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Olimpia Milano vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-86
26-25 22-22 24-28 30-11
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game70.4
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Sassari
Italy
Position#5
Record6-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game86.1
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Sassari
22 Mar 2026
MIL99
SAS87
06 Oct 2024
MIL100
SAS75
28 Jan 2024
MIL80
SAS65
29 May 2023
MIL80
SAS75
27 May 2023
MIL95
SAS72
07 May 2023
MIL79
SAS67
30 May 2022
MIL91
SAS82
28 May 2022
MIL88
SAS71
16 Feb 2022
MIL88
SAS68
31 Oct 2021
MIL79
SAS50
20 Dec 2020
MIL102
SAS86
24 Nov 2019
MIL90
SAS78
07 Apr 2019
MIL79
SAS93
04 Mar 2018
MIL116
SAS93
19 Feb 2017
MIL84
SAS74
13 Nov 2016
MIL86
SAS77
02 Jan 2016
MIL87
SAS50
10 Jun 2015
MIL81
SAS86
06 Jun 2015
MIL95
SAS88
31 May 2015
MIL84
SAS71
29 May 2015
MIL75
SAS84
29 Mar 2015
MIL97
SAS80
22 Feb 2015
MIL94
SAS101
05 Oct 2014
MIL88
SAS96
07 Jun 2014
MIL73
SAS76
01 Jun 2014
MIL83
SAS90
30 May 2014
MIL95
SAS84
04 May 2014
MIL88
SAS78
07 Feb 2014
MIL80
SAS82
02 Dec 2012
MIL80
SAS86
12 Feb 2012
MIL71
SAS81
20 May 2011
MIL73
SAS63
18 May 2011
MIL70
SAS71
27 Feb 2011
MIL88
SAS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 78
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-55
75
55
+20
75avg 78
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 78
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 78
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 78
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 78
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 78
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 78
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
64avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
23-14
27-16
15-17
18-20
28-15
13-18
11-17
19-13
23-9
22-19
11-14
22-18
20-12
18-24
17-26
20-18
35-14
22-18
19-20
28-20
26-27
18-21
30-25
15-23
28-16
18-21
10-27
18-21
22-15
17-27
25-25
26-25
18-10
24-13
11-23
20-20
26-11
6-21
20-17
159.6Avg total
82.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.670.4159.0+18.391%
Season at home (6)89.071.0160.0+18.083%
Season away (5)88.269.6157.8+18.6100%
Last 10 (10)82.677.0159.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)81.281.6162.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (6)81.883.7165.5-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.572.8158.3+12.787%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#34
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 84
H21/10
Champions League
Venezia
#4
L
92-99
92
99
-7
90avg 84
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
104-82
104
82
+22
112avg 84
H01/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
W
92-72
92
72
+20
83avg 84
H04/11
Champions League
Trento
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
81avg 84
A07/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
75avg 84
H15/11
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 84
A18/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 84
A06/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
97-93
97
93
+4
98avg 84
H13/12
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#7
L
71-93
71
93
-22
63avg 84
H16/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
24-18
21-25
28-29
24-31
20-19
25-19
23-30
36-18
31-14
17-26
20-24
18-26
20-21
29-7
25-18
13-17
19-28
17-30
29-17
23-31
23-25
23-18
18-26
26-25
23-18
20-17
22-24
27-12
19-26
14-16
23-24
21-29
19-9
33-25
24-30
29-19
8-22
20-27
14-25
176.5Avg total
88.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.986.1175.0+2.860%
Season at home (5)89.887.0176.8+2.860%
Season away (5)88.085.2173.2+2.860%
Last 10 (10)88.887.7176.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)85.889.6175.4-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.281.8166.0+2.575%
vs Similar (8)87.087.6174.6-0.638%
vs Weaker (18)92.181.6173.7+10.678%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +10.6+10.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +10.6+10.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
Olimpia MilanoSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A06/12
Lega A
Khimki M.
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
45.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.236.380.6+7.983%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.835.178.9+8.881%-
Last 30 away (14)44.737.882.5+6.986%-
Last 10 (10)45.634.680.2+11.0100%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.683.0+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (6)40.338.378.7+2.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.236.081.2+9.183%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#34
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H21/10
Champions League
Venezia
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
67-32
67
32
+35
H01/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/11
Champions League
Trento
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H15/11
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A06/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/12
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/12
Champions League
86.3Avg total
44.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.686.4+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.641.686.2+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)47.139.486.6+7.771%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.086.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.542.284.8+0.250%-
vs Similar (8)46.846.092.8+0.862%-
vs Weaker (18)46.137.883.9+8.367%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.3
50.6%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.5
43.8%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.314.3
82.7%
75.8%14.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
51.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.710.0
40.5%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
75.8%15.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWWLWWW
Sassari
LWWWLLWWLW
#2
League position
#5
+8.7
Net rating
+1.7
115.0
Offensive rating
113.1
106.3
Defensive rating
111.4
55.9%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
43.8%
3-point %
40.5%
56.0%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 113.1Defence106.3 · 111.4Shooting55.9% · 56.2%3-point %43.8% · 40.5%Ball care14.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds24.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Olimpia Milano v Sassari90-78
07/04/19Olimpia Milano v Sassari79-93
16/12/18Sassari v Olimpia Milano106-107 OT
04/03/18Olimpia Milano v Sassari116-93
29/10/17Sassari v Olimpia Milano90-69
12/03/17Sassari v Olimpia Milano75-82
19/02/17Olimpia Milano v Sassari84-74
13/11/16Olimpia Milano v Sassari86-77
04/05/16Sassari v Olimpia Milano83-80
02/01/16Olimpia Milano v Sassari87-50
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/20AAnadolu Efes72-69
15/12/20AFenerbahce79-71
13/12/20HBrindisi82-88
11/12/20ABarcelona71-87
08/12/20AKhimki M.102-93
06/12/20AVarese96-70
03/12/20HPanathinaikos77-80
01/12/20HAlba Berlin75-55
26/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-85 OT
22/11/20HVenezia86-72
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20HBakken Bears71-93
13/12/20HTreviso97-93
06/12/20AVirtus Bologna83-78
18/11/20ABakken Bears91-84
15/11/20HBrindisi87-100
07/11/20ATrento78-92
04/11/20HTenerife92-72
01/11/20HVarese104-82
25/10/20AVenezia92-99
21/10/20HGalatasaray93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%83%100%
Points / game88.689.088.2
Allowed / game70.471.069.6
Point differential+18.3+18.0+18.6
Avg total159.0160.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game88.989.888.0
Allowed / game86.187.085.2
Point differential+2.8+2.8+2.8
Avg total175.0176.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1110191%88.670.4+18.3
2 Brindisi1210283%86.978.5+8.4
3 Virtus Bologna106460%82.677.0+5.6
4 Sassari106460%88.986.1+2.8
5 Reggiana106460%77.977.0+0.9
6 Pesaro116555%81.478.4+3.0
7 Trento116555%78.378.0+0.3
8 Venezia105550%77.377.2+0.1
9 Treviso105550%86.491.2-4.8
10 Cremona94544%84.483.1+1.3
11 Brescia114736%76.379.4-3.1
12 Cantu114736%76.581.9-5.5
13 Varese114736%80.387.5-7.3
14 Trieste72529%72.477.1-4.7
15 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
16 Fortitudo Bologna112918%79.486.1-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano26222430102
Sassari2522281186
← all games of the day
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