PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Panathinaikos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 91-81
23-19 23-16 20-29 25-17
Position#3
Record18-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#18
Record5-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game91.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin
21 Mar 2025
PAO91
ABE81
11 Apr 2024
PAO84
ABE75
07 Apr 2023
PAO84
ABE88
10 Dec 2021
PAO82
ABE67
17 Dec 2020
PAO92
ABE69
02 Apr 2015
PAO66
ABE68
15 Mar 2013
PAO82
ABE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 85
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 85
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
91-73
91
73
+18
87avg 85
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 85
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
96-93
96
93
+3
97avg 85
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
97avg 85
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 85
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
97-66
97
66
+31
105avg 85
H09/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 85
A14/03
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 85
A17/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
23-17
31-19
18-22
28-13
20-13
23-24
22-13
22-17
19-14
22-19
28-23
16-21
14-13
29-21
20-20
25-16
29-28
17-19
25-30
20-32
34-20
15-21
33-22
24-13
16-20
23-20
22-17
27-16
23-12
25-21
22-17
9-20
18-18
23-24
24-14
17-20
27-13
23-18
16-22
166.0Avg total
89.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.882.7169.5+4.262%
Season at home (14)94.982.1177.1+12.886%
Season away (15)79.383.1162.4-3.940%
Last 10 (10)89.476.6166.0+12.890%
Last 5 (5)88.276.0164.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.582.0165.5+1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)94.078.6172.6+15.490%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
53-73
53
73
-20
46avg 77
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 77
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
94avg 77
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 77
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
63avg 77
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 77
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 77
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
90-101 OT
90
101
-11
83avg 77
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
97-90
97
90
+7
91avg 77
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
108-73
108
73
+35
107avg 77
A16/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
10-12
15-18
16-18
13-15
22-25
20-19
16-18
31-18
23-16
17-22
21-21
17-20
19-25
23-11
19-15
21-24
14-24
20-20
18-30
18-16
21-18
23-25
24-18
20-18
19-23
25-25
21-33
16-17
33-20
13-21
24-28
26-24
24-22
25-23
22-21
28-23
30-18
23-15
27-17
166.9Avg total
83.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.491.3170.8-11.917%
Season at home (15)81.890.2172.0-8.420%
Season away (14)76.992.5169.4-15.614%
Last 10 (10)83.383.6166.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)93.288.0181.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.490.6169.1-12.212%
vs Similar (4)93.088.5181.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (9)87.280.1167.3+7.167%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
PanathinaikosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#29
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H12/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H16/02
Greek Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A14/03
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A17/03
Basket League
79.3Avg total
43.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.583.2+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.136.984.1+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.482.1+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.336.079.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)39.537.677.1+1.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.439.585.9+7.071%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A16/03
BBL
82.0Avg total
41.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.884.1-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.543.685.2-2.138%-
Last 30 away (17)41.242.183.4-0.941%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.382.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.886.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.445.684.1-7.212%-
vs Similar (4)46.240.887.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker (9)44.838.283.0+6.678%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.222.3
61.6%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
78.0%13.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.1
56.5%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.8
30.8%
36.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
78.0%15.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWWWWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWLLWLWWLL
#3
League position
#18
+17.5
Net rating
+0.1
122.0
Offensive rating
106.6
104.4
Defensive rating
106.5
58.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
21.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.1%
3-point %
30.8%
66.6%
Assist %
67.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.0 · 106.6Defence104.4 · 106.5Shooting58.4% · 52.5%3-point %36.1% · 30.8%Ball care14.9% · 21.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 33.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25AAris83-73
14/03/25AOlympiacos74-76
09/03/25HPanionios97-66
06/03/25HReal Madrid85-70
02/03/25AMaroussi102-95
28/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne96-93
16/02/25HOlympiacos79-75
14/02/25APromitheas91-73
12/02/25HPeristeri93-63
09/02/25HKolossos Rhodes94-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25ABasketball Braunschweig108-73
13/03/25HBaskonia97-90
09/03/25AUlm90-101 OT
07/03/25HBarcelona85-99
03/03/25HBamberg86-77
28/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-98
12/02/25ARostock78-71
09/02/25HHamburg92-77
06/02/25HCrvena zvezda71-77
04/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas53-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%86%40%
Points / game86.894.979.3
Allowed / game82.782.183.1
Point differential+4.2+12.8-3.9
Avg total169.5177.1162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%64%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %17%20%14%
Points / game79.481.876.9
Allowed / game91.390.292.5
Point differential-11.9-8.4-15.6
Avg total170.8172.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3022873%86.981.2+5.7
2 Fenerbahce30201067%82.780.8+2.0
3 Panathinaikos29181162%86.882.7+4.2
4 Monaco30181260%86.783.0+3.7
5 Crvena zvezda30171357%81.880.7+1.1
6 Paris30171357%85.484.8+0.7
7 Bayern30171357%86.987.6-0.7
8 Barcelona29161355%87.684.4+3.2
9 Real Madrid30161453%84.182.0+2.1
10 Olimpia Milano30161453%84.985.8-0.9
11 Partizan29151452%82.879.5+3.3
12 Anadolu Efes29151452%85.882.6+3.2
13 Zalgiris Kaunas29141548%77.678.1-0.6
14 Baskonia30131743%81.882.8-1.0
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne30111937%81.085.3-4.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv30102033%85.289.1-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3072323%78.584.4-5.9
18 Alba Berlin2952417%79.491.3-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2323202591
Alba Berlin1916291781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.