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Palencia vs Basquet Girona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 76-80
23-23 17-15 21-24 15-18
Position#18
Record1-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#14
Record4-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game81.9
SpainACBRound 8· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Palencia v Basquet Girona
04 Nov 2023
PAL76
GIR80
10 Dec 2021
PAL62
GIR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 63
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 63
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 63
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 63
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
80avg 63
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
46avg 63
A29/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-10
16-12
16-19
22-19
19-8
17-24
31-12
23-16
28-22
22-20
23-19
22-22
20-28
11-19
18-27
15-10
18-19
7-15
23-16
24-22
21-20
19-23
23-21
11-23
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
12-17
24-8
24-20
14-14
11-30
14-22
18-15
25-24
154.6Avg total
77.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.781.7156.4-7.014%
Season at home (3)75.372.7148.0+2.733%
Season away (4)74.288.5162.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)77.177.5154.6-0.440%
Last 5 (5)75.280.8156.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.782.8158.5-7.217%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.586.0165.5-6.525%
vs Weaker (20)83.271.5154.7+11.780%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#17
L
79-90
79
90
-11
76avg 52
H09/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
no box
A13/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
46avg 52
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
68avg 52
A23/09
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
88-64
88
64
+24
85avg 52
H28/09
ACB
Granada
#17
W
102-91
102
91
+11
97avg 52
A01/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 52
H08/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
45avg 52
H14/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 52
A21/10
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
72avg 52
H28/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
18-21
23-27
8-28
15-17
18-18
24-20
19-21
15-21
19-19
18-19
18-16
27-21
15-20
17-17
30-27
32-15
20-15
20-16
16-18
16-23
28-19
23-27
35-22
17-23
11-22
24-33
22-15
13-14
13-23
19-20
21-22
17-24
22-11
14-29
26-21
15-11
23-17
11-28
33-20
165.0Avg total
82.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.981.9164.7+1.057%
Season at home (4)77.578.0155.5-0.550%
Season away (3)90.087.0177.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)82.482.6165.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)80.684.8165.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.681.6156.2-6.929%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.883.7166.5-0.842%
vs Weaker (4)87.071.5158.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
PalenciaBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A29/10
ACB
72.8Avg total
34.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.876.0+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.633.674.2+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)37.740.478.1-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.272.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.076.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.341.876.2-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.040.277.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (20)41.234.575.8+6.775%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H09/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/05
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/09
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H28/09
ACB
Granada
#17
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H08/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H14/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A21/10
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H28/10
ACB
75.2Avg total
38.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.974.5+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.734.672.2+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.539.677.1-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.738.474.1-2.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.136.575.6+2.658%-
vs Weaker (4)39.832.872.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.7
54.1%
53.0%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.5
30.7%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.2
69.9%
75.6%13.2
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.7
49.3%
53.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.8
32.6%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
75.6%15.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LWLLLLLWWW
Basquet Girona
WLLLWWWLWL
#18
League position
#14
-12.2
Net rating
-2.2
101.3
Offensive rating
102.0
113.5
Defensive rating
104.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.7%
3-point %
32.6%
52.3%
Assist %
60.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 102.0Defence113.5 · 104.2Shooting50.3% · 49.2%3-point %30.7% · 32.6%Ball care20.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 32.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Palencia   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
2
Basquet Girona wins
DateGameScore
10/04/22Basquet Girona v Palencia89-72
10/12/21Palencia v Basquet Girona62-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AReal Madrid68-91
21/10/23HBreogan74-59
15/10/23AManresa91-92
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75
01/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra74-87
29/09/23HBarcelona83-84 OT
23/09/23AObradoiro CAB64-84
18/06/23HSan Pablo Burgos95-83
17/06/23HReal Valladolid90-60
02/06/23AAlicante63-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HMurcia82-76
21/10/23AObradoiro CAB79-85
14/10/23HTenerife66-79
08/10/23HReal Madrid74-93
01/10/23AGranada102-91
28/09/23HGran Canaria88-64
23/09/23AValencia89-85
24/05/23HBaskonia70-75
13/05/23ABasket Zaragoza95-88 OT
09/05/23HReal Betis79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game74.775.374.2
Allowed / game81.772.788.5
Point differential-7.0+2.7-14.2
Avg total156.4148.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game82.977.590.0
Allowed / game81.978.087.0
Point differential+1.0-0.5+3.0
Avg total164.7155.5177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%93.378.1+15.1
2 Valencia76186%80.376.6+3.7
3 Barcelona75271%84.480.1+4.3
4 Unicaja85362%89.481.5+7.9
5 Murcia74357%86.182.7+3.4
6 MoraBanc Andorra74357%83.081.4+1.6
7 Basquet Girona74357%82.981.9+1.0
8 Baskonia74357%83.382.6+0.7
9 Manresa74357%87.387.1+0.1
10 Bilbao84450%81.883.1-1.4
11 Tenerife73443%80.984.9-4.0
12 Joventut Badalona73443%83.991.3-7.4
13 Gran Canaria73443%77.385.1-7.9
14 Obradoiro CAB83538%81.080.5+0.5
15 Basket Zaragoza83538%82.182.9-0.8
16 Granada71614%86.990.9-4.0
17 Breogan71614%71.778.6-6.9
18 Palencia71614%74.781.7-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2317211576
Basquet Girona2315241880
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