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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 88-82
21-19 22-22 15-17 30-24
Position#5
Record14-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#2
Record19-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2016
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H09/02
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A12/02
Basket League
Lefkadas
#14
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H15/02
Basket League
Aris
#2
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H18/02
Greek Cup
Unics Kazan
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H24/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A27/02
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A03/03
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H05/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A09/03
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A12/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
15-22
20-13
19-18
22-15
14-8
27-14
14-17
27-15
24-12
21-12
18-22
18-10
11-17
21-10
18-22
24-25
15-21
13-15
31-21
25-22
21-24
18-9
18-18
17-17
16-18
20-18
19-24
20-20
24-10
9-13
17-11
17-9
14-10
10-15
17-30
22-17
24-8
27-31
24-18
144.8Avg total
77.8Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.075.5152.5+1.656%
Season at home (12)80.272.1152.2+8.192%
Season away (13)74.278.6152.8-4.523%
Last 10 (10)77.867.0144.8+10.880%
Last 5 (5)75.868.4144.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)77.067.0144.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (11)71.971.2143.1+0.755%
vs Weaker (18)82.568.6151.1+13.994%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A12/02
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#5
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#2
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Darussafaka
#9
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H24/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A04/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
H10/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H12/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-21
17-18
25-24
15-23
18-20
23-16
30-27
15-20
29-15
24-29
21-25
22-16
25-29
27-26
23-24
30-14
23-23
22-23
26-23
9-23
24-21
25-20
23-29
20-25
26-24
14-24
24-14
24-26
13-17
15-14
12-18
38-24
25-20
17-13
18-11
23-23
24-13
15-21
14-18
173.1Avg total
88.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.279.5166.7+7.876%
Season at home (12)91.279.9171.2+11.392%
Season away (13)83.579.1162.6+4.562%
Last 10 (10)88.185.0173.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)80.679.6160.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)82.983.8166.6-0.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.278.0164.2+8.376%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/02
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A12/02
Basket League
Lefkadas
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H15/02
Basket League
Aris
#2
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H18/02
Greek Cup
Unics Kazan
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H24/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A27/02
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/03
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H05/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A09/03
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A12/03
Basket League
71.6Avg total
39.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.672.4+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.434.874.2+4.677%-
Last 30 away (17)38.432.771.1+5.665%-
Last 10 (10)39.731.971.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.031.071.0+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.028.057.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (11)34.534.669.2-0.155%-
vs Weaker (18)41.933.375.2+8.778%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/02
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A18/02
Spanish Cup
Valencia
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H19/02
Spanish Cup
Darussafaka
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H24/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H26/02
ACB
Galatasaray
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A02/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H10/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/03
ACB
85.5Avg total
43.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.982.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.641.686.2+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.038.478.4+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.685.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.288.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.440.881.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.239.582.7+3.862%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.715.7
45.2%
50.7%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.1
38.4%
37.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.19.7
68.8%
75.6%9.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.2
59.2%
50.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.6
39.0%
37.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.5
74.4%
75.6%12.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWLWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWLLLWWWWL
#5
League position
#2
-5.1
Net rating
+13.0
103.5
Offensive rating
120.1
108.5
Defensive rating
107.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
39.0%
58.5%
Assist %
73.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 120.1Defence108.5 · 107.1Shooting50.6% · 58.9%3-point %38.4% · 39.0%Ball care15.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds25.8% · 35.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17AApollon Patras97-74
09/03/17AZalgiris Kaunas58-64
05/03/17HAris70-54
03/03/17ADarussafaka72-77
27/02/17AKolossos Rhodes82-73
24/02/17HUnics Kazan83-82
18/02/17HAris68-59
15/02/17HLefkadas90-61
12/02/17AG.S. Kymis77-54
09/02/17HBamberg81-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HBarcelona76-75
10/03/17HCrvena zvezda98-68
04/03/17ATenerife64-75
02/03/17AGalatasaray84-87
26/02/17HGran Canaria81-93
24/02/17HDarussafaka101-83
19/02/17HValencia97-95
18/02/17ABaskonia103-99 OT
16/02/17HMoraBanc Andorra99-93 OT
12/02/17AUnicaja78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%92%23%
Points / game77.080.274.2
Allowed / game75.572.178.6
Point differential+1.6+8.1-4.5
Avg total152.5152.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %12%17%8%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %76%92%62%
Points / game87.291.283.5
Allowed / game79.579.979.1
Point differential+7.8+11.3+4.5
Avg total166.7171.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2519676%87.679.1+8.5
2 Real Madrid2519676%87.279.5+7.8
3 Olympiacos2518772%78.973.5+5.4
4 Fenerbahce2516964%76.975.2+1.8
5 Panathinaikos25141156%77.075.5+1.6
6 Baskonia25141156%81.079.6+1.4
7 Crvena zvezda25141156%74.774.3+0.4
8 Anadolu Efes26141254%84.984.7+0.3
9 Darussafaka25121348%78.879.6-0.7
10 Zalgiris Kaunas25111444%77.679.6-2.1
11 Barcelona25101540%72.375.9-3.6
12 Bamberg2591636%79.579.7-0.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv2691735%78.983.8-5.0
14 Galatasaray2581732%78.483.3-4.9
15 Unics Kazan2571828%76.881.3-4.4
16 Olimpia Milano2571828%82.388.4-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2122153088
Real Madrid1922172482
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