Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 95-64

25-15 24-17 25-16 21-16

Position#1

Record19-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game70.3

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Pesaro

Position#15

Record6-18

FormWLWLL

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game88.5

Lega ARound 25

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

89-66

+23

H23/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#12

77-75

H27/02

Euroleague

Venezia

#11

91-82

H02/03

Lega A

Olympiacos

88-86

A06/03

Euroleague

Reggiana

82-78

A09/03

Lega A

Baskonia

#15

83-65

+18

A13/03

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

85-61

+24

H16/03

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#25

76-69

H21/03

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

88-76

+12

A24/03

Lega A

Fenerbahce

82-73

A28/03

Euroleague

15-10

26-17

27-22

21-17

19-13

22-13

18-23

18-26

16-28

28-18

26-14

21-22

23-29

27-18

15-16

23-23

22-14

27-18

17-25

16-21

25-19

25-17

17-19

16-10

21-13

25-18

17-16

22-14

19-19

18-20

12-14

27-16

18-21

25-21

25-18

20-16

14-15

24-14

30-25

14-19

157.2Avg total

84.1Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	80.5	70.3	150.8	+10.2	79%
Season at home (12)	82.4	63.4	145.8	+19.0	100%
Season away (12)	78.7	77.2	155.8	+1.5	58%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	73.1	157.2	+11.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	68.8	151.6	+14.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	70.0	80.0	150.0	-10.0	0%
vs Similar (11)	77.5	69.8	147.3	+7.6	91%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	80.4	69.6	150.1	+10.8	82%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

#11

65-89

-24

A12/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

88-82

H19/01

Lega A

Caserta

88-100

100

-12

A26/01

Lega A

Cantu

82-79

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

70-80

-10

A16/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

88-75

+13

H23/02

Lega A

Sassari

78-102

102

-24

A02/03

Lega A

Pistoia

75-74

H09/03

Lega A

Varese

#10

79-86

-7

H16/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

85-96

-11

A22/03

Lega A

11-23

20-13

15-28

19-25

17-19

24-22

23-20

24-21

15-18

30-22

15-25

28-35

23-31

17-13

22-21

20-14

16-24

16-14

14-23

24-19

25-24

25-21

24-15

14-15

20-26

14-34

24-24

20-18

19-25

24-14

7-20

25-15

18-12

18-24

21-25

22-25

12-28

24-16

21-29

28-23

166.1Avg total

79.8Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	79.7	88.5	168.2	-8.8	25%
Season at home (12)	78.7	85.9	164.6	-7.2	33%
Season away (12)	80.7	91.1	171.8	-10.4	17%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	86.3	166.1	-6.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	86.6	167.6	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	78.1	88.9	167.0	-10.8	21%
vs Similar (6)	91.5	88.3	179.8	+3.2	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.4	38.1	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	12.0	27.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.6	18.8	37.5	-0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.3	41.4	-3.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	23.1	41.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	17.1	39.0	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	18.7	41.9	+4.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	17.4	42.1	+7.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.5	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.5	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.9	41.3	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.6	54%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	19.7	43.8	+4.5	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

41-27

+14

H23/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#12

41-26

+15

H27/02

Euroleague

Venezia

#11

44-46

-2

H02/03

Lega A

Olympiacos

50-47

A06/03

Euroleague

Reggiana

49-32

+17

A09/03

Lega A

Baskonia

#15

50-36

+14

A13/03

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

46-31

+15

H16/03

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#25

37-39

-2

H21/03

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

43-42

A24/03

Lega A

Fenerbahce

38-29

A28/03

Euroleague

79.4Avg total

43.9Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	35.3	76.2	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	32.8	73.0	+7.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	38.1	79.9	+3.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	35.5	79.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.4	78.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.0	34.6	75.6	+6.4	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.4	36.0	77.4	+5.4	76%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

