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Paisas vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 86-79
15-20 20-21 21-19 30-19
Position#2
Record8-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game80.6
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
vs
Position#6
Record7-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.4
ColombiaLBP· Ivan de Bedout
Other2026-27
Meetings · Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco
09 May 2026
PAIS86
CIMA79
08 May 2026
PAIS116
CIMA89
05 Dec 2025
PAIS93
CIMA85
04 Dec 2025
PAIS85
CIMA61
18 May 2025
PAIS97
CIMA77
17 May 2025
PAIS99
CIMA88
11 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA72
10 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
55avg 81
A15/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
61avg 81
H19/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
50avg 81
H19/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
59avg 81
H24/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 81
H25/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
75avg 81
A28/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
55avg 81
A29/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
70avg 81
H04/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
99-82
99
82
+17
93avg 81
H06/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
116-89
116
89
+27
113avg 81
H08/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
15-20
18-19
17-20
17-21
21-22
18-24
20-17
16-24
12-24
21-24
18-20
23-18
18-27
21-18
18-17
23-17
16-18
20-17
22-26
24-15
26-22
21-20
21-24
21-22
19-22
26-31
14-15
18-18
27-19
13-18
12-15
21-25
30-21
22-20
26-16
19-25
29-22
33-23
35-19
171.7Avg total
86.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.780.6164.3+3.162%
Season at home (7)88.486.3174.7+2.157%
Season away (6)78.274.0152.2+4.267%
Last 10 (10)86.285.5171.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)95.287.0182.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.497.3173.7-20.90%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.473.2165.6+19.387%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
96-98
96
98
-2
78avg 62
A18/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
69-55
69
55
+14
62avg 62
H22/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 62
H24/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
90-65
90
65
+25
91avg 62
H26/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
91-55
91
55
+36
93avg 62
H27/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
50avg 62
A02/05
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
L
51-60
51
60
-9
46avg 62
A02/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
44avg 62
H05/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
58-79
58
79
-21
40avg 62
H05/05
LBP
Paisas
#2
L
89-116
89
116
-27
84avg 62
A08/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-27
23-24
31-25
21-20
22-5
12-18
14-12
12-25
26-16
24-18
21-13
12-18
18-19
31-17
29-11
26-21
26-9
21-14
18-11
18-14
21-17
11-9
10-12
23-14
9-12
12-21
7-13
14-13
10-6
12-6
10-11
7-18
19-15
22-23
10-23
25-19
22-29
23-33
19-35
142.1Avg total
73.3Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.570.4141.8+1.154%
Season at home (8)74.665.0139.6+9.675%
Season away (5)66.479.0145.4-12.620%
Last 10 (10)73.368.8142.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)60.868.6129.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.776.6146.2-6.945%
vs Similar (6)74.075.3149.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (4)73.058.0131.0+15.075%
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
PaisasCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/04
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H19/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H24/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A28/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A29/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H04/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H06/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/05
LBP
83.9Avg total
41.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.783.6+6.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.538.984.4+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.138.482.6+5.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.383.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.748.486.1-10.70%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.035.782.8+11.383%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H22/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H26/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A02/05
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A02/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H05/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H05/05
LBP
Paisas
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A08/05
LBP
71.2Avg total
37.3Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.672.8-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.836.071.7-0.245%-
Last 30 away (10)34.240.975.1-6.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.333.971.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.465.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.939.174.0-4.335%-
vs Similar (6)34.536.871.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (4)38.231.069.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.6
51.0%
50.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.410.2
30.5%
30.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.812.5
66.5%
66.5%12.5
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.6
52.8%
50.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.9
28.5%
30.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.810.4
55.3%
66.5%10.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
WWLLWWWLLL
Cimarrones del Choco
LLWLWWWWWL
#2
League position
#6
-0.9
Net rating
+5.3
86.3
Offensive rating
83.4
87.2
Defensive rating
78.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.5%
3-point %
28.5%
53.0%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 83.4Defence87.2 · 78.0Shooting48.6% · 48.5%3-point %30.5% · 28.5%Ball care14.7% · 18.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Paisas   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Paisas wins
1
Cimarrones del Choco wins
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26HCimarrones del Choco116-89
06/05/26HPiratas de Bogota99-82
04/05/26HPiratas de Bogota89-93 OT
29/04/26ACaimanes del Llano80-90
28/04/26ACaimanes del Llano92-81
25/04/26HMotilones del Norte81-78
24/04/26HMotilones del Norte91-86 OT
19/04/26HToros del Valle67-92
19/04/26HToros del Valle76-84
15/04/26ASabios Baloncesto71-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26APaisas89-116
05/05/26HToros del Valle58-79
05/05/26HToros del Valle46-36
02/05/26ASabios Baloncesto51-60
02/05/26ASabios Baloncesto60-52
27/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands91-55
26/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands90-65
24/04/26HPiratas de Bogota83-72
22/04/26HPiratas de Bogota69-55
18/04/26ACaimanes del Llano96-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game83.788.478.2
Allowed / game80.686.374.0
Point differential+3.1+2.1+4.2
Avg total164.3174.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %15%29%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL54%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%75%20%
Points / game71.574.666.4
Allowed / game70.465.079.0
Point differential+1.1+9.6-12.6
Avg total141.8139.6145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toros del Valle1311285%77.858.2+19.6
2 Piratas de Bogota138562%80.475.9+4.5
3 Paisas138562%83.780.6+3.1
4 Caimanes del Llano127558%83.482.0+1.4
5 Cimarrones del Choco137654%71.570.4+1.1
6 Sabios Baloncesto125742%74.376.5-2.2
7 Motilones del Norte124833%80.285.9-5.7
8 Caribbean Storm Islands120120%65.289.4-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas1520213086
Cimarrones del Choco2021191979
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