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Oliveirense vs Braga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game81.1
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2026-27
Meetings · Oliveirense v Braga
20 Mar 2027
OLIV v BRAG
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
OLIV87
BRAG77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Braga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 77
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 77
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 77
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
75avg 77
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 77
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
105avg 77
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
103avg 77
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
21-20
24-25
24-25
21-20
26-16
31-34
19-26
11-17
21-18
20-20
24-25
26-21
171.2Avg total
83.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.290.0182.2+2.267%
Season at home (2)95.586.5182.0+9.050%
Season away (4)90.591.8182.2-1.275%
Last 10 (10)83.787.5171.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)92.491.6184.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.287.9165.1-10.720%
vs Similar (8)83.482.1165.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (12)90.882.4173.2+8.475%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 78
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 78
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 78
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 78
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
105-71
105
71
+34
107avg 78
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-72
91
72
+19
98avg 78
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 78
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
102avg 78
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
18-22
18-22
23-33
20-17
19-26
9-26
20-23
35-21
28-18
33-21
17-18
27-14
20-12
23-18
26-22
22-20
20-22
23-14
19-14
18-21
24-23
22-19
20-21
32-23
21-20
29-29
13-15
13-17
18-21
20-20
25-24
21-26
166.1Avg total
84.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.181.1169.3+7.057%
Season at home (4)94.580.0174.5+14.575%
Season away (3)79.782.7162.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.281.9166.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)85.880.2166.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.3-13.017%
vs Similar (10)84.485.1169.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.476.0167.4+15.488%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
OliveirenseBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/11
LPB
83.0Avg total
41.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.8+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.841.990.7+6.885%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.180.2-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.642.882.4-3.250%-
vs Similar (8)43.642.285.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker (12)46.239.886.0+6.567%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H11/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H18/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A08/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/11
LPB
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.783.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.981.6-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.584.4-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.183.0-9.217%-
vs Similar (10)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.935.979.8+8.075%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
71.1%16.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.5
49.7%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
31.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
71.1%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WLWWLWLLLW
Braga
LLWWWWLLLW
#4
League position
#6
-0.9
Net rating
+5.9
89.7
Offensive rating
92.2
90.6
Defensive rating
86.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
27.8%
3-point %
34.9%
60.9%
Assist %
72.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 92.2Defence90.6 · 86.3Shooting49.4% · 50.9%3-point %27.8% · 34.9%Ball care17.4% · 18.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oliveirense wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Braga v Oliveirense84-91
14/03/26Oliveirense v Braga87-77
09/11/25Braga v Oliveirense66-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABraga91-84
07/11/26HOvarense87-93
31/10/26ACAB Madeira113-109 OT
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOliveirense84-91
08/11/26AFC Porto76-81
01/11/26HSporting CP98-86
25/10/26ACD Povoa80-71
18/10/26HVitoria91-72
11/10/26HPortimonense105-71
03/10/26AOvarense83-96
13/05/26HBenfica79-94
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game92.295.590.5
Allowed / game90.086.591.8
Point differential+2.2+9.0-1.2
Avg total182.2182.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Braga
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.194.579.7
Allowed / game81.180.082.7
Point differential+7.0+14.5-3.0
Avg total169.3174.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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