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Panathinaikos vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 69-68
27-18 10-23 18-18 14-9
Position#5
Record8-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game75.6
Panathinaikos 🏆
vs
Baskonia
Position#8
Record9-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2016
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A21/11
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H25/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H28/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#11
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A05/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H09/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H11/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H16/12
Euroleague
Trikala
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A18/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
19-14
15-17
20-14
21-16
25-18
18-26
22-20
24-14
30-16
18-13
24-16
19-19
12-17
9-21
17-15
25-10
23-22
16-12
20-16
20-13
19-18
25-14
21-13
22-20
17-19
17-17
21-12
23-14
18-23
20-15
20-18
23-16
21-16
22-26
16-19
16-21
24-8
24-13
22-30
148.0Avg total
80.5Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.875.6155.4+4.262%
Season at home (7)80.971.0151.9+9.986%
Season away (6)78.581.0159.5-2.533%
Last 10 (10)80.567.5148.0+13.090%
Last 5 (5)82.269.0151.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.584.0164.5-3.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.279.6156.8-2.545%
vs Weaker (16)81.265.4146.7+15.888%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H17/11
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
H20/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
84-112
84
112
-28
A25/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H27/11
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H02/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A04/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
W
73-52
73
52
+21
H09/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H11/12
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A15/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
16-24
23-16
26-11
18-25
27-17
17-25
25-20
27-17
19-32
23-34
15-29
15-18
15-14
25-24
17-17
22-9
14-23
18-16
15-14
29-12
18-13
27-16
20-19
18-9
19-10
18-14
18-19
24-13
19-22
12-23
27-19
22-20
21-20
24-27
25-24
9-16
15-14
23-15
18-17
156.8Avg total
81.3Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.676.9156.5+2.769%
Season at home (7)78.468.7147.1+9.786%
Season away (6)81.086.5167.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)81.375.5156.8+5.880%
Last 5 (5)81.268.4149.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.387.3162.7-12.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.577.3157.7+3.245%
vs Weaker (12)85.476.0161.4+9.492%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
PanathinaikosBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/11
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H25/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H28/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H09/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H11/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#3
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/12
Euroleague
Trikala
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A18/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A21/12
Euroleague
74.6Avg total
41.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.075.6+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.134.476.5+7.771%-
Last 30 away (13)38.535.874.3+2.654%-
Last 10 (10)41.832.874.6+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.674.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.737.676.4+1.155%-
vs Weaker (16)41.631.873.4+9.875%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H17/11
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H20/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A25/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H27/11
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/12
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A04/12
ACB
Darussafaka
#9
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H09/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H11/12
ACB
Unics Kazan
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H21/12
Euroleague
73.4Avg total
38.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.376.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.936.773.6+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.940.280.1-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.173.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.829.868.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.743.280.8-5.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.237.775.9+0.545%-
vs Weaker (12)39.937.076.9+2.967%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.1
53.1%
50.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.8
36.2%
37.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
75.6%13.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.8
49.3%
50.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.4
34.7%
37.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
75.6%14.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWLWWW
Baskonia
WWWWWWLLWW
#5
League position
#8
+6.2
Net rating
+5.2
110.1
Offensive rating
104.7
103.8
Defensive rating
99.5
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.9%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.2%
3-point %
34.7%
54.5%
Assist %
53.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 104.7Defence103.8 · 99.5Shooting53.6% · 50.2%3-point %36.2% · 34.7%Ball care14.3% · 17.9%Off. rebounds26.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
19/04/16Panathinaikos v Baskonia75-84
15/04/16Baskonia v Panathinaikos82-78 OT
13/04/16Baskonia v Panathinaikos84-68
07/03/14Panathinaikos v Baskonia61-68
10/01/14Baskonia v Panathinaikos64-72
29/11/13Baskonia v Panathinaikos79-77
25/10/13Panathinaikos v Baskonia95-74
17/02/11Panathinaikos v Baskonia76-74
03/02/11Baskonia v Panathinaikos77-70
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16AOlimpia Milano86-72
18/12/16ATrikala82-77
16/12/16HFenerbahce81-70
11/12/16HAEK Athens77-68
09/12/16HGalatasaray85-58
05/12/16ALavrio84-60
02/12/16ABarcelona57-72
28/11/16HApollon Patras96-59
25/11/16HDarussafaka86-80
21/11/16AAris71-59
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16HBarcelona65-62
15/12/16AUnics Kazan92-91
11/12/16HEstudiantes82-77
09/12/16HDarussafaka73-52
04/12/16AReal Betis94-60
02/12/16HGalatasaray69-62
27/11/16HTenerife72-73
25/11/16ACSKA Moscow84-112
20/11/16HTecnyconta Zaragoza101-92 OT
17/11/16HBamberg81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game79.880.978.5
Allowed / game75.671.081.0
Point differential+4.2+9.9-2.5
Avg total155.4151.9159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %15%14%17%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game79.678.481.0
Allowed / game76.968.786.5
Point differential+2.7+9.7-5.5
Avg total156.5147.1167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1412286%90.282.4+7.9
2 Baskonia139469%79.676.9+2.7
3 Real Madrid149564%87.480.4+7.0
4 Olympiacos149564%79.175.1+4.1
5 Fenerbahce149564%77.776.9+0.8
6 Panathinaikos138562%79.875.6+4.2
7 Darussafaka148657%78.178.0+0.1
8 Anadolu Efes147750%84.785.5-0.8
9 Crvena zvezda146843%74.175.0-0.9
10 Barcelona135838%70.274.3-4.2
11 Bamberg145936%80.781.5-0.8
12 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%81.483.2-1.9
13 Unics Kazan145936%80.082.2-2.2
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv145936%79.682.8-3.2
15 Olimpia Milano134931%83.288.7-5.5
16 Galatasaray1441029%78.185.5-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2710181469
Baskonia182318968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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