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Panathinaikos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 84-75
17-23 21-14 22-26 24-12
Position#2
Record22-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.2
Panathinaikos 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#18
Record5-28
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin
21 Mar 2025
PAO91
ABE81
11 Apr 2024
PAO84
ABE75
07 Apr 2023
PAO84
ABE88
10 Dec 2021
PAO82
ABE67
17 Dec 2020
PAO92
ABE69
02 Apr 2015
PAO66
ABE68
15 Mar 2013
PAO82
ABE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
85-67
85
67
+18
65avg 76
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
83avg 76
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
59avg 76
A14/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 76
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 76
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
87avg 76
H22/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 76
A29/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 76
A05/04
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 76
A08/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-19
21-14
26-17
22-22
20-10
23-16
22-16
17-7
16-26
9-15
23-23
24-22
22-20
18-16
25-15
29-20
22-21
19-15
19-20
20-23
14-23
26-15
29-20
19-15
30-12
26-19
18-16
28-16
23-23
14-20
16-20
13-18
27-18
18-18
24-21
24-22
16-15
17-25
22-12
156.1Avg total
83.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.577.2158.7+4.367%
Season at home (16)82.974.0156.9+8.981%
Season away (17)80.280.2160.4+0.053%
Last 10 (10)83.972.2156.1+11.790%
Last 5 (5)84.874.2159.0+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)83.074.0157.0+9.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.172.3155.5+10.882%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
112avg 79
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 79
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-103
68
103
-35
59avg 79
A29/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 79
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
77avg 79
H04/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
100-91
100
91
+9
98avg 79
H07/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
21-24
35-10
32-16
24-19
26-16
14-20
17-22
22-28
23-23
17-30
27-12
17-20
18-22
21-13
24-21
21-23
18-34
22-18
13-31
15-20
19-16
21-21
23-15
22-13
15-23
19-24
28-25
21-22
27-23
28-21
25-24
20-23
169.0Avg total
85.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.286.7162.9-10.415%
Season at home (17)76.685.9162.6-9.324%
Season away (16)75.887.4163.2-11.66%
Last 10 (10)85.383.7169.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.086.4170.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.687.1163.7-10.612%
vs Similar (5)89.082.8171.8+6.280%
vs Weaker (9)90.880.3171.1+10.478%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
PanathinaikosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H25/03
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A29/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/04
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/04
Basket League
79.3Avg total
42.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.178.3+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.135.576.6+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)43.336.780.0+6.573%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.979.3+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.536.275.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.936.680.5+7.277%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A29/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H04/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H07/04
BBL
84.4Avg total
42.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.283.4-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.942.184.1-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.282.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.984.4+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.084.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.944.982.9-7.025%-
vs Similar (5)42.439.281.6+3.2100%-
vs Weaker (9)46.438.985.3+7.678%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.9
53.9%
53.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.7
42.2%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.614.3
73.0%
77.4%14.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.3
57.9%
53.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
77.4%15.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWLWW
Alba Berlin
WLWLWLLWLW
#2
League position
#18
+14.5
Net rating
+2.6
117.4
Offensive rating
111.5
102.9
Defensive rating
108.8
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.2%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
42.2%
3-point %
35.5%
64.2%
Assist %
56.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 111.5Defence102.9 · 108.8Shooting57.5% · 56.1%3-point %42.2% · 35.5%Ball care18.0% · 21.2%Off. rebounds32.7% · 33.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
10/11/23Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos85-99
07/04/23Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin84-88
19/10/22Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos94-65
06/04/22Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos87-78
10/12/21Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-67
26/02/21Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos74-65
17/12/20Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin92-69
02/04/15Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin66-68
06/02/15Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos59-65
15/03/13Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-58
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/24AKolossos Rhodes79-74
05/04/24ABayern82-75
29/03/24AVirtus Bologna81-79
25/03/24HPromitheas93-62
22/03/24HBarcelona89-81
20/03/24ACrvena zvezda89-76
17/03/24APAOK89-73
14/03/24AOlympiacos65-71
10/03/24AAS Karditsas87-64
08/03/24HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HLudwigsburg100-91
04/04/24HPartizan83-94
31/03/24HHamburg85-65
29/03/24AFenerbahce68-103
24/03/24AChemnitz84-79
21/03/24AAnadolu Efes84-85
19/03/24HReal Madrid79-86
16/03/24HTubingen112-69
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%81%53%
Points / game81.582.980.2
Allowed / game77.274.080.2
Point differential+4.3+8.9+0.0
Avg total158.7156.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%56%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL24%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %15%24%6%
Points / game76.276.675.8
Allowed / game86.785.987.4
Point differential-10.4-9.3-11.6
Avg total162.9162.6163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3427779%88.280.7+7.5
2 Monaco34231168%81.979.1+2.8
3 Panathinaikos33221167%81.577.2+4.3
4 Barcelona33221167%83.079.3+3.8
5 Olympiacos33211264%78.874.8+4.0
6 Fenerbahce33201361%85.280.8+4.4
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv34201459%87.786.7+1.0
8 Baskonia33171652%83.984.7-0.8
9 Virtus Bologna33171652%79.982.1-2.2
10 Anadolu Efes34171750%86.185.6+0.5
11 Partizan33151845%83.184.0-0.8
12 Olimpia Milano34151944%78.278.1+0.1
13 Valencia33141942%76.279.1-2.8
14 Zalgiris Kaunas34142041%79.579.5-0.1
15 Bayern34132138%78.682.1-3.4
16 Crvena zvezda34112332%81.382.8-1.5
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%78.785.3-6.6
18 Alba Berlin3352815%76.286.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1721222484
Alba Berlin2314261275
← all games of the day
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