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Tortona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 68-85
16-22 20-19 11-23 21-21
Position#9
Record14-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#5
Record18-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game84.5
ItalyLega ARound 28· PalaFerraris
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tortona v Olimpia Milano
22 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TOR78
MIL87
27 Apr 2025
TOR68
MIL85
22 Oct 2023
TOR75
MIL79
30 Apr 2023
TOR75
MIL77
06 Mar 2022
TOR64
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
102-79
102
79
+23
105avg 76
A16/03
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 76
H19/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 76
H23/03
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 76
H26/03
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 76
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 76
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
80avg 76
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 76
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
54avg 76
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 76
A19/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
22-21
33-13
24-30
27-21
18-16
23-24
15-21
32-17
22-17
18-16
22-18
18-17
22-15
25-24
15-18
22-22
16-22
23-27
21-23
17-23
37-28
16-29
21-21
10-23
26-17
19-19
25-21
16-20
20-16
21-21
25-30
19-24
19-11
16-24
10-18
20-25
22-33
17-19
32-15
170.5Avg total
85.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.685.6172.2+0.952%
Season at home (13)83.682.5166.1+1.254%
Season away (14)89.388.6177.9+0.750%
Last 10 (10)85.884.7170.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.490.0173.4-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)85.189.9175.0-4.743%
vs Similar (9)81.687.2168.8-5.722%
vs Weaker (13)85.975.4161.3+10.585%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 81
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 81
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 81
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 81
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
87-95
87
95
-8
79avg 81
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 81
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 81
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
111-89
111
89
+22
111avg 81
H10/04
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
95-80
95
80
+15
94avg 81
H13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
118-83
118
83
+35
118avg 81
H18/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-26
30-28
12-16
24-19
24-21
20-22
21-25
16-31
25-23
22-24
26-18
21-25
23-30
19-19
25-24
17-19
30-22
26-23
14-31
9-22
20-22
13-21
28-25
22-23
24-23
16-23
16-18
31-18
31-17
20-26
29-28
23-24
24-21
26-17
22-18
27-18
27-25
33-16
31-24
180.1Avg total
90.4Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.584.5174.0+5.067%
Season at home (14)95.385.1180.4+10.186%
Season away (13)83.383.8167.1-0.546%
Last 10 (10)90.489.7180.1+0.740%
Last 5 (5)94.485.8180.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.790.3168.0-12.733%
vs Similar (14)81.584.6166.1-3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)97.084.8181.8+12.278%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
TortonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A16/03
Lega A
AEK Athens
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H19/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/03
Lega A
Wurzburg
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H26/03
Champions League
Venezia
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A30/03
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H05/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A09/04
Champions League
Sassari
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/04
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/04
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A19/04
Lega A
83.1Avg total
42.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.680.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.640.683.2+2.062%-
Last 30 away (17)38.640.579.1-1.935%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.383.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.644.786.3-3.143%-
vs Similar (9)38.444.082.4-5.622%-
vs Weaker (13)41.535.877.4+5.769%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H10/04
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H18/04
Lega A
90.6Avg total
45.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.887.4-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.044.591.5+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.243.283.4-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.190.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.690.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.885.3-8.333%-
vs Similar (14)41.942.184.0-0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)49.345.795.0+3.778%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.1
52.3%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.4
35.3%
35.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.215.4
84.6%
76.8%15.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.4
56.7%
52.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.8
39.7%
35.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.016.6
83.0%
76.8%16.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LLLLLLWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLLLLWL
#9
League position
#5
+1.2
Net rating
+1.5
113.5
Offensive rating
120.2
112.3
Defensive rating
118.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
57.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.3%
3-point %
39.7%
63.4%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 120.2Defence112.3 · 118.7Shooting52.6% · 57.9%3-point %35.3% · 39.7%Ball care15.3% · 14.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25ATreviso91-92
16/04/25HTenerife64-77
13/04/25ASassari82-87
09/04/25ATenerife89-93 OT
05/04/25HTrapani91-101
30/03/25AVenezia82-94
26/03/25HWurzburg80-74
23/03/25HPistoia94-68
19/03/25HAEK Athens83-82
16/03/25AScafati102-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25HCremona118-83
13/04/25HPistoia95-80
10/04/25HBaskonia111-89
06/04/25AReggiana78-87
04/04/25AVirtus Bologna70-90
31/03/25ABasket Napoli87-95
27/03/25HBarcelona88-98
25/03/25AReal Madrid89-96
23/03/25HTrento89-87
18/03/25AParis79-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeLLWWL54%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game86.683.689.3
Allowed / game85.682.588.6
Point differential+0.9+1.2+0.7
Avg total172.2166.1177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%86%46%
Points / game89.595.383.3
Allowed / game84.585.183.8
Point differential+5.0+10.1-0.5
Avg total174.0180.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2720774%94.785.1+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna2720774%84.176.7+7.4
3 Trento2820871%87.781.9+5.8
4 Brescia2719870%90.185.4+4.7
5 Olimpia Milano2718967%89.584.5+5.0
6 Reggiana27171063%80.677.5+3.0
7 Trieste27161159%86.885.4+1.4
8 Venezia27151256%83.380.1+3.1
9 Tortona27141352%86.685.6+0.9
10 Sassari28121643%81.583.9-2.4
11 Treviso27101737%84.187.8-3.7
12 Varese2791833%87.995.5-7.6
13 Basket Napoli2781930%83.588.0-4.5
14 Cremona2781930%78.984.2-5.3
15 Scafati2762122%84.792.3-7.6
16 Pistoia2752219%79.089.0-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona1620112168
Olimpia Milano2219232185
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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