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Trento vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-73
24-21 15-25 16-9 15-18
Position#4
Record22-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#5
Record20-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trento v Olimpia Milano
11 Apr 2027
TRE v MIL
upcoming
10 May 2026
TRE84
MIL74
19 May 2025
TRE70
MIL67
17 May 2025
TRE70
MIL73
03 Nov 2024
TRE91
MIL57
19 May 2024
TRE69
MIL87
17 May 2024
TRE68
MIL83
07 Jan 2024
TRE74
MIL79
18 Dec 2022
TRE77
MIL75
05 Feb 2022
TRE73
MIL79
16 May 2021
TRE65
MIL74
07 Mar 2021
TRE61
MIL60
13 Apr 2020
TRE v MIL
upcoming
05 May 2019
TRE77
MIL79
15 Jun 2018
TRE71
MIL96
11 Jun 2018
TRE77
MIL74
09 Jun 2018
TRE72
MIL65
11 Nov 2017
TRE55
MIL74
31 May 2017
TRE88
MIL64
29 May 2017
TRE66
MIL87
04 Dec 2016
TRE74
MIL92
12 May 2016
TRE61
MIL62
15 Mar 2016
TRE83
MIL73
08 Oct 2015
TRE80
MIL73
01 Feb 2015
TRE84
MIL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 77
A10/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
87-64
87
64
+23
84avg 77
H16/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
87avg 77
A23/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 77
H30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
84avg 77
H05/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
82avg 77
A13/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
82avg 77
A19/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
95-77
95
77
+18
90avg 77
H27/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
84-63
84
63
+21
78avg 77
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
114-89
114
89
+25
122avg 77
A10/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-23
15-15
19-16
21-20
24-14
26-13
16-17
19-24
21-24
22-20
25-21
19-18
18-25
18-12
20-23
21-18
25-24
19-13
23-23
21-21
19-27
21-22
28-16
32-24
22-17
13-20
27-27
19-15
23-24
27-15
26-23
27-12
21-19
16-16
20-16
22-19
25-20
36-28
31-22
168.0Avg total
88.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.581.5170.0+7.073%
Season at home (15)87.176.8163.9+10.380%
Season away (15)89.986.2176.1+3.767%
Last 10 (10)88.879.2168.0+9.670%
Last 5 (5)95.280.6175.8+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.089.4167.4-11.40%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.282.8168.0+2.455%
vs Weaker (13)88.478.8167.2+9.677%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 81
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
87-95
87
95
-8
79avg 81
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 81
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 81
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
111-89
111
89
+22
111avg 81
H10/04
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
95-80
95
80
+15
94avg 81
H13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
118-83
118
83
+35
118avg 81
H18/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
82avg 81
A27/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 81
A04/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
100-72
100
72
+28
100avg 81
H11/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
23-30
19-19
25-24
17-19
30-22
26-23
14-31
9-22
20-22
13-21
28-25
22-23
24-23
16-23
16-18
31-18
31-17
20-26
29-28
23-24
24-21
26-17
22-18
27-18
27-25
33-16
31-24
22-16
19-20
23-11
21-21
26-27
12-20
22-22
21-20
23-22
27-17
27-13
23-20
176.4Avg total
91.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)89.483.7173.1+5.867%
Season at home (15)95.684.3179.9+11.387%
Season away (15)83.383.1166.3+0.247%
Last 10 (10)91.385.1176.4+6.250%
Last 5 (5)95.878.4174.2+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.790.3168.0-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.384.6166.9-2.350%
vs Weaker (9)94.481.0175.4+13.478%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
TrentoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A10/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H05/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A19/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A10/05
Lega A
85.4Avg total
44.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.984.7+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.380.9+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.588.5-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.485.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.685.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.443.879.2-8.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.944.789.6+0.245%-
vs Weaker (13)44.138.582.6+5.585%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H10/04
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H18/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H11/05
Lega A
88.9Avg total
45.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.586.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.244.291.4+2.962%-
Last 30 away (17)40.143.083.1-2.941%-
Last 10 (10)45.843.188.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.885.3-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.742.984.6-1.136%-
vs Weaker (9)48.143.691.7+4.678%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.3
56.4%
52.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.5
38.6%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.9
76.3%
76.8%12.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.2
56.3%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.5
42.0%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.6
81.2%
76.8%15.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWWWWWLLWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLLLL
#4
League position
#5
+12.8
Net rating
+8.8
117.2
Offensive rating
124.5
104.4
Defensive rating
115.7
57.1%
Effective FG%
59.2%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.6%
3-point %
42.0%
59.7%
Assist %
61.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 124.5Defence104.4 · 115.7Shooting57.1% · 59.2%3-point %38.6% · 42.0%Ball care17.2% · 14.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trento wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ABasket Napoli114-89
03/05/25HReggiana84-63
27/04/25HSassari95-77
19/04/25ATrieste94-88
13/04/25ACremona89-86
05/04/25HScafati88-78
30/03/25HBrescia75-78
23/03/25AOlimpia Milano87-89
16/03/25HPistoia87-64
10/03/25AVirtus Bologna75-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HScafati100-72
04/05/25ATrapani81-89
27/04/25ATortona85-68
18/04/25HCremona118-83
13/04/25HPistoia95-80
10/04/25HBaskonia111-89
06/04/25AReggiana78-87
04/04/25AVirtus Bologna70-90
31/03/25ABasket Napoli87-95
27/03/25HBarcelona88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game88.587.189.9
Allowed / game81.576.886.2
Point differential+7.0+10.3+3.7
Avg total170.0163.9176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)25% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%87%47%
Points / game89.495.683.3
Allowed / game83.784.383.1
Point differential+5.8+11.3+0.2
Avg total173.1179.9166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3023777%86.077.4+8.7
2 Trapani3022873%94.685.2+9.4
3 Trento3022873%88.581.5+7.0
4 Brescia3022873%90.784.7+6.0
5 Olimpia Milano30201067%89.483.7+5.8
6 Trieste30181260%87.284.9+2.3
7 Reggiana30181260%79.777.6+2.1
8 Venezia30161453%83.180.1+3.0
9 Tortona30151550%86.286.0+0.2
10 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
11 Treviso30121840%84.588.1-3.6
12 Varese30102033%86.394.9-8.6
13 Cremona3092130%79.884.6-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati3062420%84.492.9-8.5
16 Pistoia3062420%78.789.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2415161570
Olimpia Milano212591873
← all games of the day
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