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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-70
22-9 22-20 21-13 25-28
Position#17
Record8-24
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#11
Record16-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game86.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Segafredo Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 78
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 78
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 78
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
92avg 78
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 78
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
52-88
52
88
-36
44avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
108-64
108
64
+44
126avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
69-45
69
45
+24
64avg 78
H31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
18-9
25-25
23-21
24-24
18-15
10-22
16-28
26-20
23-21
15-15
16-19
17-30
16-20
21-18
13-12
20-20
24-24
22-25
22-24
17-15
16-27
12-23
22-12
22-17
19-20
17-20
20-28
11-28
16-23
10-18
15-19
27-15
35-18
25-11
21-20
11-11
22-16
17-11
19-7
153.9Avg total
76.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.683.9162.5-5.325%
Season at home (16)77.981.8159.8-3.925%
Season away (16)79.386.0165.3-6.725%
Last 10 (10)76.377.6153.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)74.871.8146.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.288.6162.8-14.410%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.676.4154.0+1.262%
vs Weaker (11)84.369.9154.2+14.473%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 80
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 80
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
78avg 80
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 80
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 80
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
87-95
87
95
-8
79avg 80
A31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
9-18
25-25
21-23
19-24
18-29
19-23
20-24
23-29
20-24
19-15
28-12
23-24
25-21
20-19
14-16
14-19
24-23
22-17
19-14
18-22
19-26
30-28
12-16
24-19
24-21
20-22
21-25
16-31
25-23
22-24
26-18
21-25
23-30
19-19
25-24
17-19
30-22
26-23
14-31
172.6Avg total
83.9Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.186.5171.6-1.450%
Season at home (16)86.884.4171.2+2.356%
Season away (16)83.588.6172.1-5.144%
Last 10 (10)83.988.7172.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)86.493.6180.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.489.4167.9-11.029%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.681.9163.4-0.357%
vs Weaker (8)98.284.2182.5+14.088%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H13/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A26/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H31/03
Lega A
80.0Avg total
40.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.379.3+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.338.277.5+1.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.581.4+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.880.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.644.882.4-7.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.237.277.5+3.062%-
vs Weaker (11)42.735.077.7+7.782%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/03
Lega A
88.6Avg total
41.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.186.1+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.845.089.8-0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)41.841.683.4+0.259%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.988.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.691.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.746.084.7-7.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.141.482.6-0.350%-
vs Weaker (8)49.844.694.4+5.188%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.7
55.9%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.8
27.6%
36.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.013.3
78.2%
78.0%13.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.6
54.6%
54.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.1
31.6%
36.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.019.6
85.2%
78.0%19.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLLLLLWLW
Olimpia Milano
LLLWLWWWLL
#17
League position
#11
-2.3
Net rating
-6.4
103.6
Offensive rating
111.7
105.9
Defensive rating
118.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
27.6%
3-point %
31.6%
66.9%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 111.7Defence105.9 · 118.1Shooting50.2% · 51.6%3-point %27.6% · 31.6%Ball care16.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.4% · 24.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25HReggiana69-45
28/03/25AAlba Berlin108-64
26/03/25ACrvena zvezda52-88
22/03/25ATrieste78-85
20/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv67-77
16/03/25ABasket Napoli88-93
13/03/25HReal Madrid67-80
10/03/25HTrento80-75
07/03/25AAnadolu Efes68-89
02/03/25HOlimpia Milano86-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/25ABasket Napoli87-95
27/03/25HBarcelona88-98
25/03/25AReal Madrid89-96
23/03/25HTrento89-87
18/03/25AParis79-92
15/03/25ABrescia79-73
13/03/25ACrvena zvezda82-80
09/03/25HTreviso90-80
06/03/25HFenerbahce76-100
02/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game78.677.979.3
Allowed / game83.981.886.0
Point differential-5.3-3.9-6.7
Avg total162.5159.8165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game85.186.883.5
Allowed / game86.584.488.6
Point differential-1.4+2.3-5.1
Avg total171.6171.2172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos33231070%86.581.5+5.0
2 Fenerbahce33221167%83.081.3+1.7
3 Panathinaikos33211264%87.783.2+4.5
4 Monaco33201361%86.483.1+3.4
5 Anadolu Efes33191458%86.882.4+4.4
6 Barcelona33191458%88.084.3+3.7
7 Real Madrid33191458%84.982.5+2.4
8 Bayern33191458%87.587.7-0.2
9 Crvena zvezda33181555%82.180.2+1.9
10 Paris33181555%86.986.3+0.6
11 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.186.5-1.4
12 Partizan33161748%81.579.8+1.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33151845%77.478.7-1.3
14 Baskonia32131941%81.583.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne32131941%81.284.6-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv33112233%85.789.5-3.8
17 Virtus Bologna3282425%78.683.9-5.3
18 Alba Berlin3352815%79.291.9-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2222212590
Olimpia Milano920132870
← all games of the day
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