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Ovarense vs Benfica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Postponed
Position#3
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ovarense
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Benfica
Portugal
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca da Liga· Arena de Ovar
Other2025
Meetings · Ovarense v Benfica
27 Mar 2027
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OVAR70
BEN96
29 May 2025
OVAR80
BEN89
07 Dec 2024
OVAR77
BEN98
26 Oct 2024
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
23 Mar 2024
OVAR79
BEN87
27 Jan 2024
OVAR74
BEN98
25 May 2023
OVAR44
BEN115
22 Apr 2023
OVAR66
BEN115
10 Feb 2023
OVAR76
BEN86
07 Jan 2023
OVAR75
BEN96
22 Dec 2021
OVAR79
BEN86
08 Mar 2021
OVAR76
BEN91
07 Mar 2020
OVAR81
BEN90
31 Mar 2019
OVAR80
BEN57
08 Mar 2019
OVAR55
BEN70
17 Feb 2018
OVAR73
BEN74
08 Jan 2017
OVAR74
BEN83
08 Apr 2016
OVAR82
BEN77
28 Nov 2015
OVAR73
BEN82
17 May 2015
OVAR67
BEN61
16 May 2015
OVAR77
BEN82
07 Jan 2015
OVAR71
BEN78
04 Jan 2014
OVAR75
BEN85
11 May 2013
OVAR67
BEN78
13 Apr 2013
OVAR62
BEN78
17 Mar 2012
OVAR96
BEN78
22 Apr 2011
OVAR68
BEN77
18 Dec 2010
OVAR75
BEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
101avg 75
A20/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
93avg 75
H27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
52avg 75
A03/05
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
87-81
87
81
+6
88avg 75
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
91avg 75
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
73avg 75
A21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
47avg 75
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 75
H26/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
72avg 75
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
72-59
72
59
+13
65avg 75
H19/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-18
16-24
27-23
16-17
21-23
18-21
25-17
25-15
20-23
23-19
4-20
20-20
25-21
26-9
16-20
20-31
24-23
22-19
19-27
13-9
16-27
23-17
15-10
19-16
15-20
13-14
16-21
16-22
16-10
18-29
23-25
26-22
17-14
24-21
11-17
22-25
12-12
17-9
20-22
23-16
157.6Avg total
79.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.578.1157.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)72.473.8146.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.984.4160.3-8.444%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.575.0154.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker (9)85.675.4161.0+10.178%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
86avg 81
A05/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
62avg 81
A07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 81
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
89-88
89
88
+1
91avg 81
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 81
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
52avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
75-103
75
103
-28
56avg 81
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
96-61
96
61
+35
99avg 81
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 81
A26/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-19
23-10
25-21
13-16
15-21
23-13
22-12
20-25
21-10
15-24
27-17
28-24
19-16
15-23
27-25
28-26
24-15
14-25
25-19
22-23
22-23
19-21
22-18
17-31
20-21
15-27
12-13
17-32
16-25
21-22
21-24
26-12
16-16
31-20
23-13
14-27
18-19
35-13
20-24
165.3Avg total
84.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.081.3165.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)83.087.2170.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.388.3169.7-7.067%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.378.3151.7-5.067%
vs Weaker (23)90.169.2159.3+20.996%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
OvarenseBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A20/04
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A03/05
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A21/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H26/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H28/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H19/10
LPB
77.7Avg total
40.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.279.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.680.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.938.778.6+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.377.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.668.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.140.979.0-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.534.074.5+6.575%-
vs Weaker (9)44.137.281.3+6.989%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A05/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/06
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#23
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H21/09
Champions League
FC Porto
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/10
LPB
81.4Avg total
39.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.480.3+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.035.880.8+9.280%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.179.7+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.781.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.883.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.344.389.7+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.041.379.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (23)43.135.778.7+7.474%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.6
50.0%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.8
36.8%
34.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.117.2
74.5%
68.1%17.2
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.4
53.9%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
34.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
68.1%13.5
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLLLWWWLWW
Benfica
WWLLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+2.0
Net rating
+1.0
103.2
Offensive rating
107.7
101.3
Defensive rating
106.7
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
21.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.8%
3-point %
35.8%
66.3%
Assist %
57.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 107.7Defence101.3 · 106.7Shooting52.1% · 53.8%3-point %36.8% · 35.8%Ball care21.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ovarense   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ovarense wins
9
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Ovarense v Benfica79-87
27/01/24Ovarense v Benfica74-98
18/11/23Benfica v Ovarense84-52
25/05/23Ovarense v Benfica44-115
22/05/23Benfica v Ovarense91-79 OT
20/05/23Benfica v Ovarense88-59
22/04/23Ovarense v Benfica66-115
22/03/23Benfica v Ovarense91-75
10/02/23Ovarense v Benfica76-86
14/01/23Benfica v Ovarense76-77
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HGalitos Barreiro72-59
28/05/24HFC Porto74-77
26/05/24HFC Porto83-86
23/05/24AFC Porto60-77
21/05/24AFC Porto73-70
13/05/24HSporting CP93-91 OT
10/05/24ASporting CP87-81
03/05/24AFC Porto67-82
27/04/24HGalomar89-76
20/04/24AImortal97-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AGalomar87-83
19/10/24AImortal96-61
16/10/24AChemnitz75-103
02/10/24AManresa64-92
28/09/24HFC Porto93-97 OT
21/09/24HFribourg Olympic91-85
19/09/24HRilski Sportist89-88
10/06/24HFC Porto83-76
07/06/24AFC Porto73-62
05/06/24AFC Porto89-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Benfica
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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