PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 135-127
28-36 41-22 38-42 28-27
Position#13
Record18-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game114.8
vs
Position#29
Record6-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game119.3
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Indiana Pacers
22 Mar 2027
ORL v IND
upcoming
04 Mar 2027
ORL v IND
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
ORL126
IND128
04 Jan 2026
ORL135
IND127
13 Nov 2024
ORL94
IND90
28 Oct 2024
ORL119
IND115
10 Mar 2024
ORL97
IND111
25 Feb 2023
ORL108
IND121
25 Jan 2023
ORL126
IND120
02 Mar 2022
ORL114
IND122
28 Feb 2022
ORL119
IND103
25 Apr 2021
ORL112
IND131
09 Apr 2021
ORL106
IND111
10 Nov 2019
ORL102
IND109
31 Jan 2019
ORL107
IND100
07 Dec 2018
ORL90
IND112
20 Nov 2017
ORL97
IND105
08 Apr 2017
ORL112
IND127
01 Feb 2017
ORL88
IND98
21 Feb 2016
ORL102
IND105
06 Jan 2016
ORL86
IND95
25 Jan 2015
ORL99
IND106
16 Apr 2014
ORL86
IND101
09 Feb 2014
ORL93
IND92
08 Mar 2013
ORL86
IND115
16 Jan 2013
ORL97
IND86
05 May 2012
ORL99
IND101
02 May 2012
ORL74
IND97
11 Mar 2012
ORL107
IND94
29 Jan 2012
ORL85
IND106
13 Apr 2011
ORL92
IND74
20 Jan 2010
ORL109
IND98
14 Dec 2009
ORL106
IND98
27 Jan 2009
ORL135
IND111
29 Nov 2008
ORL110
IND96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
86avg 99
A07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
115-126
115
126
-11
108avg 99
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
124avg 99
A21/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
97-120
97
120
-23
86avg 99
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
110-106
110
106
+4
102avg 99
A24/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
90avg 99
H27/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
127-126
127
126
+1
118avg 99
H28/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
106-107
106
107
-1
99avg 99
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
112-110
112
110
+2
108avg 99
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
114-121
114
121
-7
106avg 99
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-35
24-19
18-28
27-24
32-25
22-43
31-31
30-27
36-38
29-22
32-22
21-36
30-26
27-32
26-31
14-31
25-21
38-29
26-30
21-26
28-38
20-19
29-39
28-24
23-31
25-31
36-31
43-33
29-18
36-36
29-30
12-23
31-28
37-38
26-29
18-15
32-22
27-37
36-32
19-30
228.3Avg total
111.4Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)116.4114.8231.2+1.655%
Season at home (15)115.9112.9228.7+3.067%
Season away (18)116.9116.4233.3+0.444%
Last 10 (10)111.4116.9228.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)112.8116.8229.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)117.6118.3235.9-0.842%
vs Similar (12)116.0113.1229.1+2.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)118.2111.7229.8+6.583%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
L
89-108
89
108
-19
76avg 107
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 107
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
109-128
109
128
-19
96avg 107
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-103
95
103
-8
78avg 107
A23/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
94-111
94
111
-17
77avg 107
H24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
122-140
122
140
-18
109avg 107
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
116-142
116
142
-26
111avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
119-126
119
126
-7
104avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
110-112
110
112
-2
99avg 107
H31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
113-123
113
123
-10
106avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
15-27
19-23
23-27
36-25
26-34
30-27
21-28
27-44
22-20
30-34
30-30
35-26
26-17
21-31
13-29
20-26
24-33
24-27
26-25
39-28
22-47
30-36
31-29
28-29
32-30
34-39
22-44
25-30
23-36
30-39
41-21
28-31
38-37
29-26
15-18
31-30
27-41
27-22
28-30
228.7Avg total
108.0Scored
120.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)110.1119.3229.4-9.117%
Season at home (19)113.1118.2231.3-5.226%
Season away (16)106.7120.5227.2-13.86%
Last 10 (10)108.0120.7228.7-12.70%
Last 5 (5)116.0128.6244.6-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)109.9121.5231.4-11.610%
vs Similar (10)109.6112.5222.1-2.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
Orlando MagicIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A21/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A24/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H27/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H28/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A03/01
NBA
117.0Avg total
58.2Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.5118.3+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.157.0113.1-0.933%-
