season at home (14)	82.9	64.0	146.9	+18.9	100%
Season away (13)	79.8	78.3	158.2	+1.5	62%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	79.7	163.9	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	86.2	168.8	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.5	71.5	152.0	+9.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	80.2	77.6	157.8	+2.6	69%
vs Weaker (14)	82.1	69.9	152.0	+12.3	93%

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

102-78

102

+24

H02/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

83-91

-8

H05/03

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

75-68

A08/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

93-96

-3

A11/03

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

100-95

100

H16/03

Lega A

Reggiana

79-89

-10

A23/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

98-75

+23

H30/03

Lega A

Siena

81-82

-1

A06/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

82-71

+11

H19/04

Lega A

Caserta

92-95

-3

H27/04

Lega A

26-20

34-14

24-24

18-20

22-30

18-17

24-22

19-22

14-20

25-15

16-13

20-20

26-20

19-19

21-24

27-33

26-19

27-34

27-22

20-20

17-25

17-27

20-19

25-18

25-14

21-28

27-8

25-25

22-22

20-18

20-25

19-17

15-24

27-13

32-15

8-19

25-26

25-31

16-18

26-20

172.5Avg total

88.5Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	86.2	79.8	166.0	+6.4	61%
Season at home (14)	89.0	77.8	166.8	+11.2	79%
Season away (14)	83.4	81.8	165.2	+1.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	88.5	84.0	172.5	+4.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	82.4	168.8	+4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.3	84.6	167.9	-1.3	29%
vs Weaker (15)	86.7	78.3	164.9	+8.4	67%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoSassari

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.3	37.2	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	16.2	36.9	+4.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+2.9	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	17.1	38.6	+4.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.2	19.9	43.2	+3.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	77%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	21.6	45.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.7	41.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.3	53%	-

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

38-29

A28/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#15

49-32

+17

H31/03

Lega A

Barcelona

43-34

H02/04

Euroleague

Cantu

46-37

H06/04

Lega A

Unicaja

#14

41-48

-7

A11/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

47-42

H16/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

47-34

+13

H18/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

29-39

-10

A21/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

43-35

A23/04

Euroleague

Avellino

#12

40-43

-3

A01/05

Lega A

79.6Avg total

42.3Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	35.6	77.8	+6.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	33.2	75.5	+9.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.2	38.6	80.8	+3.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	37.3	79.6	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	34.5	74.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.2	36.3	78.5	+5.9	77%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.9	35.4	78.3	+7.4	79%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

60-34

+26

H02/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

40-47

-7

H05/03

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

39-35

A08/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

45-39

A11/03

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

53-53

H16/03

Lega A

Reggiana

34-52

-18

A23/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

46-42

H30/03

Lega A

Siena

42-40

A06/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

42-37

H19/04

Lega A

Caserta

50-57

-7

H27/04

Lega A

88.7Avg total

45.1Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	41.9	85.5	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	41.3	87.6	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	42.5	83.4	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	43.6	88.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	45.6	88.4	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.2	42.7	84.9	-0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.9	41.3	87.2	+4.5	67%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	15.9	36.1	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	10.0	30.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.7	16.4	35.1	+2.4	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.8	41.6	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.8	21.5	40.2	-2.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.9	19.7	39.7	+0.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.9	36.2	76.1	+3.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.5	38.6	74.2	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.7	78.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	42.2	78.2	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.1	40.2	77.3	-3.2	23%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.2	33.5	71.7	+4.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.4	80.7	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	37.7	79.9	+4.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	41.1	81.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	40.4	83.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	36.8	80.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.1	41.9	82.9	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.8	36.9	77.7	+3.9	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Sassari wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/14	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	80-82
05/01/14	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	69-75
30/03/13	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	79-85
02/12/12	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	80-86
12/02/12	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	71-81
30/10/11	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	60-88
24/05/11	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	60-72
22/05/11	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	72-91
20/05/11	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	73-63
18/05/11	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	70-71

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/14	A	Avellino	94-92 OT
23/04/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	66-86
21/04/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	63-75
18/04/14	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	91-77
16/04/14	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	99-101 OT
11/04/14	A	Unicaja	85-95
06/04/14	H	Cantu	76-71
02/04/14	H	Barcelona	91-63
31/03/14	H	Pesaro	95-64
28/03/14	A	Fenerbahce	82-73

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/14	H	Caserta	92-95
19/04/14	H	Virtus Roma	82-71
06/04/14	A	Siena	81-82
30/03/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	98-75
23/03/14	A	Reggiana	79-89
16/03/14	H	Venezia	100-95
11/03/14	A	Alba Berlin	93-96
08/03/14	A	Avellino	75-68
05/03/14	H	Alba Berlin	83-91
02/03/14	H	Pesaro	102-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	81%	100%	62%
Points / game	81.4	82.9	79.8
Allowed / game	70.9	64.0	78.3
Point differential	+10.5	+18.9	+1.5
Avg total	152.3	146.9	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	86%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Sassari

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	61%
Home	WWWWL	79%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	61%	79%	43%
Points / game	86.2	89.0	83.4
Allowed / game	79.8	77.8	81.8
Point differential	+6.4	+11.2	+1.6
Avg total	166.0	166.8	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	60% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	27	22	5	81%	81.4	70.9	+10.5
2	Siena	28	19	9	68%	76.9	69.9	+7.0
3	Cantu	28	19	9	68%	81.4	76.2	+5.2
4	Brindisi	28	18	10	64%	76.4	74.0	+2.3
5	Sassari	28	17	11	61%	86.2	79.8	+6.4
6	Virtus Roma	28	15	13	54%	77.7	78.0	-0.4
7	Reggiana	28	14	14	50%	78.0	74.5	+3.5
8	Caserta	28	14	14	50%	73.2	72.8	+0.5
9	Pistoia	28	13	15	46%	76.6	78.0	-1.4
10	Varese	28	13	15	46%	79.6	81.4	-1.8
11	Venezia	28	12	16	43%	80.2	80.4	-0.2
12	Virtus Bologna	28	11	17	39%	78.2	79.1	-0.8
13	Avellino	28	11	17	39%	75.5	80.2	-4.8
14	Cremona	27	10	17	37%	76.8	82.9	-6.1
15	Sutor Montegranaro	28	8	20	29%	77.0	86.9	-9.9
16	Pesaro	28	7	21	25%	78.6	88.6	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	16	32	24	16	88
Sassari	28	16	13	21	78

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Sassari Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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