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Ovarense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-96
16-22 23-24 11-29 20-21
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game72.5
PortugalLPBRound 7· Arena de Ovar
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ovarense v Benfica
27 Mar 2027
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OVAR70
BEN96
29 May 2025
OVAR80
BEN89
07 Dec 2024
OVAR77
BEN98
26 Oct 2024
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
23 Mar 2024
OVAR79
BEN87
27 Jan 2024
OVAR74
BEN98
25 May 2023
OVAR44
BEN115
22 Apr 2023
OVAR66
BEN115
10 Feb 2023
OVAR76
BEN86
07 Jan 2023
OVAR75
BEN96
22 Dec 2021
OVAR79
BEN86
08 Mar 2021
OVAR76
BEN91
07 Mar 2020
OVAR81
BEN90
31 Mar 2019
OVAR80
BEN57
08 Mar 2019
OVAR55
BEN70
17 Feb 2018
OVAR73
BEN74
08 Jan 2017
OVAR74
BEN83
08 Apr 2016
OVAR82
BEN77
28 Nov 2015
OVAR73
BEN82
17 May 2015
OVAR67
BEN61
16 May 2015
OVAR77
BEN82
07 Jan 2015
OVAR71
BEN78
04 Jan 2014
OVAR75
BEN85
11 May 2013
OVAR67
BEN78
13 Apr 2013
OVAR62
BEN78
17 Mar 2012
OVAR96
BEN78
22 Apr 2011
OVAR68
BEN77
18 Dec 2010
OVAR75
BEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 71
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 71
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
61avg 71
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 71
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
85avg 71
H04/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
57avg 71
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
83avg 71
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
42avg 71
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
62avg 71
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
89avg 71
A15/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-20
25-25
20-19
25-15
10-20
9-24
22-26
21-28
17-25
21-35
12-15
8-22
20-25
35-14
17-28
21-19
24-20
18-25
18-11
16-21
21-18
23-11
23-25
20-19
27-23
25-20
15-20
13-28
21-15
14-18
16-17
21-25
12-20
21-13
18-13
25-16
18-24
25-20
26-17
159.8Avg total
78.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.276.3156.5+3.883%
Season at home (4)80.875.8156.5+5.0100%
Season away (2)79.077.5156.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)78.181.7159.8-3.660%
Last 5 (5)80.076.6156.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.987.9163.8-12.023%
vs Similar (7)80.677.6158.1+3.071%
vs Weaker (9)82.772.0154.7+10.7100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
L
61-98
61
98
-37
47avg 84
H07/10
Champions League
Sporting CP
#3
W
103-66
103
66
+37
101avg 84
A12/10
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
74-90
74
90
-16
67avg 84
H15/10
Champions League
Imortal
#6
W
98-57
98
57
+41
105avg 84
H18/10
LPB
Le Mans
#14
L
69-89
69
89
-20
63avg 84
A21/10
Champions League
Vitoria
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
77avg 84
A01/11
LPB
Le Mans
#14
W
93-90
93
90
+3
93avg 84
H05/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 84
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
109-80
109
80
+29
103avg 84
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
69-99
69
99
-30
59avg 84
A19/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
8-33
19-22
18-11
25-17
29-16
18-14
31-19
18-23
17-25
24-24
15-18
25-18
31-10
13-19
29-10
24-21
19-24
8-17
18-27
18-27
22-12
23-21
24-16
26-19
21-23
23-22
23-26
33-21
20-24
27-18
21-17
32-19
36-13
25-22
16-26
18-22
15-21
16-30
20-26
168.9Avg total
86.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.872.5170.3+25.3100%
Season at home (3)98.771.0169.7+27.7100%
Season away (3)97.074.0171.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.482.5168.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)91.885.0176.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.293.2166.4-20.020%
vs Similar (2)89.599.0188.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)94.176.7170.7+17.496%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
OvarenseBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H08/11
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/11
LPB
79.9Avg total
37.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.879.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.739.877.5-2.138%-
Last 30 away (17)41.239.981.1+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.179.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.880.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.241.278.4-3.931%-
vs Similar (7)41.738.380.0+3.457%-
vs Weaker (9)40.139.679.7+0.644%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
L
24-65
24
65
-41
H07/10
Champions League
Sporting CP
#3
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A12/10
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H15/10
Champions League
Imortal
#6
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H18/10
LPB
Le Mans
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A21/10
Champions League
Vitoria
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/11
LPB
Le Mans
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H05/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/11
Champions League
87.3Avg total
45.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.883.6+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.540.686.1+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)41.838.680.4+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.087.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.288.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.448.685.0-12.220%-
vs Similar (2)41.052.593.5-11.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.736.782.5+9.083%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.1
55.0%
52.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.9
32.0%
32.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.012.8
67.4%
70.4%12.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.4
49.9%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
32.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws28.320.3
71.7%
70.4%20.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWLWWWLLLW
Benfica
LWWWWLWLWL
#4
League position
#1
-4.1
Net rating
+4.9
103.0
Offensive rating
107.6
107.0
Defensive rating
102.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.44
32.0%
3-point %
33.8%
63.3%
Assist %
71.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 107.6Defence107.0 · 102.7Shooting51.8% · 50.2%3-point %32.0% · 33.8%Ball care20.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds30.0% · 35.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ovarense   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ovarense wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
29/05/25Ovarense v Benfica80-89
24/05/25Benfica v Ovarense103-71
22/05/25Benfica v Ovarense85-66
29/03/25Benfica v Ovarense93-59
07/12/24Ovarense v Benfica77-98
23/03/24Ovarense v Benfica79-87
27/01/24Ovarense v Benfica74-98
18/11/23Benfica v Ovarense84-52
25/05/23Ovarense v Benfica44-115
22/05/23Benfica v Ovarense91-79 OT
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AVitoria94-77
08/11/25HImortal72-71
01/11/25ASporting CP64-78
18/10/25HOliveirense87-82
11/10/25HVasco Da Gama83-75
04/10/25HEsgueira81-75
29/05/25HBenfica80-89
24/05/25ABenfica71-103
22/05/25ABenfica66-85
17/05/25AOliveirense83-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25ASpartak Subotica69-99
15/11/25HFC Porto109-80
09/11/25ACA Queluz101-80
05/11/25HLe Mans93-90
01/11/25AVitoria87-76
21/10/25ALe Mans69-89
18/10/25HImortal98-57
15/10/25HSpartak Subotica74-90
12/10/25ASporting CP103-66
07/10/25HGran Canaria61-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game80.280.879.0
Allowed / game76.375.877.5
Point differential+3.8+5.0+1.5
Avg total156.5156.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.898.797.0
Allowed / game72.571.074.0
Point differential+25.3+27.7+23.0
Avg total170.3169.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica660100%97.872.5+25.3
2 Sporting CP65183%89.778.5+11.2
3 Ovarense65183%80.276.3+3.8
4 CA Queluz64267%82.778.8+3.8
5 Oliveirense63350%86.380.8+5.5
6 FC Porto63350%90.390.8-0.5
7 Esgueira63350%90.892.7-1.8
8 Braga63350%77.281.2-4.0
9 Imortal62433%80.086.3-6.3
10 Vasco Da Gama61517%86.091.2-5.2
11 Galitos Barreiro61517%87.2105.0-17.8
12 Vitoria6060%76.590.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense1623112070
Benfica2224292196
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