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Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-71
17-18 13-24 26-15 5-14
Position#7
Record3-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game77.8
Alkar
Croatia
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record11-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game63.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 12· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alkar v Zadar
05 Mar 2027
ALKA v ZAD
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
ALKA58
ZAD69
09 Mar 2026
ALKA54
ZAD77
23 Mar 2025
ALKA44
ZAD63
15 Dec 2024
ALKA61
ZAD71
17 Mar 2024
ALKA65
ZAD73
20 Dec 2023
ALKA70
ZAD84
06 Mar 2023
ALKA83
ZAD100
20 Dec 2022
ALKA70
ZAD97
31 Jan 2022
ALKA88
ZAD86
27 Jan 2021
ALKA55
ZAD75
22 Jan 2020
ALKA93
ZAD84
23 Mar 2019
ALKA62
ZAD103
26 Apr 2018
ALKA81
ZAD103
29 Dec 2016
ALKA89
ZAD83
02 May 2015
ALKA61
ZAD81
04 May 2014
ALKA61
ZAD81
17 Apr 2013
ALKA97
ZAD104
22 Oct 2011
ALKA64
ZAD74
04 Apr 2011
ALKA52
ZAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 70
H12/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
69-83
69
83
-14
53avg 70
A20/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
78avg 70
H27/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 70
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
57-80
57
80
-23
47avg 70
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
55-64
55
64
-9
42avg 70
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
52avg 70
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
53avg 70
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 70
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 70
H08/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
16-21
21-32
23-7
11-23
15-19
24-24
19-17
24-25
29-15
10-15
21-19
17-25
18-18
20-20
20-21
25-12
8-27
18-18
6-23
24-16
5-17
12-10
14-21
11-24
26-11
14-14
12-16
15-13
15-13
15-23
19-15
18-21
27-15
20-19
20-15
18-26
32-23
16-10
22-21
147.6Avg total
72.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.377.8146.1-9.527%
Season at home (5)74.875.0149.8-0.260%
Season away (6)62.880.2143.0-17.30%
Last 10 (10)72.575.1147.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)71.670.8142.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.183.6154.7-12.412%
vs Similar (8)73.178.6151.8-5.525%
vs Weaker (5)97.273.8171.0+23.480%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 77
H04/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
71avg 77
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
68-65
68
65
+3
62avg 77
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 77
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 77
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
64-58
64
58
+6
53avg 77
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
54avg 77
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
55avg 77
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 77
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 77
H12/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
23-20
33-9
16-24
17-7
24-25
19-17
21-24
19-16
23-17
10-11
16-21
34-14
21-11
13-17
22-22
17-14
27-21
15-13
24-19
17-12
11-18
22-19
14-9
19-21
25-19
12-11
9-17
21-23
16-11
16-17
10-20
25-23
23-11
11-14
18-15
21-14
18-12
26-18
24-23
144.5Avg total
77.0Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.863.1144.9+18.7100%
Season at home (7)86.465.1151.6+21.3100%
Season away (4)73.859.5133.2+14.2100%
Last 10 (10)77.067.5144.5+9.580%
Last 5 (5)71.665.4137.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.580.2146.8-13.80%
vs Similar (5)72.473.4145.8-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.267.0150.2+16.190%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
AlkarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H27/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H08/12
Premijer liga
75.6Avg total
37.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.378.8-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.041.180.1-2.146%-
Last 30 away (17)38.139.777.8-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.075.6-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.874.0+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.142.578.6-6.425%-
vs Similar (8)34.438.673.0-4.250%-
vs Weaker (5)51.436.888.2+14.680%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H15/11
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/12
ABA League
75.4Avg total
41.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.235.877.0+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.435.677.9+6.874%-
Last 30 away (11)39.336.275.5+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)41.933.575.4+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.872.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.242.277.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (5)36.638.074.6-1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.534.077.5+9.476%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.1
50.7%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.08.6
66.2%
73.3%8.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.2
52.9%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.7
31.6%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.3%13.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
WWLLLLLWLW
Zadar
WWLLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
-3.3
Net rating
+14.5
97.1
Offensive rating
107.3
100.4
Defensive rating
92.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.3%
3-point %
31.6%
62.0%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 107.3Defence100.4 · 92.8Shooting49.1% · 50.5%3-point %31.3% · 31.6%Ball care18.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds25.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Alkar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alkar wins
9
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Zadar v Alkar94-47
17/03/24Alkar v Zadar65-73
20/12/23Alkar v Zadar70-84
11/10/23Zadar v Alkar106-73
06/03/23Alkar v Zadar83-100
20/12/22Alkar v Zadar70-97
04/12/22Zadar v Alkar90-66
31/01/22Alkar v Zadar88-86 OT
29/10/21Zadar v Alkar92-90
13/03/21Zadar v Alkar102-66
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HDinamo Zagreb88-80
03/12/24ASkrljevo85-70
30/11/24AGKK Sibenka67-75 OT
16/11/24HCedevita Junior63-65
09/11/24ADubrovnik55-64
02/11/24HSplit57-80
30/10/24ACibona75-84
27/10/24HOsijek84-74
20/10/24ADubrava69-83
12/10/24HZabok82-76
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HBorac Mozzart89-67
08/12/24HKvarner77-63
06/12/24HDubai63-71
02/12/24HMega Basket65-68
29/11/24ADinamo Zagreb64-58
17/11/24AFMP Beograd83-67
15/11/24HGKK Sibenka90-64
11/11/24ACedevita Junior68-65
09/11/24HCedevita Olimpija81-73
04/11/24HDubrovnik90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game68.374.862.8
Allowed / game77.875.080.2
Point differential-9.5-0.2-17.3
Avg total146.1149.8143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%17%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.886.473.8
Allowed / game63.165.159.5
Point differential+18.7+21.3+14.2
Avg total144.9151.6133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar11110100%81.863.1+18.7
2 Split1110191%92.775.5+17.3
3 Cedevita Junior128467%82.673.9+8.7
4 Cibona117464%83.580.0+3.5
5 Kvarner115645%82.380.9+1.4
6 Dubrava125742%76.581.5-5.0
7 GKK Sibenka125742%75.781.7-6.0
8 Zabok125742%79.686.2-6.7
9 Dinamo Zagreb124833%83.386.6-3.2
10 Dubrovnik113827%74.278.6-4.5
11 Alkar113827%68.377.8-9.5
12 Osijek123925%71.383.7-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar171326561
Zadar1824151471
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