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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 126-115
25-32 43-22 31-31 27-30
Position#6
Record19-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game125.6
Allowed / game116.2
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Orlando Magic
USA
Position#13
Record14-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game113.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 115
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 115
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 115
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
130-112
130
112
+18
139avg 115
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
121-131
121
131
-10
119avg 115
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
135-120
135
120
+15
129avg 115
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-133
134
133
+1
129avg 115
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
115-106
115
106
+9
110avg 115
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
136-105
136
105
+31
139avg 115
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
119avg 115
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
30-25
33-35
33-25
34-27
41-27
27-42
36-33
17-29
33-28
39-20
30-31
33-41
23-41
31-32
40-30
40-30
34-34
23-24
30-23
28-25
41-26
36-28
32-27
27-24
24-30
34-21
31-35
28-31
249.7Avg total
128.3Scored
121.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)125.6116.2241.8+9.476%
Season at home (11)126.2117.5243.6+8.764%
Season away (14)125.1115.3240.4+9.986%
Last 10 (10)128.3121.4249.7+6.970%
Last 5 (5)129.6117.8247.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)103.4108.0211.4-4.640%
vs Similar (11)126.4117.2243.5+9.291%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)125.0115.5240.5+9.564%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
121-113
121
113
+8
119avg 98
H19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
129-101
129
101
+28
128avg 98
H21/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
133-121
133
121
+12
128avg 98
H22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
129-138
129
138
-9
121avg 98
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
144-103
144
103
+41
143avg 98
A26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
112-109
112
109
+3
90avg 98
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
125-120
125
120
+5
119avg 98
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
112-114
112
114
-2
101avg 98
H04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
106-105
106
105
+1
92avg 98
H06/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
86avg 98
A07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-32
31-28
26-25
28-28
30-24
31-25
32-27
36-25
31-29
33-37
34-27
35-28
27-32
30-48
32-30
40-28
35-35
51-25
35-23
23-20
31-33
28-25
30-26
23-25
29-26
24-27
32-32
40-35
29-31
20-27
30-28
33-28
30-28
27-32
30-19
19-26
31-35
24-19
18-28
27-24
234.1Avg total
121.1Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)117.8113.6231.4+4.258%
Season at home (13)115.8111.3227.2+4.569%
Season away (11)120.2116.3236.5+3.945%
Last 10 (10)121.1113.0234.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)111.0110.8221.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)109.1113.3222.5-4.233%
vs Similar (11)120.5111.9232.5+8.673%
vs Weaker (4)113.2105.5218.8+7.875%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
72-48
72
48
+24
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H16/12
NBA
123.7Avg total
65.0Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.657.1117.7+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.455.9117.3+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)59.858.2118.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)65.058.7123.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)63.656.8120.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.454.6104.0-5.220%-
vs Similar (11)60.559.7120.3+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)64.655.9120.5+8.693%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H21/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
86-60
86
60
+26
A26/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H06/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A07/12
NBA
120.6Avg total
60.8Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.4114.7+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.155.8112.9+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)59.757.1116.9+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)60.859.8120.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.656.6111.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)54.755.4110.1-0.747%-
vs Similar (11)63.558.4121.9+5.273%-
vs Weaker (4)57.854.8112.5+3.025%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 128.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.030.5
58.7%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.715.9
44.5%
35.8%47.7
🏀 Free throws24.619.6
79.7%
78.1%19.6
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.832.5
54.3%
54.8%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.5
34.1%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws26.721.6
80.9%
78.1%21.6
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWLWL
Orlando Magic
LWLWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#13
+6.8
Net rating
+7.8
127.2
Offensive rating
116.8
120.4
Defensive rating
108.9
62.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.5%
3-point %
34.1%
64.4%
Assist %
61.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence127.2 · 116.8Defence120.4 · 108.9Shooting62.0% · 53.2%3-point %44.5% · 34.1%Ball care11.9% · 11.1%Off. rebounds24.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic112-90
19/01/25Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets100-113
06/01/24Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic120-122
23/11/23Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets124-119
10/02/23Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets115-104
16/01/23Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic119-116
15/02/22Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic121-111
02/12/21Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets108-103
05/04/21Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic119-109
23/03/21Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets99-110
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HHouston Rockets128-125 OT
12/12/25ASacramento Kings136-105
07/12/25ACharlotte Hornets115-106
06/12/25AAtlanta Hawks134-133
04/12/25AIndiana Pacers135-120
02/12/25HDallas Mavericks121-131
30/11/25APhoenix Suns130-112
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
Orlando Magiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ANew York Knicks100-106
06/12/25HMiami Heat106-105
04/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs112-114
02/12/25HChicago Bulls125-120
29/11/25ADetroit Pistons112-109
26/11/25APhiladelphia 76ers144-103
23/11/25ABoston Celtics129-138
22/11/25HNew York Knicks133-121
21/11/25HLos Angeles Clippers129-101
19/11/25HGolden State Warriors121-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeLLLLW64%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %76%64%86%
Points / game125.6126.2125.1
Allowed / game116.2117.5115.3
Point differential+9.4+8.7+9.9
Avg total241.8243.6240.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%45%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%9%7%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%69%45%
Points / game117.8115.8120.2
Allowed / game113.6111.3116.3
Point differential+4.2+4.5+3.9
Avg total231.4227.2236.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%23%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2524196%123.0106.6+16.4
2 Detroit Pistons2721678%119.1113.1+6.0
3 Denver Nuggets2519676%125.6116.2+9.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers2418675%118.2116.0+2.2
5 New York Knicks2417771%120.4112.4+8.0
6 San Antonio Spurs2417771%119.5114.4+5.2
7 Houston Rockets2416867%121.1112.1+9.0
8 Minnesota Timberwolves27171063%119.4114.6+4.9
9 Toronto Raptors27171063%115.8112.8+3.0
10 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
11 Boston Celtics26151158%116.2110.8+5.3
12 Miami Heat26151158%120.7116.9+3.8
13 Phoenix Suns25141156%115.8113.6+2.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers25141156%116.8115.8+1.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers28151354%118.4116.3+2.1
16 Atlanta Hawks28151354%118.3118.0+0.3
17 Golden State Warriors27131448%114.4113.2+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies27131448%114.4115.2-0.8
19 Chicago Bulls26111542%117.6121.9-4.3
20 Utah Jazz25101540%119.0126.1-7.1
21 Dallas Mavericks28111739%113.0116.7-3.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks28111739%113.6117.4-3.9
23 Portland Trail Blazers26101638%118.2121.9-3.7
24 Charlotte Hornets2791833%115.5118.7-3.2
25 Brooklyn Nets2671927%109.6115.5-5.9
26 Sacramento Kings2662023%110.8122.4-11.5
27 Los Angeles Clippers2762122%110.9117.0-6.1
28 Indiana Pacers2762122%110.3118.1-7.9
29 New Orleans Pelicans2862221%114.9123.0-8.1
30 Washington Wizards2542116%112.0126.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25433127126
Orlando Magic32223130115
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