Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 May 2017

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 79-65

22-13 17-12 26-24 14-16

Position#2

Record27-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game63.6

Olympiacos 🏆

Aris

Position#5

Record17-13

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game72.4

Basket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Olympiacos v Aris

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olympiacos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

G.S. Kymis

#11

93-45

+48

H13/04

Basket League

Anadolu Efes

87-72

+15

H19/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

71-73

-2

H21/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

60-64

-4

A26/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

74-62

+12

A28/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

87-78

H02/05

Euroleague

Aris

84-54

+30

H10/05

Basket League

Aris

84-77

A13/05

Basket League

CSKA Moscow

82-78

A19/05

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

64-80

-16

A21/05

Euroleague

29-6

21-13

15-13

28-13

18-11

24-20

25-19

20-22

22-23

22-14

10-14

17-22

17-14

10-19

10-18

23-13

14-21

21-17

20-16

19-8

25-21

12-20

26-17

24-20

21-17

23-14

20-7

20-16

24-14

19-27

24-14

17-22

12-18

21-22

27-24

22-14

18-26

16-13

14-21

16-20

146.9Avg total

78.6Scored

68.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.9	63.6	144.5	+17.3	96%
Season at home (14)	82.8	58.6	141.4	+24.1	100%
Season away (14)	78.9	68.6	147.5	+10.4	93%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	68.3	146.9	+10.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	73.4	153.6	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	84.0	84.0	168.0	+0.0	50%
vs Similar (5)	69.6	72.6	142.2	-3.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	78.0	64.7	142.7	+13.3	83%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lefkadas

#14

78-70

H11/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

84-85

-1

A18/03

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

80-77 OT

A25/03

Basket League

Apollon Patras

#13

79-70

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

70-75

-5

A08/04

Basket League

AEK Athens

81-77

H13/04

Basket League

PAOK

69-65 OT

H29/04

Basket League

PAOK

84-75

A03/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

54-84

-30

A10/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

77-84

-7

H13/05

Basket League

19-26

18-16

28-10

13-18

15-24

20-26

21-23

28-12

13-20

22-5

22-25

14-21

25-14

23-14

17-22

14-20

23-22

15-17

15-21

17-15

15-24

22-23

17-10

27-20

16-20

17-17

14-13

14-11

25-18

27-22

11-19

21-16

17-21

14-23

7-20

16-20

14-24

27-19

14-24

22-17

151.8Avg total

75.6Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	75.2	72.4	147.6	+2.8	57%
Season at home (15)	79.2	69.3	148.5	+9.9	73%
Season away (15)	71.2	75.4	146.6	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	76.2	151.8	-0.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	77.0	150.0	-4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	65.6	77.3	142.9	-11.7	29%
vs Similar (14)	75.0	71.7	146.7	+3.3	43%
vs Weaker (9)	78.9	72.0	150.9	+6.9	67%

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OlympiacosAris

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	16.2	36.5	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	14.8	36.9	+7.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.5	21.5	35.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.9	15.2	36.0	+5.7	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.3	21.3	38.6	-4.0	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	14.4	30.6	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.6	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.3	22.7	40.0	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.4	56%	-

OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

G.S. Kymis

#11

50-19

+31

H13/04

Basket League

Anadolu Efes

42-31

+11

H19/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

44-37

H21/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

27-33

-6

A26/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

35-38

-3

A28/04

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

37-41

-4

H02/05

Euroleague

Aris

44-31

+13

H10/05

Basket League

Aris

43-41

A13/05

Basket League

CSKA Moscow

33-40

-7

A19/05

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

34-39

-5

A21/05

Euroleague

73.9Avg total

38.9Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	33.9	73.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	31.4	73.8	+11.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	36.1	73.1	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	35.0	73.9	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	38.4	76.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	43.5	78.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	33.2	69.8	+3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	40.5	33.2	73.7	+7.3	70%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lefkadas

#14

37-42

-5

H11/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

35-50

-15

A18/03

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

#11

35-25

+10

A25/03

Basket League

Apollon Patras

#13

48-28

+20

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

38-39

-1

A08/04

Basket League

AEK Athens

37-47

-10

H13/04

Basket League

PAOK

33-37

-4

H29/04

Basket League

PAOK

52-40

+12

A03/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

31-44

-13

A10/05

Basket League

Olympiacos

41-43

-2

H13/05

Basket League

78.2Avg total

38.7Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.1	75.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	36.6	78.3	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.5	39.6	73.1	-6.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	39.5	78.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.6	44.0	78.6	-9.4	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.5	36.9	74.4	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.1	35.4	75.6	+4.7	67%	-

