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Oliveirense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-76
17-19 24-17 24-21 19-19
Position#5
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#10
Record3-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game88.4
PortugalLPBRound 11· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oliveirense v Vitoria
21 Nov 2026
OLIV v VITO
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
OLIV84
VITO76
25 Oct 2024
OLIV93
VITO76
23 Dec 2023
OLIV80
VITO100
08 Dec 2022
OLIV82
VITO77
01 Nov 2021
OLIV90
VITO69
03 Mar 2021
OLIV101
VITO78
09 Nov 2019
OLIV90
VITO63
10 Mar 2019
OLIV89
VITO66
27 May 2018
OLIV99
VITO68
26 May 2018
OLIV82
VITO70
25 Mar 2018
OLIV100
VITO83
10 Mar 2018
OLIV76
VITO68
01 Apr 2017
OLIV83
VITO87
28 Jan 2017
OLIV67
VITO64
31 Oct 2015
OLIV73
VITO68
08 Nov 2014
OLIV72
VITO84
05 Apr 2014
OLIV69
VITO90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
A04/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 78
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 78
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
48avg 78
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
100-77
100
77
+23
96avg 78
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 78
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
84avg 78
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 78
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
88avg 78
A03/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-16
16-30
24-21
34-23
22-16
20-31
28-23
19-20
23-27
20-25
20-15
20-20
31-19
22-13
20-21
22-13
11-24
19-13
11-16
31-24
26-22
18-15
25-16
25-11
20-23
18-22
24-24
25-19
24-17
16-19
23-21
25-27
16-17
17-18
18-24
33-17
21-21
21-28
22-24
168.3Avg total
86.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.681.7168.3+4.960%
Season at home (5)92.281.0173.2+11.280%
Season away (5)81.082.4163.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)86.681.7168.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)89.681.8171.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.890.8175.5-6.025%
vs Similar (9)81.180.2161.3+0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.775.8158.5+6.965%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
68-97
68
97
-29
58avg 77
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 77
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
60avg 77
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 77
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
85-105
85
105
-20
76avg 77
A08/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
77-94
77
94
-17
64avg 77
H15/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 77
A06/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
65avg 77
H20/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
103-91
103
91
+12
95avg 77
A28/12
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
82avg 77
H04/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-20
27-21
14-27
19-29
23-28
21-16
22-21
15-19
22-25
13-18
16-20
21-13
27-18
12-22
21-23
16-24
26-29
16-27
16-14
27-35
16-25
24-18
20-25
17-26
34-25
21-19
20-29
22-17
25-16
19-15
17-18
21-23
23-28
29-26
30-21
21-16
23-28
26-14
12-21
23-25
170.9Avg total
82.5Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.588.4170.9-5.930%
Season at home (5)77.487.6165.0-10.220%
Season away (5)87.689.2176.8-1.640%
Last 10 (10)82.588.4170.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)88.687.0175.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.592.6172.1-13.17%
vs Similar (11)85.985.2171.1+0.755%
vs Weaker (4)89.084.0173.0+5.050%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
OliveirenseVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A03/01
LPB
86.2Avg total
46.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.380.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.840.083.8+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)37.838.476.2-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.886.2+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.239.688.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.543.286.8+0.225%-
vs Similar (9)40.839.179.9+1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.838.579.3+2.459%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A08/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A06/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H20/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A28/12
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/01
LPB
87.3Avg total
43.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.386.0-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.682.4+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)43.645.689.2-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.887.3-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.890.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.345.184.4-5.814%-
vs Similar (11)43.543.086.5+0.555%-
vs Weaker (4)46.838.585.2+8.275%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.8
59.9%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.6
31.0%
32.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.0
66.3%
70.4%13.0
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.5
53.2%
52.7%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.0
33.7%
32.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.015.9
69.1%
70.4%15.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WLWWWLWLWL
Vitoria
LWWWLLLLLL
#5
League position
#10
+9.2
Net rating
-7.2
113.6
Offensive rating
103.4
104.5
Defensive rating
110.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
22.3%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.0%
3-point %
33.7%
51.8%
Assist %
42.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 103.4Defence104.5 · 110.6Shooting54.8% · 52.3%3-point %31.0% · 33.7%Ball care14.6% · 22.3%Off. rebounds27.1% · 33.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Oliveirense wins
2
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Vitoria v Oliveirense74-92
25/10/24Oliveirense v Vitoria93-76
27/04/24Vitoria v Oliveirense77-94
23/12/23Oliveirense v Vitoria80-100
08/12/22Oliveirense v Vitoria82-77
24/09/22Vitoria v Oliveirense86-104
06/03/22Vitoria v Oliveirense69-85
01/11/21Oliveirense v Vitoria90-69
03/03/21Oliveirense v Vitoria101-78
14/11/20Vitoria v Oliveirense84-74
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AImortal97-90
28/12/25HSporting CP76-86
20/12/25HCA Queluz88-76
06/12/25AVasco Da Gama87-80
15/11/25HEsgueira100-77
09/11/25ABraga63-66
01/11/25HGalitos Barreiro93-73
18/10/25AOvarense82-87
11/10/25HFC Porto104-93
04/10/25ABenfica76-89
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HVasco Da Gama84-88
28/12/25AEsgueira103-91
20/12/25HBraga82-72
06/12/25AGalitos Barreiro97-90
15/11/25HOvarense77-94
08/11/25AFC Porto85-105
01/11/25HBenfica76-87
18/10/25ACA Queluz72-76
11/10/25AImortal81-84
05/10/25HSporting CP68-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game86.692.281.0
Allowed / game81.781.082.4
Point differential+4.9+11.2-1.4
Avg total168.3173.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game82.577.487.6
Allowed / game88.487.689.2
Point differential-5.9-10.2-1.6
Avg total170.9165.0176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica990100%94.671.1+23.4
2 Sporting CP119282%88.576.6+11.9
3 FC Porto107370%92.086.1+5.9
4 Ovarense107370%78.577.4+1.1
5 Oliveirense106460%86.681.7+4.9
6 CA Queluz104640%82.183.9-1.8
7 Esgueira104640%88.792.9-4.2
8 Braga104640%76.083.4-7.4
9 Imortal114736%85.084.6+0.4
10 Vitoria103730%82.588.4-5.9
11 Vasco Da Gama102820%81.792.6-10.9
12 Galitos Barreiro91811%83.9102.0-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense1724241984
Vitoria1917211976
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