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Palencia vs Fuenlabrada Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game80.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 17
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Fuenlabrada
17 Jan 2027
PAL v FUE
upcoming
29 May 2026
PAL76
FUE51
17 May 2026
PAL83
FUE79
15 May 2026
PAL90
FUE52
20 Feb 2026
PAL97
FUE74
01 Feb 2025
PAL89
FUE88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 77
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 77
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 77
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 77
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 77
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 77
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 77
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
27-20
16-19
26-14
17-24
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.573.0155.5+9.588%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (4)85.876.2162.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar (4)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.869.6153.4+14.292%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 71
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
51-76
51
76
-25
38avg 71
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
78avg 71
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 71
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 71
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 71
H25/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
21-22
22-22
22-12
9-26
12-15
12-22
18-13
26-22
23-21
15-25
18-28
15-14
16-19
20-25
17-21
22-18
19-29
16-14
17-16
15-22
23-22
24-23
17-17
23-24
18-21
28-15
21-16
14-17
14-23
22-16
16-15
17-19
19-25
20-19
28-23
15-20
24-21
22-13
19-20
154.3Avg total
75.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.980.4158.2-2.525%
Season at home (3)80.780.3161.0+0.333%
Season away (5)76.280.4156.6-4.220%
Last 10 (10)75.279.1154.3-3.930%
Last 5 (5)79.878.2158.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.381.9156.2-7.638%
vs Similar (10)78.275.6153.8+2.660%
vs Weaker (4)86.078.2164.2+7.875%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
PalenciaFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/11
Primera FEB
73.9Avg total
40.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.575.4+6.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.2+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)39.834.874.6+5.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.673.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (4)43.235.078.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.234.375.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A11/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A17/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A31/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/11
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
35.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.678.4-2.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.276.6-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.980.1-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.677.4-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.879.2-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.140.877.9-3.725%-
vs Similar (10)37.540.477.9-2.920%-
vs Weaker (4)41.240.581.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.0
49.7%
53.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
74.2%12.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWLWWWLW
Fuenlabrada
WLLWLLLLLW
#3
League position
#13
+6.0
Net rating
-7.7
110.8
Offensive rating
105.4
104.8
Defensive rating
113.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
34.8%
58.9%
Assist %
57.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 105.4Defence104.8 · 113.1Shooting50.3% · 50.7%3-point %35.4% · 34.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Palencia   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Palencia wins
4
Fuenlabrada wins
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AZamora86-77
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACordoba80-74
07/11/26HOurense84-86
31/10/26AGranada66-71
25/10/26HHestia Menorca90-76
17/10/26AEstela79-84
11/10/26ACaja 8774-77
03/10/26HGran Canaria68-79
26/09/26AAlicante82-96
29/05/26APalencia51-76
24/05/26HPalencia78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.579.285.8
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+9.5+9.5+9.5
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game77.980.776.2
Allowed / game80.480.380.4
Point differential-2.5+0.3-4.2
Avg total158.2161.0156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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