Last 30 away (18)62.359.4121.8+2.961%-
Last 10 (10)58.258.8117.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)57.659.6117.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)56.758.7115.3-2.042%-
vs Similar (12)61.858.2119.9+3.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)62.358.7121.0+3.750%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H27/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H03/01
NBA
117.8Avg total
55.6Scored
62.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.360.3115.6-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.361.2118.5-3.935%-
Last 30 away (13)52.759.2111.9-6.523%-
Last 10 (10)55.662.2117.8-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)58.667.8126.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)54.961.8116.6-6.920%-
vs Similar (10)56.257.5113.7-1.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.130.2
52.0%
54.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.3
32.1%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws26.820.1
75.0%
78.1%20.1
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.927.0
53.0%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.712.2
33.2%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
78.1%17.0
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLWLWLWLL
Indiana Pacers
LLLLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#29
-5.4
Net rating
-12.8
109.7
Offensive rating
104.8
115.2
Defensive rating
117.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.1%
3-point %
33.2%
65.9%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 104.8Defence115.2 · 117.5Shooting50.6% · 51.7%3-point %32.1% · 33.2%Ball care11.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 20.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Orlando Magic wins
3
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AChicago Bulls114-121
31/12/25AIndiana Pacers112-110
30/12/25AToronto Raptors106-107
28/12/25HDenver Nuggets127-126
27/12/25HCharlotte Hornets105-120
24/12/25APortland Trail Blazers110-106
23/12/25AGolden State Warriors97-120
21/12/25AUtah Jazz128-127 OT
19/12/25ADenver Nuggets115-126
07/12/25ANew York Knicks100-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs113-123
31/12/25HOrlando Magic110-112
30/12/25AHouston Rockets119-126
28/12/25AMiami Heat116-142
27/12/25HBoston Celtics122-140
24/12/25HMilwaukee Bucks94-111
23/12/25ABoston Celtics95-103
21/12/25ANew Orleans Pelicans109-128
19/12/25HNew York Knicks113-114
14/12/25HWashington Wizards89-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %55%67%44%
Points / game116.4115.9116.9
Allowed / game114.8112.9116.4
Point differential+1.6+3.0+0.4
Avg total231.2228.7233.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)62% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL26%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %17%26%6%
Points / game110.1113.1106.7
Allowed / game119.3118.2120.5
Point differential-9.1-5.2-13.8
Avg total229.4231.3227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%11%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3329488%122.3107.6+14.8
2 Detroit Pistons3526974%118.8112.7+6.0
3 San Antonio Spurs33231070%119.6114.2+5.5
4 Los Angeles Lakers31211068%117.1116.9+0.2
5 Denver Nuggets34231168%124.6117.9+6.8
6 Houston Rockets32211166%120.0111.4+8.6
7 Boston Celtics34221265%117.9110.7+7.1
8 New York Knicks33211264%120.2115.2+5.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves35221363%118.9114.6+4.3
10 Phoenix Suns33201361%116.3112.7+3.6
11 Toronto Raptors35211460%114.8112.5+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers33191458%117.0116.1+0.9
13 Miami Heat34191556%121.1117.6+3.5
14 Orlando Magic33181555%116.4114.8+1.6
15 Cleveland Cavaliers37201754%119.2116.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors36191753%115.2113.9+1.2
17 Chicago Bulls35171849%118.3121.8-3.5
18 Atlanta Hawks37172046%119.0119.9-0.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers36162044%116.3119.6-3.3
20 Memphis Grizzlies34151944%116.0116.9-0.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks35152043%113.3116.0-2.7
22 Dallas Mavericks36132336%113.5117.5-4.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers34122235%112.4114.6-2.2
24 Utah Jazz34122235%119.7126.7-7.1
25 Charlotte Hornets35122334%115.8118.5-2.6
26 Brooklyn Nets32102231%108.9114.2-5.3
27 Washington Wizards3392427%113.4123.9-10.5
28 Sacramento Kings3582723%110.6122.5-11.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans3682822%115.4123.1-7.7
30 Indiana Pacers3562917%110.1119.3-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic28413828135
Indiana Pacers36224227127
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.