Sassari vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 82-71

15-24 27-13 32-15 8-19

Position#4

Record16-10

FormLWLWL

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game79.5

Sassari 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#5

Record15-11

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game77.5

Lega ARound 27

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Sassari v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bamberg

#25

102-84

102

+18

H19/02

Eurocup

Varese

#10

112-91

112

+21

A23/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

102-78

102

+24

H02/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

83-91

-8

H05/03

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

75-68

A08/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

93-96

-3

A11/03

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

100-95

100

H16/03

Lega A

Reggiana

79-89

-10

A23/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

98-75

+23

H30/03

Lega A

Siena

81-82

-1

A06/04

Lega A

25-23

28-28

20-20

29-13

31-20

23-24

26-21

32-26

26-20

34-14

24-24

18-20

22-30

18-17

24-22

19-22

14-20

25-15

16-13

20-20

26-20

19-19

21-24

27-33

26-19

27-34

27-22

20-20

17-25

17-27

20-19

25-18

25-14

21-28

27-8

25-25

22-22

20-18

20-25

19-17

177.4Avg total

92.5Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	86.2	79.5	165.7	+6.6	62%
Season at home (12)	89.3	76.9	166.2	+12.4	83%
Season away (14)	83.4	81.8	165.2	+1.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	92.5	84.9	177.4	+7.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	87.4	177.6	+2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	82.9	83.5	166.3	-0.6	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	86.7	76.9	163.6	+9.8	71%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#12

72-80

-8

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

67-76

-9

A07/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

80-83

-3

A16/02

Lega A

Caserta

82-79

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

89-85 OT

A02/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

85-80

H09/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

61-85

-24

A16/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

96-85

+11

H22/03

Lega A

Siena

89-93

-4

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

76-89

-13

A06/04

Lega A

19-28

17-22

24-11

12-19

15-24

22-23

14-11

16-18

17-23

23-22

19-23

21-15

22-12

19-22

18-18

23-27

22-18

18-16

23-22

10-17

26-19

14-24

21-23

24-14

13-21

18-25

16-17

14-22

28-12

16-24

29-21

23-28

28-24

8-19

28-25

25-25

18-25

18-27

17-11

23-26

163.2Avg total

79.7Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.0	77.5	155.6	+0.5	58%
Season at home (13)	79.4	76.8	156.2	+2.5	62%
Season away (13)	76.7	78.2	154.9	-1.5	54%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	83.5	163.2	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	86.4	167.8	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	72.9	77.9	150.8	-5.0	30%
vs Similar (13)	78.7	80.8	159.5	-2.2	46%
vs Weaker (6)	81.5	73.5	155.0	+8.0	83%

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.4	42.1	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	21.8	42.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.3	44.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.5	19.9	43.4	+3.6	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	37.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.9	19.8	36.7	-2.9	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	15.0	37.7	+7.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	25.2	46.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.0	39.6	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	22.4	39.7	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	23.8	38.6	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	22.8	41.7	-4.0	33%	-

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bamberg

#25

53-51

H19/02

Eurocup

Varese

#10

54-44

+10

A23/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

60-34

+26

H02/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

40-47

-7

H05/03

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

39-35

A08/03

Lega A

Alba Berlin

45-39

A11/03

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

53-53

H16/03

Lega A

Reggiana

34-52

-18

A23/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

46-42

H30/03

Lega A

Siena

42-40

A06/04

Lega A

90.3Avg total

46.6Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	41.0	84.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	39.9	85.5	+5.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	41.9	83.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	43.7	90.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	45.2	89.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	41.7	42.1	83.9	-0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.0	39.9	85.9	+6.1	71%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#12