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.3	34.8	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.3	35.4	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.5	24.0	50.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	17.7	34.2	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	16.1	34.5	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.6	19.3	33.9	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.7	35.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	17.2	29.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	14.0	15.9	29.9	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.0	17.9	33.9	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.6	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	17.2	35.8	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	16.5	39.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.2	18.2	32.4	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.7	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.5	35.3	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	15.9	35.2	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.1	35.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	15.6	35.5	+4.4	79%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.4	17.1	35.6	+1.3	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	33.2	70.4	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	33.3	70.9	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	33.1	70.0	+3.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	33.3	73.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.0	40.5	89.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	31.4	38.2	69.6	-6.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	37.5	31.4	68.9	+6.0	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	34.2	69.5	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	31.9	69.7	+5.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	36.4	69.3	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	35.7	70.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	34.0	66.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	31.0	33.3	64.3	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	33.5	69.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	37.8	35.9	73.7	+1.9	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	17.0	45.5%	53.7%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.3	36.6%	34.8%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.6	73.3%	73.9%	12.6

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	20.0	49.3%	53.7%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.1	6.2	32.5%	34.8%	18.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.3	76.9%	73.9%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.1	49.8%	53.7%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	8.0	34.3%	34.8%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.4	73.5%	73.9%	13.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	19.7	46.6%	53.7%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.7	6.3	33.8%	34.8%	19.0
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.5	77.3%	73.9%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olympiacos wins

Aris wins

Date	Game	Score
13/05/17	Aris v Olympiacos	77-84
10/05/17	Olympiacos v Aris	84-54
15/02/17	Olympiacos v Aris	69-55
07/11/16	Aris v Olympiacos	63-70
04/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	62-79
02/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	84-74
29/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	92-57
27/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	98-53
06/05/15	Aris v Olympiacos	58-69
12/01/15	Olympiacos v Aris	84-68

Olympiacoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/05/17	A	Fenerbahce	64-80
19/05/17	A	CSKA Moscow	82-78
13/05/17	A	Aris	84-77
10/05/17	H	Aris	84-54
02/05/17	H	Anadolu Efes	87-78
28/04/17	A	Anadolu Efes	74-62
26/04/17	A	Anadolu Efes	60-64
21/04/17	H	Anadolu Efes	71-73
19/04/17	H	Anadolu Efes	87-72
13/04/17	H	G.S. Kymis	93-45

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/17	H	Olympiacos	77-84
10/05/17	A	Olympiacos	54-84
03/05/17	A	PAOK	84-75
29/04/17	H	PAOK	69-65 OT
13/04/17	H	AEK Athens	81-77
08/04/17	A	Lavrio	70-75
01/04/17	H	Apollon Patras	79-70
25/03/17	A	G.S. Kymis	80-77 OT
18/03/17	A	Kolossos Rhodes	84-85
11/03/17	H	Lefkadas	78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	96%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	96%	100%	93%
Points / game	80.9	82.8	78.9
Allowed / game	63.6	58.6	68.6
Point differential	+17.2	+24.1	+10.4
Avg total	144.5	141.4	147.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	93%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aris

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	57%
Home	WWWWL	73%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	57%	73%	40%
Points / game	75.2	79.2	71.2
Allowed / game	72.4	69.3	75.4
Point differential	+2.8	+9.9	-4.2
Avg total	147.6	148.5	146.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	47%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	67% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	7%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	28	27	1	96%	80.9	63.6	+17.2
2	Panathinaikos	30	28	2	93%	84.7	66.2	+18.5
3	AEK Athens	32	22	10	69%	78.3	72.4	+5.9
4	Aris	30	17	13	57%	75.2	72.4	+2.8
5	PAOK	30	16	14	53%	75.7	76.5	-0.8
6	Rethymno	31	15	16	48%	75.1	76.9	-1.8
7	Kolossos Rhodes	29	14	15	48%	71.4	72.9	-1.5
8	Lavrio	28	11	17	39%	72.4	75.6	-3.2
9	Promitheas	26	10	16	38%	71.4	74.2	-2.8
10	Trikala	26	10	16	38%	69.9	75.3	-5.5
11	G.S. Kymis	26	8	18	31%	70.0	77.8	-7.7
12	Koroivos	26	8	18	31%	72.3	82.8	-10.5
13	Apollon Patras	26	7	19	27%	69.2	75.3	-6.2
14	Lefkadas	26	4	22	15%	68.5	78.2	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olympiacos	22	17	26	14	79
Aris	13	12	24	16	65

← all games of the day

Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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