#11

31-36

-5

A12/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

41-41

H19/01

Lega A

Caserta

45-40

A26/01

Lega A

Cantu

40-44

-4

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

32-38

-6

A16/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

50-45

H23/02

Lega A

Sassari

34-60

-26

A02/03

Lega A

Pistoia

43-39

H09/03

Lega A

Varese

#10

36-36

H16/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

36-44

-8

A22/03

Lega A

81.1Avg total

38.8Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	43.2	82.7	-3.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	42.9	83.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	43.5	82.4	-4.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	42.3	81.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	44.8	84.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.0	43.1	81.2	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.3	43.5	88.8	+1.8	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	15.4	34.9	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	14.0	29.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	16.2	34.6	+2.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.5	42.0	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	24.5	43.8	-5.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	20.5	44.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	18.6	39.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	17.8	35.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	15.0	34.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	31.0	49.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.2	16.6	36.9	+3.6	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	54%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.5	24.3	46.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	35.2	73.2	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	33.9	74.1	+6.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.5	36.6	72.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	33.4	73.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	45.0	78.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.5	35.2	71.6	+1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.1	33.6	72.7	+5.4	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	43.5	83.3	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	41.9	81.7	-2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	45.1	84.9	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.8	83.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.2	43.1	81.4	-4.9	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	46.2	44.8	91.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/13	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	73-94
06/04/13	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	93-65
10/12/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	70-72
04/06/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	67-73
02/06/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	85-77
31/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-68
29/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-75
29/01/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	81-70
15/10/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	69-66
15/05/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	82-71

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/14	A	Fenerbahce	82-73
24/03/14	A	Sutor Montegranaro	88-76
21/03/14	H	Anadolu Efes	76-69
16/03/14	H	Virtus Roma	85-61
13/03/14	A	Baskonia	83-65
09/03/14	A	Reggiana	82-78
06/03/14	A	Olympiacos	88-86
02/03/14	H	Venezia	91-82
27/02/14	H	Panathinaikos	77-75
23/02/14	H	Virtus Bologna	89-66

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/14	A	Virtus Roma	85-96
16/03/14	H	Varese	79-86
09/03/14	H	Pistoia	75-74
02/03/14	A	Sassari	78-102
23/02/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-75
16/02/14	A	Siena	70-80
02/02/14	H	Cantu	82-79
26/01/14	A	Caserta	88-100
19/01/14	H	Avellino	88-82
12/01/14	A	Venezia	65-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	79%	100%	58%
Points / game	80.5	82.4	78.7
Allowed / game	70.3	63.4	77.2
Point differential	+10.2	+19.0	+1.5
Avg total	150.8	145.8	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	92%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	-	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	25%
Home	WWWWL	33%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	25%	33%	17%
Points / game	79.7	78.7	80.7
Allowed / game	88.5	85.9	91.1
Point differential	-8.8	-7.2	-10.4
Avg total	168.2	164.6	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	40% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	12%	17%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	24	19	5	79%	80.5	70.3	+10.2
2	Siena	25	17	8	68%	76.5	69.3	+7.2
3	Cantu	25	17	8	68%	81.0	76.5	+4.5
4	Brindisi	25	17	8	68%	76.7	73.3	+3.4
5	Sassari	25	16	9	64%	86.4	79.4	+6.9
6	Virtus Roma	25	15	10	60%	78.1	77.1	+1.0
7	Reggiana	25	12	13	48%	76.4	74.0	+2.5
8	Caserta	25	12	13	48%	72.4	71.9	+0.5
9	Venezia	25	11	14	44%	80.0	79.9	+0.2
10	Avellino	25	11	14	44%	75.0	79.9	-4.8
11	Virtus Bologna	25	10	15	40%	78.2	79.4	-1.2
12	Varese	25	10	15	40%	80.0	82.6	-2.6
13	Pistoia	25	10	15	40%	76.0	79.0	-3.0
14	Cremona	25	9	16	36%	76.5	83.0	-6.5
15	Sutor Montegranaro	25	7	18	28%	77.5	86.9	-9.4
16	Pesaro	24	6	18	25%	79.7	88.5	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	25	24	25	21	95
Pesaro	15	17	16	16	64

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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