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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-75
25-18 29-22 25-13 21-22
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 7
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
65-88
65
88
-23
54avg 80
A15/10
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 80
H18/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 80
A21/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
68avg 80
A24/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
98avg 80
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
70-84
70
84
-14
66avg 80
H29/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
77-54
77
54
+23
no box
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
48-81
48
81
-33
34avg 80
A04/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
81-64
81
64
+17
78avg 80
A07/11
Basket League
Unics Kazan
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 80
H11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
12-12
20-20
15-26
17-13
24-22
22-24
29-19
13-19
10-14
17-22
33-22
20-29
21-12
22-12
14-9
22-13
30-22
26-20
17-14
18-24
20-19
16-15
16-26
13-16
21-11
26-11
17-16
8-21
18-18
10-18
12-24
25-11
17-17
24-22
15-14
15-15
21-20
18-19
18-20
148.1Avg total
75.0Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.667.8147.4+11.880%
Season at home (2)84.566.0150.5+18.5100%
Season away (3)76.369.0145.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)75.073.1148.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)69.671.4141.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.578.3154.8-1.833%
vs Similar (3)65.782.0147.7-16.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.273.8162.0+14.385%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A26/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
no box
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 71
A06/10
Champions League
Larisa
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 71
H09/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
68-84
68
84
-16
62avg 71
A16/10
Basket League
Treviso
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
65avg 71
H19/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
64-63
64
63
+1
58avg 71
H23/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
65-59
65
59
+6
60avg 71
A30/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#32
L
76-92
76
92
-16
61avg 71
A03/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
66avg 71
H06/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
23-11
19-20
17-19
21-23
22-21
21-28
14-31
21-19
14-19
19-19
24-26
20-23
16-6
20-21
25-19
22-17
13-29
21-16
12-22
18-23
18-27
24-15
17-27
15-15
21-18
18-18
10-12
15-23
23-5
14-15
13-16
15-27
19-19
22-22
20-24
16-26
22-13
25-22
19-24
155.2Avg total
75.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.077.2150.2-4.250%
Season at home (3)75.772.3148.0+3.367%
Season away (3)70.382.0152.3-11.733%
Last 10 (10)75.579.7155.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)72.878.2151.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.688.4167.0-9.718%
vs Similar (13)79.079.3158.3-0.346%
vs Weaker (6)82.277.5159.7+4.767%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A15/10
Euroleague
Ionikos
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H18/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A21/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H29/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A07/11
Basket League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
72.1Avg total
36.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.578.2+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.036.681.6+8.488%-
Last 30 away (14)38.036.474.4+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.872.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.469.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.738.273.8-2.533%-
vs Similar (3)33.040.773.7-7.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.635.279.8+9.485%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#4
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A26/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Champions League
Larisa
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/10
Basket League
Treviso
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H19/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H23/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A30/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#32
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/11
Basket League
76.2Avg total
38.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.879.0-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.640.082.6+2.662%-
Last 30 away (17)36.639.676.2-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.176.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.275.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.544.582.0-6.99%-
vs Similar (13)39.537.977.5+1.662%-
vs Weaker (6)41.735.276.8+6.567%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.6
54.7%
51.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
34.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.712.3
83.7%
72.2%12.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.1
53.9%
51.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.7
29.9%
34.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.413.3
72.3%
72.2%13.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLWLWWLWL
AEK Athens
LLWWLLWLLW
#2
League position
#5
+3.8
Net rating
-5.1
102.2
Offensive rating
102.3
98.4
Defensive rating
107.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.1%
3-point %
29.9%
55.1%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 102.3Defence98.4 · 107.4Shooting50.7% · 49.7%3-point %30.1% · 29.9%Ball care18.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/21HUnics Kazan72-74
07/11/21APAOK81-64
04/11/21ACrvena zvezda48-81
01/11/21HKolossos Rhodes77-54
29/10/21HLyon-Villeurbanne70-84
27/10/21HAnadolu Efes95-69
24/10/21APeristeri77-62
21/10/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-77
18/10/21HIonikos92-78
15/10/21AReal Madrid65-88
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/21HKolossos Rhodes82-85
03/11/21AVEF Riga76-92
30/10/21AIonikos65-59
23/10/21HAris64-63
19/10/21HTreviso77-92
16/10/21AApollon Patras68-84
09/10/21HLarisa81-69
06/10/21ASzombathely78-83
03/10/21AOlympiacos78-103
26/09/21ALavrio86-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game79.684.576.3
Allowed / game67.866.069.0
Point differential+11.8+18.5+7.3
Avg total147.4150.5145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game73.075.770.3
Allowed / game77.272.382.0
Point differential-4.2+3.3-11.7
Avg total150.2148.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%101.676.4+25.2
2 Panathinaikos54180%79.667.8+11.8
3 Kolossos Rhodes75271%77.773.9+3.9
4 Promitheas75271%79.978.4+1.4
5 Lavrio74357%72.775.0-2.3
6 Apollon Patras63350%71.274.5-3.3
7 AEK Athens63350%73.077.2-4.2
8 Peristeri52340%75.284.0-8.8
9 Aris62433%76.574.7+1.8
10 Ionikos72529%72.779.3-6.6
11 Iraklis51420%77.276.8+0.4
12 PAOK51420%74.482.0-7.6
13 Larisa51420%69.678.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos25292521100
AEK Athens1822132275
← all games of the day
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