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Palencia vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-62
20-19 28-12 16-11 18-20
Position#3
Record19-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#17
Record4-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game87.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 27
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Melilla
27 Mar 2026
PAL82
MELI62
19 May 2023
PAL115
MELI86
29 Apr 2022
PAL84
MELI77
16 Oct 2020
PAL81
MELI50
27 Sep 2019
PAL69
MELI81
26 Apr 2019
PAL76
MELI84
12 Jan 2018
PAL69
MELI72
11 Nov 2016
PAL87
MELI84
30 Dec 2015
PAL80
MELI83
06 Mar 2015
PAL59
MELI62
28 Mar 2014
PAL62
MELI54
04 Jan 2013
PAL82
MELI73
08 Jan 2012
PAL66
MELI69
09 Jan 2011
PAL70
MELI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melilla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Palencia
4.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.5
87.0▲ 2.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.4
71.6▼ 2.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
58%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.7
14.6▼ 1.1
🔥 Form · Melilla
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.6
76.8▼ 3.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.9
83.0▼ 2.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
53%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.3
16.2▼ 0.0
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H20/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A21/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
23-17
13-26
31-12
28-16
14-17
23-15
17-15
15-17
30-15
25-16
24-24
18-22
25-18
26-11
16-18
18-8
15-22
26-14
17-17
23-19
30-22
20-16
24-17
22-18
14-17
16-16
25-15
21-21
24-14
24-25
22-14
19-23
28-13
33-22
19-29
21-21
18-17
9-6
23-13
155.5Avg total
85.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.072.5156.5+11.676%
Season at home (13)83.873.8157.7+10.077%
Season away (12)84.271.0155.2+13.275%
Last 10 (10)85.570.0155.5+15.5100%
Last 5 (5)87.071.6158.6+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.873.0157.8+11.877%
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MelillaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-101
70
101
-31
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
72-105
72
105
-33
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H15/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H22/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H11/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A15/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H22/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
12-19
19-19
26-23
25-16
17-27
12-28
16-30
11-28
22-25
26-19
13-33
23-21
24-21
18-16
13-26
11-14
20-19
13-22
27-23
19-26
21-22
14-21
16-23
23-22
17-22
21-16
22-17
21-21
22-20
24-19
12-27
16-21
17-17
13-25
22-19
24-17
16-26
26-16
18-18
163.3Avg total
75.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.087.2163.2-11.217%
Season at home (12)77.385.5162.8-8.233%
Season away (12)74.789.0163.7-14.30%
Last 10 (10)75.987.4163.3-11.520%
Last 5 (5)76.883.0159.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.189.1164.2-13.911%
vs Similar (7)82.982.9165.7+0.043%
vs Weaker (4)94.280.2174.5+14.075%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -5.4-5.4
PalenciaMelilla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H20/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/03
Primera FEB
78.1Avg total
42.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.337.281.5+7.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.836.581.3+8.388%-
Last 30 away (14)43.638.181.7+5.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.235.978.1+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (3)49.039.388.3+9.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.536.780.2+6.973%-
This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H11/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H01/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A11/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/03
Primera FEB
82.2Avg total
38.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.583.8-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.544.584.9-4.027%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.582.7-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.482.2-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.845.483.2-7.516%-
vs Similar (7)38.744.483.1-5.714%-
vs Weaker (4)47.240.587.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.1
52.0%
51.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.7
39.4%
33.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
73.4%12.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melilla: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.1
49.2%
51.5%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.7
34.7%
33.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.2%
73.4%11.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWWWWWWW
Melilla
WLLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#17
+10.8
Net rating
-11.1
116.3
Offensive rating
106.7
105.5
Defensive rating
117.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
4.9%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
34.7%
56.4%
Assist %
56.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 106.7Defence105.5 · 117.8Shooting55.3% · 50.5%3-point %39.4% · 34.7%Ball care4.9% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 20%
■ Palencia   ■ Melilla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Palencia wins
5
Melilla wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Melilla v Palencia80-75
19/05/23Palencia v Melilla115-86
20/01/23Melilla v Palencia78-89
29/04/22Palencia v Melilla84-77
26/02/22Melilla v Palencia88-75
22/12/20Melilla v Palencia58-71
16/10/20Palencia v Melilla81-50
17/01/20Melilla v Palencia74-66
27/09/19Palencia v Melilla69-81
26/04/19Palencia v Melilla76-84
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AGipuzkoa71-57
14/03/26HLeyma Coruna99-87
11/03/26ATizona Burgos91-74
06/03/26HZamora77-66
20/02/26HFuenlabrada97-74
15/02/26AOviedo76-61
11/02/26HPalmer Basket85-69
08/02/26AEstudiantes94-72
31/01/26AAlicante82-63
16/01/26HOurense83-77
Melillalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HFuenlabrada84-77
15/03/26ACartagena68-82
11/03/26HOviedo79-87
22/02/26HEstela83-77
15/02/26HObradoiro CAB70-92
11/02/26AAlicante71-78
08/02/26AFibwi Palma78-84
01/02/26HLeyma Coruna72-105
17/01/26AOviedo70-101
11/01/26HCartagena84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%77%75%
Points / game84.083.884.2
Allowed / game72.573.871.0
Point differential+11.6+10.0+13.2
Avg total156.5157.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%62%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melilla
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW17%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game76.077.374.7
Allowed / game87.285.589.0
Point differential-11.2-8.2-14.3
Avg total163.2162.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2624292%91.778.0+13.7
2 Obradoiro CAB2421388%92.877.2+15.6
3 Palencia2519676%84.072.5+11.6
4 Estudiantes2415962%84.780.8+3.8
5 Gipuzkoa25151060%79.674.7+4.9
6 Oviedo25141156%83.679.3+4.3
7 Hestia Menorca24131154%81.577.3+4.2
8 Alicante25131252%83.382.1+1.2
9 Fuenlabrada25131252%79.382.6-3.3
10 Ourense24111346%81.080.7+0.2
11 Zamora24101442%83.287.1-4.0
12 Estela25101540%78.184.0-6.0
13 Fibwi Palma2591636%77.082.5-5.6
14 Cartagena2571828%73.084.7-11.7
15 Palmer Basket2461825%73.284.6-11.4
16 Tizona Burgos2662023%82.289.0-6.8
17 Melilla2442017%76.087.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2028161882
Melilla1912112062
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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