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Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game117.8
vs
Position#20
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Oklahoma City Thunder
10 Jan 2027
ORL v OKC
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
ORL108
OKC113
15 Jul 2025
ORL75
OKC92
19 Dec 2024
ORL99
OKC105
13 Feb 2024
ORL113
OKC127
04 Jan 2023
ORL126
OKC115
20 Mar 2022
ORL90
OKC85
02 Jan 2021
ORL99
OKC108
22 Jan 2020
ORL114
OKC120
29 Jan 2019
ORL117
OKC126
29 Nov 2017
ORL121
OKC108
29 Mar 2017
ORL106
OKC114
30 Oct 2015
ORL136
OKC139
18 Jan 2015
ORL99
OKC127
07 Feb 2014
ORL103
OKC102
08 Jul 2013
ORL78
OKC79
22 Mar 2013
ORL89
OKC97
01 Mar 2012
ORL102
OKC105
25 Feb 2011
ORL111
OKC88
18 Nov 2009
ORL108
OKC94
05 Dec 2008
ORL98
OKC89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
94-116
94
116
-22
80avg 106
A03/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
W
122-118
122
118
+4
125avg 106
A08/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
105-119
105
119
-14
95avg 106
A11/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
132-116
132
116
+16
134avg 106
H13/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
136-115
136
115
+21
136avg 106
H16/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
125-132
125
132
-7
119avg 106
H21/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
93-115
93
115
-22
83avg 106
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 106
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 106
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
27-40
15-23
30-33
36-26
28-35
30-26
28-31
28-32
22-29
25-29
30-29
35-28
37-24
36-31
24-33
34-36
36-29
38-30
28-20
33-28
29-44
38-27
25-33
20-26
25-31
15-29
33-29
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
231.4Avg total
113.8Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)116.0117.8233.8-1.856%
Season at home (4)121.5119.5241.0+2.050%
Season away (5)111.6116.4228.0-4.860%
Last 10 (10)113.8117.6231.4-3.850%
Last 5 (5)109.8118.4228.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)105.4110.4215.7-5.043%
vs Similar ◀ (10)115.7118.5234.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (6)122.5114.2236.7+8.383%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
L
126-128
126
128
-2
73avg 104
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
15avg 104
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
70avg 104
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
89-116
89
116
-27
59avg 104
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
116-104
116
104
+12
105avg 104
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 104
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 104
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 104
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
98-119
98
119
-21
no box
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-35
38-29
20-33
24-31
28-29
21-27
30-23
31-34
25-33
34-28
26-23
15-16
15-33
32-21
22-25
20-37
34-28
31-16
28-36
23-24
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
218.9Avg total
107.8Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.0111.5219.5-3.545%
Season at home (6)113.2109.2222.3+4.067%
Season away (5)101.8114.4216.2-12.620%
Last 10 (10)107.8111.1218.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)104.6107.6212.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)104.6113.6218.2-9.020%
vs Similar ◀ (11)107.0109.6216.6-2.655%
vs Weaker (14)120.1109.9230.0+10.379%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.5-3.5
Orlando MagicOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A03/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A11/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H13/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H16/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H21/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
118.1Avg total
57.7Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.357.5116.9+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.655.8118.4+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)56.459.1115.5-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)57.760.4118.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)54.461.0115.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)57.456.3113.6+1.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)61.359.7121.0+1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)60.756.8117.5+3.867%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H08/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A12/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H14/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
65-44
65
44
+21
A21/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
56.6Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.954.8112.7+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.354.8114.1+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)56.554.7111.3+1.847%-
Last 10 (10)56.655.3111.9+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)52.854.8107.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.853.6109.4+2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.954.3107.2-1.427%-
vs Weaker (14)62.655.6118.2+7.171%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.3
53.2%
54.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.1
35.7%
34.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws27.419.7
71.9%
76.3%19.7
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.8
51.3%
54.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.7
36.0%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.3%16.2
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WLWLLWWLWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWWWLWLL
#11
League position
#20
-0.5
Net rating
-0.2
107.1
Offensive rating
99.0
107.6
Defensive rating
99.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.7%
3-point %
36.0%
70.1%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 99.0Defence107.6 · 99.2Shooting53.3% · 52.3%3-point %35.7% · 36.0%Ball care14.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds34.0% · 28.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
23/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves93-115
21/10/26HAtlanta Hawks125-132
16/10/26HMiami Heat136-115
13/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers132-116
11/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers105-119
08/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies122-118
03/05/26ADetroit Pistons94-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84
21/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-104
16/10/26AHouston Rockets89-116
14/10/26HIndiana Pacers114-112 OT
12/10/26AAtlanta Hawks110-113
08/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks126-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game116.0121.5111.6
Allowed / game117.8119.5116.4
Point differential-1.8+2.0-4.8
Avg total233.8241.0228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game108.0113.2101.8
Allowed / game111.5109.2114.4
Point differential-3.5+4.0-12.6
Avg total219.5222.3216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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