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Real Madrid vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 91-68
30-11 22-14 15-18 24-25
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game79.8
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Palencia
Spain
Position#18
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.2
SpainACBRound 7· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
89avg 74
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
86-79
86
79
+7
71avg 74
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 74
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-74
93
74
+19
91avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 74
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 74
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
83avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 74
H26/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
21-16
30-25
21-21
14-13
23-20
22-17
27-29
19-23
24-24
19-20
17-10
23-17
22-11
33-24
15-22
26-24
29-17
25-19
23-20
15-22
27-15
39-25
25-30
25-19
28-24
19-19
21-17
19-25
23-17
25-19
21-10
27-14
20-20
18-27
17-15
12-19
16-11
23-11
14-23
166.9Avg total
88.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.779.8173.5+13.8100%
Season at home (3)97.780.3178.0+17.3100%
Season away (3)89.779.3169.0+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.978.0166.9+10.9100%
Last 5 (5)86.876.4163.2+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.185.2172.4+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.876.4165.2+12.495%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 67
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 67
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 67
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 67
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
80avg 67
H21/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
23-12
16-20
15-16
9-10
16-12
16-19
22-19
19-8
17-24
31-12
23-16
28-22
22-20
23-19
22-22
20-28
11-19
18-27
15-10
18-19
7-15
23-16
24-22
21-20
19-23
23-21
11-23
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
12-17
24-8
24-20
14-14
153.0Avg total
77.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.880.2156.0-4.317%
Season at home (3)75.372.7148.0+2.733%
Season away (3)76.387.7164.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)77.875.2153.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)78.279.4157.6-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.281.2158.4-4.020%
vs Similar (4)79.586.0165.5-6.525%
vs Weaker (21)83.572.0155.5+11.581%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
Real MadridPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
43.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.982.4+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.538.580.9+4.054%-
Last 30 away (17)44.439.283.5+5.276%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.781.2+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.279.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.245.088.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.736.580.2+7.271%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/10
ACB
72.7Avg total
36.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.676.4+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.534.474.9+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)38.739.578.2-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.272.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.473.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.239.876.0-3.620%-
vs Similar (4)37.040.277.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (21)41.135.276.3+5.971%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.9
58.2%
53.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.6
36.8%
34.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.8%
75.6%16.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.4
52.9%
53.0%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.1%
75.6%12.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Palencia
WLLLLLWWWW
#1
League position
#18
+14.4
Net rating
-7.6
116.1
Offensive rating
103.5
101.7
Defensive rating
111.1
56.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.8%
3-point %
33.1%
67.5%
Assist %
57.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 103.5Defence101.7 · 111.1Shooting56.8% · 51.4%3-point %36.8% · 33.1%Ball care17.6% · 20.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Madrid wins
0
Palencia wins
No previous meetings.
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HBarcelona65-64
22/10/23ATenerife82-76
19/10/23HOlimpia Milano88-71
17/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas93-79
15/10/23HMurcia106-92
12/10/23AAnadolu Efes103-80
08/10/23ABasquet Girona93-74
06/10/23ABaskonia79-77
01/10/23HBarcelona86-79
29/09/23AManresa94-88
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HBreogan74-59
15/10/23AManresa91-92
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75
01/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra74-87
29/09/23HBarcelona83-84 OT
23/09/23AObradoiro CAB64-84
18/06/23HSan Pablo Burgos95-83
17/06/23HReal Valladolid90-60
02/06/23AAlicante63-60
28/05/23HAlicante75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.797.789.7
Allowed / game79.880.379.3
Point differential+13.8+17.3+10.3
Avg total173.5178.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.875.376.3
Allowed / game80.272.787.7
Point differential-4.3+2.7-11.3
Avg total156.0148.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%93.779.8+13.8
2 Barcelona65183%87.281.7+5.5
3 Valencia65183%81.878.0+3.8
4 Baskonia64267%85.882.2+3.7
5 Bilbao64267%83.082.3+0.7
6 Unicaja74357%89.782.6+7.1
7 Murcia74357%86.182.7+3.4
8 Basquet Girona74357%82.981.9+1.0
9 Manresa63350%86.887.7-0.8
10 MoraBanc Andorra63350%82.783.7-1.0
11 Obradoiro CAB73443%82.079.6+2.4
12 Joventut Badalona73443%83.991.3-7.4
13 Gran Canaria73443%77.385.1-7.9
14 Tenerife62433%78.783.5-4.8
15 Basket Zaragoza72529%82.985.7-2.9
16 Granada61517%87.391.0-3.7
17 Palencia61517%75.880.2-4.3
18 Breogan71614%71.778.6-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3022152491
Palencia1114182568
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