36-50

-14

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

37-47

-10

A07/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

40-45

-5

A16/02

Lega A

Caserta

41-34

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

40-34

A02/03

Lega A

Cremona

#14

40-43

-3

H09/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

31-46

-15

A16/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

44-36

H22/03

Lega A

Siena

36-43

-7

H30/03

Lega A

Reggiana

36-52

-16

A06/04

Lega A

81.1Avg total

38.1Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.8	77.5	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	40.5	79.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	39.2	76.0	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.0	81.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	44.0	81.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.9	39.2	74.1	-4.3	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.0	40.7	78.7	-2.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	37.8	79.3	+3.7	67%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.6	39.8	+0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.8	36.4	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	16.1	35.8	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.0	15.3	35.3	+4.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	16.7	37.3	+4.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.4	40.5	-0.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.3	80.6	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	37.7	80.0	+4.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	41.2	87.1	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	42.2	88.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	41.1	41.3	82.5	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.7	37.0	77.7	+3.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	37.0	77.1	+3.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	38.1	75.3	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.0	38.7	76.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.1	38.2	77.3	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	35.7	75.7	+4.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
26/12/13	Virtus Roma v Sassari	72-68
14/04/13	Sassari v Virtus Roma	105-87
23/12/12	Virtus Roma v Sassari	81-83
07/03/12	Virtus Roma v Sassari	68-72
19/11/11	Sassari v Virtus Roma	80-68
17/04/11	Sassari v Virtus Roma	86-85
28/12/10	Virtus Roma v Sassari	92-80

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/14	A	Siena	81-82
30/03/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	98-75
23/03/14	A	Reggiana	79-89
16/03/14	H	Venezia	100-95
11/03/14	A	Alba Berlin	93-96
08/03/14	A	Avellino	75-68
05/03/14	H	Alba Berlin	83-91
02/03/14	H	Pesaro	102-78
23/02/14	A	Varese	112-91
19/02/14	H	Bamberg	102-84

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/14	A	Reggiana	76-89
30/03/14	H	Siena	89-93
22/03/14	H	Pesaro	96-85
16/03/14	A	Olimpia Milano	61-85
09/03/14	H	Cremona	85-80
02/03/14	A	Virtus Bologna	89-85 OT
23/02/14	H	Caserta	82-79
16/02/14	A	Cantu	80-83
07/02/14	A	Siena	67-76
02/02/14	H	Avellino	72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	62%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	62%	83%	43%
Points / game	86.2	89.3	83.4
Allowed / game	79.5	76.9	81.8
Point differential	+6.6	+12.4	+1.6
Avg total	165.7	166.2	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	75% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	58%
Home	LWWWL	62%
Away	LLWLL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	58%	62%	54%
Points / game	78.0	79.4	76.7
Allowed / game	77.5	76.8	78.2
Point differential	+0.5	+2.5	-1.5
Avg total	155.6	156.2	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	15%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	57% (7)	67% (6)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	26	21	5	81%	80.9	70.1	+10.8
2	Siena	26	18	8	69%	76.7	69.8	+6.9
3	Brindisi	27	18	9	67%	76.7	73.7	+3.1
4	Cantu	26	17	9	65%	80.6	76.5	+4.1
5	Sassari	26	16	10	62%	86.2	79.5	+6.6
6	Virtus Roma	26	15	11	58%	78.0	77.5	+0.5
7	Reggiana	26	13	13	50%	76.9	74.0	+2.9
8	Caserta	26	12	14	46%	72.2	71.9	+0.3
9	Venezia	26	11	15	42%	79.7	79.7	+0.0
10	Virtus Bologna	26	11	15	42%	78.3	79.1	-0.8
11	Varese	26	11	15	42%	79.7	82.0	-2.3
12	Pistoia	26	11	15	42%	75.9	78.6	-2.7
13	Avellino	27	11	16	41%	74.9	79.7	-4.9
14	Cremona	26	10	16	38%	77.0	83.1	-6.1
15	Sutor Montegranaro	26	8	18	31%	77.7	86.6	-8.9
16	Pesaro	26	6	20	23%	79.3	88.8	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sassari	15	27	32	8	82
Virtus Roma	24	13	15	19	71

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature