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Palencia vs Estela Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 10 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game76.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 24
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Estela
10 Mar 2027
PAL v ESTE
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAL100
ESTE70
21 Mar 2025
PAL85
ESTE77
24 Mar 2023
PAL94
ESTE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 76
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 76
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 76
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 76
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 76
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 76
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 76
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
27-20
16-19
26-14
17-24
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.573.0155.5+9.588%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (4)85.876.2162.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (25)83.869.6153.4+14.292%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 72
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 72
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 72
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 72
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 72
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 72
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
16-12
13-17
27-18
17-24
18-21
30-18
26-17
18-11
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.676.8159.4+5.975%
Season at home (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
Season away (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.786.2162.9-9.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.677.5156.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
PalenciaEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/11
Primera FEB
73.9Avg total
40.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.575.4+6.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.2+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)39.834.874.6+5.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.673.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.235.078.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker (25)41.234.375.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.479.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.644.382.9-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.838.379.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWLWWWLW
Estela
WWLLWWWWLL
#3
League position
#5
+6.0
Net rating
-5.8
110.8
Offensive rating
111.4
104.8
Defensive rating
117.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
33.8%
58.9%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 111.4Defence104.8 · 117.2Shooting50.3% · 53.2%3-point %35.4% · 33.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Palencia   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Palencia wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Estela v Palencia73-85
08/05/26Palencia v Estela100-70
11/10/25Estela v Palencia58-107
21/03/25Palencia v Estela85-77
18/01/25Estela v Palencia59-83
24/03/23Palencia v Estela94-72
26/11/22Estela v Palencia67-77
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AZamora86-77
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGipuzkoa92-67
07/11/26HEstudiantes73-71
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.579.285.8
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+9.5+9.5+9.5
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.674.890.5
Allowed / game76.875.877.8
Point differential+5.9-1.0+12.8
Avg total159.4150.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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