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Ovarense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-87
20-25 24-20 16-21 19-21
Position#5
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record13-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game68.8
PortugalLPBRound 18· Arena de Ovar
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ovarense v Benfica
27 Mar 2027
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OVAR70
BEN96
29 May 2025
OVAR80
BEN89
07 Dec 2024
OVAR77
BEN98
26 Oct 2024
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
23 Mar 2024
OVAR79
BEN87
27 Jan 2024
OVAR74
BEN98
25 May 2023
OVAR44
BEN115
22 Apr 2023
OVAR66
BEN115
10 Feb 2023
OVAR76
BEN86
07 Jan 2023
OVAR75
BEN96
22 Dec 2021
OVAR79
BEN86
08 Mar 2021
OVAR76
BEN91
07 Mar 2020
OVAR81
BEN90
31 Mar 2019
OVAR80
BEN57
08 Mar 2019
OVAR55
BEN70
17 Feb 2018
OVAR73
BEN74
08 Jan 2017
OVAR74
BEN83
08 Apr 2016
OVAR82
BEN77
28 Nov 2015
OVAR73
BEN82
17 May 2015
OVAR67
BEN61
16 May 2015
OVAR77
BEN82
07 Jan 2015
OVAR71
BEN78
04 Jan 2014
OVAR75
BEN85
11 May 2013
OVAR67
BEN78
13 Apr 2013
OVAR62
BEN78
17 Mar 2012
OVAR96
BEN78
22 Apr 2011
OVAR68
BEN77
18 Dec 2010
OVAR75
BEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 74
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 74
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
96avg 74
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
96avg 74
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
62avg 74
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
104avg 74
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 74
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 74
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
93-66
93
66
+27
90avg 74
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
75avg 74
A09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
17-19
24-21
19-14
26-21
17-21
22-16
15-20
29-26
17-23
21-17
24-24
23-18
13-26
27-18
28-24
13-25
19-19
22-26
20-28
31-8
13-18
32-23
23-21
18-16
23-19
16-29
19-23
21-18
14-24
23-24
22-10
26-24
21-18
23-13
23-11
21-18
20-14
16-17
19-24
162.7Avg total
83.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.978.1157.9+1.865%
Season at home (8)86.678.9165.5+7.888%
Season away (9)73.977.3151.2-3.444%
Last 10 (10)83.978.8162.7+5.180%
Last 5 (5)84.874.4159.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.188.5159.6-17.431%
vs Similar (4)80.580.0160.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (9)82.274.8157.0+7.478%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
W
85-53
85
53
+32
86avg 82
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
71-91
71
91
-20
56avg 82
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
88avg 82
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
100-64
100
64
+36
99avg 82
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
73avg 82
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
77-53
77
53
+24
80avg 82
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
95-84
95
84
+11
89avg 82
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
91-61
91
61
+30
92avg 82
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#3
W
103-86
103
86
+17
91avg 82
H16/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 82
H17/03
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
24-17
29-6
16-18
18-19
15-22
14-22
24-28
25-13
19-19
26-22
28-20
31-17
11-14
34-14
24-19
18-13
27-18
12-23
27-24
27-17
7-17
27-12
16-7
25-15
29-23
17-20
24-26
23-16
18-18
28-10
22-17
29-28
31-17
19-22
24-19
11-27
25-22
25-13
17-19
160.7Avg total
88.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.268.8157.0+19.576%
Season at home (9)94.064.1158.1+29.989%
Season away (8)81.874.0155.8+7.862%
Last 10 (10)88.272.5160.7+15.780%
Last 5 (5)88.873.0161.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)69.288.8158.0-19.60%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.469.7157.0+17.775%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
OvarenseBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A09/03
LPB
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.579.1-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.943.182.0-4.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.239.976.1-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.144.078.1-9.912%-
vs Similar (4)41.840.882.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)41.836.378.1+5.489%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H16/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H17/03
Taca de Portugal
79.3Avg total
42.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.476.9+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.636.477.9+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)39.236.475.6+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.936.479.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.085.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.642.078.6-5.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.935.677.5+6.371%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.2
53.8%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.7
40.4%
33.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.4
73.2%
69.3%16.4
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.1
57.7%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.5
70.0%
69.3%14.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWWLWLWWWW
Benfica
LWWWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#1
+8.2
Net rating
+21.0
110.1
Offensive rating
115.2
101.9
Defensive rating
94.2
56.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
22.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.4%
3-point %
36.4%
73.1%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 115.2Defence101.9 · 94.2Shooting56.8% · 56.3%3-point %40.4% · 36.4%Ball care22.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.2% · 34.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Ovarense   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ovarense wins
9
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Ovarense v Benfica74-98
18/11/23Benfica v Ovarense84-52
25/05/23Ovarense v Benfica44-115
22/05/23Benfica v Ovarense91-79 OT
20/05/23Benfica v Ovarense88-59
22/04/23Ovarense v Benfica66-115
22/03/23Benfica v Ovarense91-75
10/02/23Ovarense v Benfica76-86
14/01/23Benfica v Ovarense76-77
07/01/23Ovarense v Benfica75-96
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AOliveirense76-73
02/03/24HPortimonense93-66
17/02/24HGalomar80-76
10/02/24ACD Povoa76-87
03/02/24HLusitania99-70
27/01/24HBenfica74-98
20/01/24ASporting CP91-86
06/01/24HVitoria91-90
30/12/23HImortal80-78
22/12/23AGalomar79-64
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HFC Porto78-81
16/03/24HCD Povoa103-86
09/03/24HGalomar91-61
02/03/24AImortal95-84
14/02/24HEsgueira77-53
10/02/24HFC Porto84-78
03/02/24AEsgueira100-64
27/01/24AOvarense98-74
20/01/24AVitoria71-91
13/01/24HPortimonense85-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%88%44%
Points / game79.986.673.9
Allowed / game78.178.977.3
Point differential+1.8+7.8-3.4
Avg total157.9165.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game88.294.081.8
Allowed / game68.864.174.0
Point differential+19.5+29.9+7.8
Avg total157.0158.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1714382%87.374.0+13.3
2 Benfica1713476%88.268.8+19.5
3 Sporting CP1813572%91.380.1+11.2
4 Oliveirense1813572%80.174.7+5.4
5 Ovarense1711665%79.978.1+1.8
6 CD Povoa179853%82.884.6-1.8
7 Vitoria178947%80.880.2+0.5
8 Imortal178947%78.582.0-3.5
9 Galomar1751229%73.479.5-6.2
10 Portimonense1751229%70.879.2-8.5
11 Esgueira1731418%71.886.9-15.2
12 Lusitania171166%74.091.6-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2024161979
Benfica2520212187
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