Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 76-67

21-16 27-20 17-13 11-18

Position#2

Record15-1

FormWLLLL

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game67.6

Olympiacos 🏆

Aris

Position#9

Record6-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game69.2

Allowed / game71.3

Basket LeagueRound 17

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Olympiacos v Aris

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olympiacos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOlympiacos

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

#13

71-57

+14

102avg 105

H17/01

Euroleague

Holargos B.C.

73-68 OT

no box

A20/01

Basket League

Fenerbahce

75-90

-15

99avg 105

A24/01

Euroleague

G.S. Kymis

#11

92-69

+23

no box

H27/01

Basket League

Barcelona

55-76

-21

77avg 105

H31/01

Euroleague

Ifaistos Limnou

73-53

+20

no box

A03/02

Basket League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

64-65

-1

86avg 105

A07/02

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

0-20

-20

no box

A13/02

Greek Cup

Anadolu Efes

65-75

-10

90avg 105

A21/02

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

81-97

-16

no box

H01/03

Euroleague

20-11

12-11

23-14

16-21

11-9

15-20

15-18

20-14

15-21

13-19

26-28

21-22

16-14

26-18

22-19

28-18

6-27

22-11

15-17

12-21

22-16

19-16

18-11

14-10

16-14

13-12

13-19

22-20

–

22-18

13-18

14-20

16-19

23-21

27-30

14-21

17-25

131.9Avg total

64.9Scored

67.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	84.1	67.6	151.7	+16.4	94%
Season at home (8)	92.5	66.5	159.0	+26.0	100%
Season away (8)	75.6	68.8	144.4	+6.9	88%
Last 10 (10)	64.9	67.0	131.9	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	56.6	62.0	118.6	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	68.6	76.9	145.4	-8.3	22%
vs Similar (7)	72.1	71.1	143.3	+1.0	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	85.2	68.6	153.9	+16.6	93%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAris

Date

Competition

PAOK

79-95

-16

no box

A25/11

Basket League

AEK Athens

77-81

-4

no box

H08/12

Basket League

Promitheas

61-71

-10

no box

A15/12

Basket League

Holargos B.C.

58-59

-1

no box

H22/12

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

57-75

-18

no box

A29/12

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

65-54

+11

no box

H06/01

Basket League

Rethymno

#10

76-74

no box

A12/01

Basket League

Lavrio

#13

84-70

+14

no box

H19/01

Basket League

Panathinaikos

65-85

-20

no box

A28/01

Basket League

Panionios

#12

79-56

+23

no box

H02/02

Basket League

18-28

20-24

23-24

18-19

18-17

15-22

19-22

25-20

13-15

12-15

6-21

30-20

22-10

14-17

8-15

14-17

18-13

17-13

13-20

9-29

26-20

16-6

14-17

9-11

18-18

14-24

19-15

25-17

18-19

18-18

21-14

27-19

14-22

20-29

25-9

6-25

30-24

23-14

7-13

19-5

142.1Avg total

70.1Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	69.2	71.3	140.6	-2.1	38%
Season at home (8)	69.9	67.5	137.4	+2.4	38%
Season away (8)	68.6	75.1	143.8	-6.5	38%
Last 10 (10)	70.1	72.0	142.1	-1.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	67.8	141.6	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	66.5	76.2	142.7	-9.7	0%
vs Similar (11)	70.8	68.0	138.8	+2.8	64%
vs Weaker (12)	72.4	65.3	137.8	+7.1	58%

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OlympiacosAris

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.7	38.9	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.8	16.8	33.6	+0.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.0	17.9	34.9	-0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.2	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.7	38.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.7	19.8	34.5	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.2	20.4	38.5	-2.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	17.1	38.7	+4.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	19.6	43.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	16.9	34.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	15.4	34.4	+3.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	17.3	39.7	+5.1	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	17.4	34.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	16.5	33.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (12)	16.1	16.4	32.5	-0.3	67%	-

OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

#13

32-22

+10

H17/01

Euroleague

Holargos B.C.

26-29

-3

A20/01

Basket League

Fenerbahce

28-40

-12

A24/01

Euroleague

G.S. Kymis

#11

42-32

+10

H27/01

Basket League

Barcelona

28-38

-10

H31/01

Euroleague

Ifaistos Limnou

41-32

A03/02

Basket League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

29-26

A07/02

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

35-36

-1

A21/02

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

50-51

-1

H01/03

Euroleague

68.6Avg total

34.6Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.9	36.6	76.5	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	38.3	82.2	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	34.8	70.4	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.6	34.0	68.6	+0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.6	73.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.9	42.4	83.2	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.0	33.3	69.3	+2.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.3	34.9	76.2	+6.4	79%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

PAOK

38-52

-14

A25/11

Basket League

AEK Athens

33-39

-6

H08/12

Basket League

Promitheas

25-30

-5

A15/12

Basket League

Holargos B.C.

