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Olimpia Milano vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 107-79
24-19 32-28 27-11 24-21
Position#5
Record21-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#4
Record23-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.8
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals· Unipol Forum
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Trento
08 Nov 2026
MIL88
TRE86
07 Dec 2025
MIL94
TRE90
24 May 2025
MIL89
TRE82
22 May 2025
MIL107
TRE79
23 Mar 2025
MIL89
TRE87
16 Feb 2025
MIL63
TRE79
14 May 2024
MIL104
TRE93
12 May 2024
MIL84
TRE85
07 Apr 2024
MIL91
TRE86
14 Feb 2024
MIL80
TRE57
29 Jan 2023
MIL78
TRE65
03 Oct 2021
MIL93
TRE72
14 May 2021
MIL93
TRE79
13 May 2021
MIL88
TRE62
01 Nov 2020
MIL82
TRE75
22 Dec 2019
MIL81
TRE69
06 Jan 2019
MIL86
TRE78
13 Jun 2018
MIL91
TRE90
07 Jun 2018
MIL90
TRE80
05 Jun 2018
MIL98
TRE85
17 Mar 2018
MIL88
TRE80
23 Sep 2017
MIL74
TRE65
02 Jun 2017
MIL82
TRE102
27 May 2017
MIL71
TRE78
25 May 2017
MIL66
TRE76
02 Apr 2017
MIL76
TRE98
10 May 2016
MIL79
TRE71
08 May 2016
MIL86
TRE74
23 Mar 2016
MIL79
TRE92
16 Jan 2016
MIL83
TRE79
20 Oct 2014
MIL90
TRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 80
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 80
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
111-89
111
89
+22
111avg 80
H10/04
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
95-80
95
80
+15
94avg 80
H13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
118-83
118
83
+35
118avg 80
H18/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
82avg 80
A27/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 80
A04/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
100-72
100
72
+28
100avg 80
H11/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
59avg 80
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
52avg 80
A19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
20-22
13-21
28-25
22-23
24-23
16-23
16-18
31-18
31-17
20-26
29-28
23-24
24-21
26-17
22-18
27-18
27-25
33-16
31-24
22-16
19-20
23-11
21-21
26-27
12-20
22-22
21-20
23-22
27-17
27-13
23-20
21-24
25-15
9-16
18-15
20-23
15-16
19-23
13-8
167.6Avg total
87.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.282.8171.0+5.466%
Season at home (15)95.684.3179.9+11.387%
Season away (17)81.781.5163.2+0.247%
Last 10 (10)87.879.8167.6+8.060%
Last 5 (5)81.273.8155.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.086.4166.4-6.440%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.382.6163.9-1.353%
vs Weaker (9)94.481.0175.4+13.478%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
87avg 77
A23/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 77
H30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
84avg 77
H05/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
82avg 77
A13/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
82avg 77
A19/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
95-77
95
77
+18
90avg 77
H27/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
84-63
84
63
+21
78avg 77
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
114-89
114
89
+25
122avg 77
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 77
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
67avg 77
H19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
21-24
22-20
25-21
19-18
18-25
18-12
20-23
21-18
25-24
19-13
23-23
21-21
19-27
21-22
28-16
32-24
22-17
13-20
27-27
19-15
23-24
27-15
26-23
27-12
21-19
16-16
20-16
22-19
25-20
36-28
31-22
24-21
15-25
16-9
15-18
23-20
16-15
23-19
8-13
165.4Avg total
86.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.380.8168.1+6.572%
Season at home (17)85.176.0161.1+9.176%
Season away (15)89.986.2176.1+3.767%
Last 10 (10)86.678.8165.4+7.870%
Last 5 (5)86.673.8160.4+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.584.2154.8-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.578.7160.2+2.858%
vs Weaker (13)88.478.8167.2+9.677%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
Olimpia MilanoTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H10/04
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H18/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H11/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A19/05
Lega A
86.1Avg total
44.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.686.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.244.291.4+2.962%-
Last 30 away (17)40.541.481.9-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.386.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.045.085.0-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.541.983.4-0.540%-
vs Weaker (9)48.143.691.7+4.678%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H05/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A19/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/05
Lega A
84.4Avg total
43.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.082.9+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.439.480.8+1.965%-
Last 30 away (13)42.643.285.8-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.284.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.081.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.842.885.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (13)44.138.582.6+5.585%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.9
53.9%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.7
39.2%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.214.9
77.6%
76.8%14.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.4
38.9%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.112.4
77.0%
76.8%12.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWLWWWWLL
Trento
WLWWWWWWLL
#5
League position
#4
+10.9
Net rating
+11.0
121.2
Offensive rating
114.9
110.3
Defensive rating
103.9
56.0%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.2%
3-point %
38.9%
59.2%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 114.9Defence110.3 · 103.9Shooting56.0% · 56.1%3-point %39.2% · 38.9%Ball care14.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.3% · 32.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Trento wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/25ATrento67-70
17/05/25ATrento73-70
11/05/25HScafati100-72
04/05/25ATrapani81-89
27/04/25ATortona85-68
18/04/25HCremona118-83
13/04/25HPistoia95-80
10/04/25HBaskonia111-89
06/04/25AReggiana78-87
04/04/25AVirtus Bologna70-90
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/25HOlimpia Milano70-67
17/05/25HOlimpia Milano70-73
10/05/25ABasket Napoli114-89
03/05/25HReggiana84-63
27/04/25HSassari95-77
19/04/25ATrieste94-88
13/04/25ACremona89-86
05/04/25HScafati88-78
30/03/25HBrescia75-78
23/03/25AOlimpia Milano87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL66%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %66%87%47%
Points / game88.295.681.7
Allowed / game82.884.381.5
Point differential+5.4+11.3+0.2
Avg total171.0179.9163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %72%76%67%
Points / game87.385.189.9
Allowed / game80.876.086.2
Point differential+6.5+9.1+3.7
Avg total168.1161.1176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%41%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3225778%85.977.5+8.3
2 Trapani3325876%94.284.9+9.3
3 Trento3223972%87.380.8+6.5
4 Brescia3223972%90.785.0+5.7
5 Olimpia Milano32211166%88.282.8+5.4
6 Trieste32191359%87.485.3+2.1
7 Reggiana33181555%79.978.8+1.1
8 Venezia32161650%82.980.3+2.6
9 Tortona30151550%86.286.0+0.2
10 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
11 Treviso30121840%84.588.1-3.6
12 Varese30102033%86.394.9-8.6
13 Cremona3092130%79.884.6-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati3062420%84.492.9-8.5
16 Pistoia3062420%78.789.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano24322724107
Trento1928112179
← all games of the day
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