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Osijek vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-66
18-18 20-13 27-17 19-18
Position#12
Record4-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game82.3
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#7
Record4-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game77.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 16· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2024-25
Meetings · Osijek v Alkar
29 Mar 2025
OSIJ60
ALKA73
11 Jan 2025
OSIJ84
ALKA66
29 Nov 2023
OSIJ81
ALKA78
27 Mar 2022
OSIJ90
ALKA70
04 Feb 2022
OSIJ90
ALKA78
27 Mar 2021
OSIJ83
ALKA82
24 Jan 2021
OSIJ62
ALKA69
29 Feb 2020
OSIJ91
ALKA72
14 Apr 2019
OSIJ121
ALKA91
21 Apr 2018
OSIJ95
ALKA72
29 Oct 2016
OSIJ76
ALKA69
09 Apr 2016
OSIJ61
ALKA49
28 Nov 2015
OSIJ69
ALKA63
11 Oct 2014
OSIJ64
ALKA81
19 Oct 2013
OSIJ79
ALKA82
01 Mar 2013
OSIJ81
ALKA77
05 May 2012
OSIJ92
ALKA75
10 Jan 2012
OSIJ74
ALKA84
29 Jan 2011
OSIJ77
ALKA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 74
H30/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 74
A02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
83avg 74
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
63-73
63
73
-10
50avg 74
H16/11
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 74
A27/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
55-111
55
111
-56
46avg 74
A28/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
77avg 74
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
64avg 74
H15/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
80avg 74
H29/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
60-58
60
58
+2
56avg 74
H05/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
25-22
21-12
12-20
14-24
15-17
17-19
24-24
22-12
25-19
23-22
22-28
8-18
15-13
13-24
27-18
21-26
17-20
18-20
17-22
13-32
13-25
15-23
14-31
18-17
20-23
16-15
23-17
23-26
27-21
14-25
10-16
24-21
29-15
11-25
21-24
17-18
10-13
19-10
14-17
154.5Avg total
72.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.782.3154.0-10.629%
Season at home (7)73.677.6151.1-4.043%
Season away (7)69.987.0156.9-17.114%
Last 10 (10)72.781.8154.5-9.140%
Last 5 (5)70.883.8154.6-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.180.9153.1-8.833%
vs Similar (1)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (10)88.875.5164.3+13.370%
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 69
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
57-80
57
80
-23
47avg 69
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
55-64
55
64
-9
42avg 69
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
52avg 69
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
53avg 69
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 69
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 69
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-71
61
71
-10
54avg 69
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 69
A29/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 69
H04/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
18-18
20-20
20-21
25-12
8-27
18-18
6-23
24-16
5-17
12-10
14-21
11-24
26-11
14-14
12-16
15-13
15-13
15-23
19-15
18-21
27-15
20-19
20-15
18-26
32-23
16-10
22-21
17-18
13-24
26-15
5-14
23-23
19-18
21-17
15-24
18-32
25-13
20-11
18-15
145.2Avg total
71.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.477.1146.5-7.829%
Season at home (7)73.773.9147.6-0.157%
Season away (7)65.080.4145.4-15.40%
Last 10 (10)71.074.2145.2-3.230%
Last 5 (5)78.674.8153.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.981.5150.3-12.613%
vs Similar (10)74.478.2152.6-3.830%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)99.568.8168.2+30.8100%
This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
OsijekAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H16/11
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A27/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A28/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H15/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H29/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H05/01
Premijer liga
77.4Avg total
37.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.679.5-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.538.478.9+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.442.680.0-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.177.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.541.977.4-6.428%-
vs Similar (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (10)45.438.083.4+7.470%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Premijer liga
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.378.5-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.641.680.2-3.046%-
Last 30 away (17)37.939.277.2-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.684.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.342.878.1-7.527%-
vs Similar (10)36.039.575.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)53.033.886.8+19.2100%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.6
53.0%
53.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.7
32.8%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.811.6
69.0%
73.3%11.6
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.2
49.4%
53.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.8
32.0%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.09.4
72.3%
73.3%9.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
WLLWLLLWLW
Alkar
WLLWWLLLLL
#12
League position
#7
-11.6
Net rating
-4.4
96.8
Offensive rating
96.9
108.3
Defensive rating
101.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.8%
3-point %
32.0%
68.8%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 96.9Defence108.3 · 101.3Shooting51.5% · 48.8%3-point %32.8% · 32.0%Ball care20.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds20.8% · 24.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Osijek   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Osijek wins
4
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Alkar v Osijek84-74
29/11/23Osijek v Alkar81-78
21/04/22Alkar v Osijek80-73
27/03/22Osijek v Alkar90-70
04/02/22Osijek v Alkar90-78
07/11/21Alkar v Osijek79-66
27/03/21Osijek v Alkar83-82
24/01/21Osijek v Alkar62-69
31/10/20Alkar v Osijek86-99
29/02/20Osijek v Alkar91-72
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HZadar60-58
29/12/24HDinamo Zagreb88-90 OT
15/12/24HCedevita Junior74-88
07/12/24HDubrovnik77-72
28/11/24ASplit55-111
27/11/24AKastela73-88
16/11/24HCibona63-73
09/11/24AKvarner92-81
02/11/24ADubrava70-84
30/10/24HZabok75-73
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HDubrava81-71
29/12/24AZabok78-82
15/12/24HZadar61-71
08/12/24HDinamo Zagreb88-80
03/12/24ASkrljevo85-70
30/11/24AGKK Sibenka67-75 OT
16/11/24HCedevita Junior63-65
09/11/24ADubrovnik55-64
02/11/24HSplit57-80
30/10/24ACibona75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game71.773.669.9
Allowed / game82.377.687.0
Point differential-10.6-4.0-17.1
Avg total154.0151.1156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLWLW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game69.473.765.0
Allowed / game77.173.980.4
Point differential-7.8-0.1-15.4
Avg total146.5147.6145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1513287%78.062.4+15.6
2 Split1411379%90.075.4+14.6
3 Cedevita Junior1511473%84.775.4+9.3
4 Cibona159660%84.778.9+5.7
5 Kvarner147750%80.680.8-0.2
6 Dinamo Zagreb157847%84.385.6-1.3
7 Zabok157847%78.683.7-5.1
8 Dubrava156940%74.980.3-5.3
9 GKK Sibenka145936%73.182.4-9.4
10 Alkar1441029%69.477.1-7.8
11 Osijek1441029%71.782.3-10.6
12 Dubrovnik1431121%74.381.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek1820271984
Alkar1813171866
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