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Olimpia Milano vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 111-89
31-18 31-17 20-26 29-28
Position#11
Record16-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#14
Record14-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Unipol Forum
European cup2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Baskonia
08 Apr 2027
MIL v BAS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
MIL109
BAS89
10 Apr 2025
MIL111
BAS89
28 Dec 2023
MIL76
BAS67
31 Jan 2023
MIL89
BAS83
10 Feb 2022
MIL89
BAS78
23 Dec 2020
MIL79
BAS84
21 Nov 2018
MIL93
BAS90
20 Dec 2017
MIL92
BAS85
15 Nov 2016
MIL88
BAS76
16 Oct 2015
MIL78
BAS76
26 Mar 2015
MIL99
BAS85
17 Jan 2014
MIL83
BAS76
25 Oct 2012
MIL85
BAS95
25 Feb 2009
MIL74
BAS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
78avg 80
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 80
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 80
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
87-95
87
95
-8
79avg 80
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 80
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 80
A06/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
20-24
19-15
28-12
23-24
25-21
20-19
14-16
14-19
24-23
22-17
19-14
18-22
19-26
30-28
12-16
24-19
24-21
20-22
21-25
16-31
25-23
22-24
26-18
21-25
23-30
19-19
25-24
17-19
30-22
26-23
14-31
9-22
20-22
13-21
28-25
22-23
24-23
16-23
16-18
170.9Avg total
83.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)84.786.6171.3-1.948%
Season at home (16)86.884.4171.2+2.356%
Season away (17)82.788.6171.4-5.941%
Last 10 (10)83.187.8170.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)82.493.2175.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.790.3168.0-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.882.4163.2-1.653%
vs Weaker (8)96.985.2182.1+11.675%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
81avg 78
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
90-97
90
97
-7
91avg 78
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 78
A16/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
112-89
112
89
+23
105avg 78
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
83avg 78
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
76-92
76
92
-16
74avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 78
H06/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
18-25
27-16
25-20
24-26
22-24
23-25
21-22
20-21
20-18
13-17
25-27
25-21
25-27
33-23
29-18
21-20
20-29
28-15
21-20
22-28
22-21
15-18
17-25
13-19
19-27
27-26
18-10
13-34
21-23
23-17
25-14
30-14
32-20
30-19
19-22
22-11
24-24
27-23
19-18
173.8Avg total
89.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.482.8165.2-0.442%
Season at home (17)87.480.0167.4+7.471%
Season away (16)77.185.8162.8-8.712%
Last 10 (10)89.284.6173.8+4.650%
Last 5 (5)87.682.6170.2+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.988.9171.8-6.012%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.681.6168.2+5.164%
vs Weaker (8)90.483.8174.1+6.662%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
Olimpia MilanoBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A06/04
Lega A
88.9Avg total
42.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.586.1-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.245.390.5-0.258%-
Last 30 away (18)40.942.383.2-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.888.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.089.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.885.3-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.341.681.9-1.347%-
vs Weaker (8)49.445.995.2+3.575%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H06/04
ACB
87.8Avg total
42.7Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.883.4-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.840.885.6+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)35.745.180.9-9.421%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.187.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.144.283.4-5.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.543.083.5-2.543%-
vs Weaker (8)42.041.183.1+0.938%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.3
55.0%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.118.2
82.4%
78.0%18.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.1
56.8%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.8
39.3%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
78.0%15.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLLLLWLWWW
Baskonia
WWLLLWWLLW
#11
League position
#14
-6.6
Net rating
+6.0
110.4
Offensive rating
117.7
117.0
Defensive rating
111.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
57.7%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.0%
3-point %
39.3%
55.8%
Assist %
70.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 117.7Defence117.0 · 111.7Shooting53.3% · 57.7%3-point %34.0% · 39.3%Ball care15.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds22.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AReggiana78-87
04/04/25AVirtus Bologna70-90
31/03/25ABasket Napoli87-95
27/03/25HBarcelona88-98
25/03/25AReal Madrid89-96
23/03/25HTrento89-87
18/03/25AParis79-92
15/03/25ABrescia79-73
13/03/25ACrvena zvezda82-80
09/03/25HTreviso90-80
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HBasquet Girona92-76
04/04/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-75
30/03/25ABreogan82-88
28/03/25AFenerbahce77-82
26/03/25AAnadolu Efes76-92
22/03/25HManresa90-84
20/03/25HBayern112-89
16/03/25AReal Madrid78-83
13/03/25AAlba Berlin90-97
09/03/25HGran Canaria84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL48%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayWWLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %48%56%41%
Points / game84.786.882.7
Allowed / game86.684.488.6
Point differential-1.9+2.3-5.9
Avg total171.3171.2171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %42%71%12%
Points / game82.487.477.1
Allowed / game82.880.085.8
Point differential-0.4+7.4-8.7
Avg total165.2167.4162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)50% (8)0% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%86.981.8+5.1
2 Fenerbahce34231168%83.281.2+2.0
3 Panathinaikos33211264%87.783.2+4.5
4 Monaco34211362%86.382.9+3.4
5 Anadolu Efes33191458%86.882.4+4.4
6 Barcelona33191458%88.084.3+3.7
7 Real Madrid33191458%84.982.5+2.4
8 Bayern34191556%87.287.8-0.6
9 Crvena zvezda33181555%82.180.2+1.9
10 Paris33181555%86.986.3+0.6
11 Partizan33161748%81.579.8+1.8
12 Olimpia Milano33161748%84.786.6-1.9
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33151845%77.478.7-1.3
14 Baskonia33141942%82.482.8-0.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3392427%79.083.5-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3352815%79.291.9-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano31312029111
Baskonia1817262889
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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