36-27

H22/12

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

35-26

A29/12

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

42-26

+16

H06/01

Basket League

Rethymno

#10

32-42

-10

A12/01

Basket League

Lavrio

#13

36-37

-1

H19/01

Basket League

Panathinaikos

34-51

-17

A28/01

Basket League

Panionios

#12

53-38

+15

H02/02

Basket League

73.2Avg total

36.4Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	36.6	72.1	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	35.1	72.2	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	38.0	72.1	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	36.8	73.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	38.8	78.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	30.7	41.3	72.0	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.9	36.4	72.3	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (12)	37.7	33.5	71.2	+4.2	58%	-

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	18.6	36.3	-0.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.8	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.1	17.1	32.3	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	15.6	37.1	+6.0	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	15.5	32.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	15.1	32.4	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	15.9	32.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	17.0	32.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	13.6	30.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.8	17.2	34.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.4	14.8	31.2	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.1	15.3	33.4	+2.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	14.6	31.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.7	38.5	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.4	32.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	16.8	35.4	+1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (12)	16.7	16.5	33.2	+0.2	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.1	36.4	75.6	+2.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	35.3	76.1	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	37.6	74.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.2	37.4	73.7	-1.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	36.6	67.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.2	41.6	77.9	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.6	36.9	71.4	-2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.1	33.2	76.3	+9.9	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	32.6	67.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.2	29.7	63.9	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	35.5	71.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	35.2	68.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	29.0	63.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.8	34.8	70.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.9	31.6	66.5	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (12)	34.8	31.8	66.6	+2.9	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 73.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	17.9	51.3%	53.6%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	8.0	34.0%	34.8%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.5	74.6%	73.9%	13.5

They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	21.8	53.0%	53.6%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	8.0	37.2%	34.8%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	12.4	9.1	73.4%	73.9%	9.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	19.1	51.9%	53.6%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	7.7	34.4%	34.8%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	73.9%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	21.0	51.9%	53.6%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.2	8.1	36.6%	34.8%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.5	78.9%	73.9%	11.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olympiacos wins

Aris wins

Date	Game	Score
29/10/18	Aris v Olympiacos	64-68
05/03/18	Olympiacos v Aris	86-66
05/11/17	Aris v Olympiacos	49-56
29/10/17	Aris v Olympiacos	55-80
25/05/17	Olympiacos v Aris	79-65
13/05/17	Aris v Olympiacos	77-84
10/05/17	Olympiacos v Aris	84-54
15/02/17	Olympiacos v Aris	69-55
07/11/16	Aris v Olympiacos	63-70
04/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	62-79

Olympiacoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/19	H	CSKA Moscow	81-97
21/02/19	A	Anadolu Efes	65-75
13/02/19	A	Panathinaikos	0-20
07/02/19	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	64-65
03/02/19	A	Ifaistos Limnou	73-53
31/01/19	H	Barcelona	55-76
27/01/19	H	G.S. Kymis	92-69
24/01/19	A	Fenerbahce	75-90
20/01/19	A	Holargos B.C.	73-68 OT
17/01/19	H	Khimki M.	71-57

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/19	H	Panionios	79-56
28/01/19	A	Panathinaikos	65-85
19/01/19	H	Lavrio	84-70
12/01/19	A	Rethymno	76-74
06/01/19	H	Ifaistos Limnou	65-54
29/12/18	A	G.S. Kymis	57-75
22/12/18	H	Holargos B.C.	58-59
15/12/18	A	Promitheas	61-71
08/12/18	H	AEK Athens	77-81
25/11/18	A	PAOK	79-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos

Basket League 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	94%	100%	88%
Points / game	84.1	92.5	75.6
Allowed / game	67.6	66.5	68.8
Point differential	+16.4	+26.0	+6.9
Avg total	151.7	159.0	144.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	100%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	-	100% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Aris

Basket League 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	38%
Home	LLWWW	38%
Away	LLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	38%	38%	38%
Points / game	69.2	69.9	68.6
Allowed / game	71.3	67.5	75.1
Point differential	-2.1	+2.4	-6.5
Avg total	140.6	137.4	143.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	17	17	0	100%	88.6	68.6	+20.1
2	Olympiacos	16	15	1	94%	84.1	67.6	+16.4
3	AEK Athens	17	12	5	71%	80.3	74.4	+5.9
4	Peristeri	17	12	5	71%	77.9	76.8	+1.1
5	PAOK	17	11	6	65%	78.3	73.7	+4.6
6	Promitheas	17	11	6	65%	76.5	73.1	+3.5
7	Ifaistos Limnou	17	9	8	53%	72.9	75.8	-2.9
8	Holargos B.C.	17	8	9	47%	70.1	71.9	-1.9
9	Aris	16	6	10	38%	69.2	71.3	-2.1
10	Panionios	17	4	13	24%	73.4	82.1	-8.7
11	G.S. Kymis	17	4	13	24%	73.3	82.9	-9.6
12	Lavrio	16	3	13	19%	74.0	83.5	-9.5
13	Rethymno	17	3	14	18%	71.4	80.1	-8.7
14	Kolossos Rhodes	16	2	14	12%	74.1	82.4	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olympiacos	21	27	17	11	76
Aris	16	20	13	18	67

← all games of the day

Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature