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Panathinaikos vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 104-69
33-12 20-23 23-20 28-14
Position#3
Record9-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#14
Record7-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Baskonia
22 Oct 2026
PAO85
BAS79
20 Jan 2026
PAO93
BAS74
19 Dec 2024
PAO104
BAS69
27 Oct 2023
PAO95
BAS81
11 Nov 2022
PAO98
BAS83
28 Jan 2022
PAO75
BAS63
30 Mar 2021
PAO82
BAS97
20 Mar 2019
PAO72
BAS70
08 Feb 2018
PAO80
BAS76
23 Dec 2016
PAO69
BAS68
19 Apr 2016
PAO75
BAS84
07 Mar 2014
PAO61
BAS68
25 Oct 2013
PAO95
BAS74
17 Feb 2011
PAO76
BAS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
92avg 81
A17/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
75avg 81
A22/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
84avg 81
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 81
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
83avg 81
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 81
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-93
67
93
-26
50avg 81
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 81
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
103-74
103
74
+29
107avg 81
H17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
19-25
24-20
26-17
18-28
24-21
21-16
14-19
26-28
22-22
19-15
21-26
23-14
20-16
29-19
28-25
25-19
20-26
18-24
27-20
20-20
17-24
12-20
24-27
17-23
27-19
18-21
23-20
15-20
19-25
12-23
21-25
20-20
25-17
18-15
22-16
38-15
24-25
17-20
24-14
169.0Avg total
85.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.283.2168.4+2.056%
Season at home (7)92.783.1175.9+9.671%
Season away (9)79.383.2162.6-3.944%
Last 10 (10)85.983.1169.0+2.860%
Last 5 (5)82.681.8164.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)82.585.3167.8-2.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.475.9166.3+14.494%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
85-86
85
86
-1
86avg 80
A17/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
61avg 80
A21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
77avg 80
A28/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
91-116
91
116
-25
79avg 80
H01/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
91avg 80
H03/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
78avg 80
A05/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
69-67
69
67
+2
66avg 80
A08/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 80
H12/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 80
A15/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
95-85
95
85
+10
95avg 80
A17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
17-22
23-17
19-31
24-30
14-26
15-17
16-19
19-17
16-25
17-15
31-13
25-25
15-26
23-36
28-29
26-12
19-13
18-22
25-29
23-23
21-21
17-25
19-25
20-14
20-18
17-16
12-19
21-21
17-17
19-18
24-26
18-20
16-16
26-14
15-23
34-23
23-20
18-17
20-25
165.7Avg total
81.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.880.1158.8-1.344%
Season at home (8)82.578.5161.0+4.062%
Season away (8)75.081.6156.6-6.625%
Last 10 (10)81.684.1165.7-2.550%
Last 5 (5)80.080.2160.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)85.793.6179.3-7.929%
vs Similar (19)81.282.2163.4-0.942%
vs Weaker (4)86.881.2168.0+5.575%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
PanathinaikosBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A17/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H17/12
Euroleague
87.0Avg total
44.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.983.1+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.537.481.9+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.142.184.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.987.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)41.243.684.8-2.423%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.737.181.8+7.682%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H03/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A05/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H12/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A15/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A17/12
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
41.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.482.9-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.242.984.1-1.727%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.981.7-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.581.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.681.2+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.145.684.7-6.429%-
vs Similar (19)40.641.582.2-0.937%-
vs Weaker (4)42.041.083.0+1.025%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.9
56.4%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.2
35.5%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
78.0%17.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.2
57.9%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.4
34.4%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.6
68.6%
78.0%11.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLWLWWLLW
Baskonia
WWLWLWLWLL
#3
League position
#14
+3.6
Net rating
-4.6
116.9
Offensive rating
110.7
113.4
Defensive rating
115.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.5%
3-point %
34.4%
67.4%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 110.7Defence113.4 · 115.2Shooting55.1% · 55.1%3-point %35.5% · 34.4%Ball care17.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HOlimpia Milano103-74
15/12/24ALavrio85-68
13/12/24AAnadolu Efes67-93
08/12/24APanionios85-83
05/12/24APartizan73-91
03/12/24HBarcelona90-89
01/12/24HMaroussi100-74
29/11/24HMonaco88-91
22/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas77-84
17/11/24AKolossos Rhodes91-84
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv95-85
15/12/24AGranada75-73
12/12/24HVirtus Bologna81-82
08/12/24ABilbao69-67
05/12/24ABayern80-94
03/12/24HFenerbahce88-76
01/12/24HValencia91-116
28/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas83-70
21/11/24AOlympiacos69-92
17/11/24ABasket Zaragoza85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game85.292.779.3
Allowed / game83.283.183.2
Point differential+2.0+9.6-3.9
Avg total168.4175.9162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game78.882.575.0
Allowed / game80.178.581.6
Point differential-1.3+4.0-6.6
Avg total158.8161.0156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1611569%87.280.5+6.7
2 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
3 Olympiacos1610662%85.080.9+4.1
4 Zalgiris Kaunas1610662%77.274.8+2.4
5 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
6 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
7 Anadolu Efes169756%84.981.9+3.0
8 Panathinaikos169756%85.283.2+2.0
9 Barcelona169756%86.384.9+1.4
10 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
11 Crvena zvezda168850%83.682.4+1.1
12 Real Madrid167944%84.183.3+0.8
13 Partizan167944%81.480.9+0.5
14 Baskonia167944%78.880.1-1.3
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne167944%82.685.3-2.8
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1631319%80.685.4-4.8
18 Alba Berlin1631319%79.691.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos33202328104
Baskonia1223201469
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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