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Olimpia Milano vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-65
19-20 24-23 24-10 13-12
Position#1
Record11-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#8
Record7-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.9
ItalyLega ARound 18· Unipol Forum
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Sassari
22 Mar 2026
MIL99
SAS87
06 Oct 2024
MIL100
SAS75
28 Jan 2024
MIL80
SAS65
29 May 2023
MIL80
SAS75
27 May 2023
MIL95
SAS72
07 May 2023
MIL79
SAS67
30 May 2022
MIL91
SAS82
28 May 2022
MIL88
SAS71
16 Feb 2022
MIL88
SAS68
31 Oct 2021
MIL79
SAS50
20 Dec 2020
MIL102
SAS86
24 Nov 2019
MIL90
SAS78
07 Apr 2019
MIL79
SAS93
04 Mar 2018
MIL116
SAS93
19 Feb 2017
MIL84
SAS74
13 Nov 2016
MIL86
SAS77
02 Jan 2016
MIL87
SAS50
10 Jun 2015
MIL81
SAS86
06 Jun 2015
MIL95
SAS88
31 May 2015
MIL84
SAS71
29 May 2015
MIL75
SAS84
29 Mar 2015
MIL97
SAS80
22 Feb 2015
MIL94
SAS101
05 Oct 2014
MIL88
SAS96
07 Jun 2014
MIL73
SAS76
01 Jun 2014
MIL83
SAS90
30 May 2014
MIL95
SAS84
04 May 2014
MIL88
SAS78
07 Feb 2014
MIL80
SAS82
02 Dec 2012
MIL80
SAS86
12 Feb 2012
MIL71
SAS81
20 May 2011
MIL73
SAS63
18 May 2011
MIL70
SAS71
27 Feb 2011
MIL88
SAS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 77
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 77
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 77
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
L
72-84
72
84
-12
63avg 77
A19/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 77
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 77
H26/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
14-18
16-19
16-20
19-18
16-22
15-23
24-16
19-12
15-15
16-20
26-15
14-25
24-16
19-14
22-19
16-17
21-18
23-23
22-18
15-23
16-24
16-10
15-19
20-18
22-17
16-21
25-26
19-21
21-11
19-29
13-23
21-19
19-13
26-16
19-17
23-12
24-16
10-21
17-21
149.1Avg total
75.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.474.4153.8+4.965%
Season at home (8)82.876.1158.9+6.675%
Season away (9)76.372.9149.2+3.456%
Last 10 (10)75.174.0149.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)75.275.4150.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar (18)77.875.6153.4+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.071.6151.6+8.473%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
87avg 77
H17/12
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 77
H20/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
59-77
59
77
-18
47avg 77
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
62-73
62
73
-11
48avg 77
H30/12
Lega A
Cholet
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
102avg 77
A03/01
Champions League
Pesaro
#16
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 77
H10/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
107-69
107
69
+38
110avg 77
H14/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
77-93
77
93
-16
68avg 77
A17/01
Champions League
Treviso
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
65avg 77
A21/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
28-26
14-16
20-14
23-25
22-20
28-15
24-21
21-18
13-18
14-18
11-23
18-18
10-16
18-19
16-20
25-16
27-18
25-17
16-21
13-20
28-8
27-14
11-27
20-23
17-23
24-20
30-29
32-12
30-16
27-14
18-27
15-20
24-28
18-20
20-25
18-21
19-18
16-25
17-13
160.6Avg total
81.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.581.9158.4-5.541%
Season at home (9)82.881.8164.6+1.067%
Season away (8)69.482.1151.5-12.812%
Last 10 (10)81.978.7160.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)84.880.6165.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.389.4163.6-15.118%
vs Similar (18)81.683.1164.7-1.444%
vs Weaker (1)79.069.0148.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
Olimpia MilanoSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/01
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A19/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A21/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H26/01
Euroleague
72.6Avg total
37.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.476.2+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.034.975.9+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)38.438.176.6+0.336%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.072.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.874.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (18)40.236.877.1+3.461%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.035.474.4+3.664%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/12
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H20/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Cholet
#14
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A03/01
Champions League
Pesaro
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H10/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H14/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/01
Champions League
Treviso
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A21/01
Lega A
81.4Avg total
42.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.981.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.580.8+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.644.381.9-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.981.4+3.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.881.0+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.343.880.1-7.527%-
vs Similar (18)41.341.582.8-0.239%-
vs Weaker (1)41.028.069.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.3
54.4%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.4
32.3%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.311.7
76.5%
76.3%11.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.4
52.6%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.6
40.0%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
76.3%15.3
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLWWWLL
Sassari
LLWLWWLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+2.2
Net rating
+4.0
107.3
Offensive rating
107.5
105.1
Defensive rating
103.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.7%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
40.0%
56.0%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 107.5Defence105.1 · 103.5Shooting52.2% · 55.6%3-point %32.3% · 40.0%Ball care16.3% · 19.7%Off. rebounds26.5% · 23.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Sassari wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24HBarcelona74-70
21/01/24APesaro85-65
19/01/24AValencia72-84
14/01/24HTortona83-82
11/01/24HCrvena zvezda62-76
09/01/24HAlba Berlin82-76
07/01/24ATrento79-74
05/01/24HBayern76-62
02/01/24AOlympiacos74-79
30/12/23ABrescia64-72
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ATreviso70-77
17/01/24ACholet77-93
14/01/24HPistoia107-69
10/01/24HCholet91-95
07/01/24APesaro79-69
03/01/24ACholet93-72
30/12/23HVenezia62-73
23/12/23AReggiana59-77
20/12/23HSzczecin97-81
17/12/23HBrindisi84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game79.482.876.3
Allowed / game74.476.172.9
Point differential+4.9+6.6+3.4
Avg total153.8158.9149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%67%12%
Points / game76.582.869.4
Allowed / game81.981.882.1
Point differential-5.5+1.0-12.8
Avg total158.4164.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1814478%87.675.6+12.1
2 Venezia1813572%82.577.3+5.2
3 Virtus Bologna1712571%86.976.1+10.8
4 Olimpia Milano1711665%79.474.4+4.9
5 Basket Napoli1711665%86.081.6+4.4
6 Reggiana1710759%83.082.3+0.7
7 Scafati189950%85.086.1-1.1
8 Trento189950%82.083.7-1.7
9 Pistoia189950%78.782.7-4.0
10 Cremona178947%81.078.4+2.6
11 Tortona1771041%78.080.2-2.2
12 Sassari1771041%76.581.9-5.5
13 Varese1761135%85.690.5-4.9
14 Pesaro1751229%78.086.1-8.1
15 Treviso1851328%80.784.3-3.7
16 Brindisi1731418%73.483.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1924241380
Sassari2023101265
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