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Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 73-71
13-15 23-24 17-13 20-19
Position#2
Record3-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Mar 2027
PAO v ZAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PAO92
ZAL88
23 Jan 2025
PAO89
ZAL76
15 Nov 2023
PAO73
ZAL71
26 Jan 2023
PAO89
ZAL65
01 Mar 2022
PAO83
ZAL96
11 Dec 2020
PAO69
ZAL81
26 Oct 2018
PAO83
ZAL87
25 Jan 2018
PAO94
ZAL93
14 Oct 2016
PAO84
ZAL76
13 Nov 2015
PAO91
ZAL56
16 Jan 2015
PAO77
ZAL58
28 Dec 2012
PAO67
ZAL66
04 Nov 2011
PAO92
ZAL75
25 Sep 2011
PAO80
ZAL66
02 Oct 2010
PAO70
ZAL76
22 Oct 2008
PAO78
ZAL51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
61avg 74
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 74
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 74
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 74
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
88avg 74
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 74
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 74
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
112-60
112
60
+52
112avg 74
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
102avg 74
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
71avg 74
A12/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
13-23
22-19
20-9
9-27
19-16
17-24
24-16
15-20
9-19
25-18
23-15
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
24-22
24-21
22-23
25-15
11-12
17-19
17-12
21-11
20-21
13-24
14-26
25-9
33-12
29-15
27-15
23-18
27-26
33-21
22-23
17-15
14-15
18-18
23-11
20-21
157.9Avg total
84.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.782.0163.7-0.343%
Season at home (4)83.081.5164.5+1.550%
Season away (3)80.082.7162.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)84.673.3157.9+11.370%
Last 5 (5)84.868.8153.6+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.372.3131.7-13.017%
vs Similar (5)73.878.6152.4-4.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.171.2157.3+14.879%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
89avg 76
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
66avg 76
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
99-82
99
82
+17
102avg 76
A19/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
76-70
76
70
+6
66avg 76
A22/10
LKL
Valencia
#14
L
72-87
72
87
-15
62avg 76
H27/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
69-63
69
63
+6
66avg 76
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 76
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
74avg 76
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 76
A12/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
20-15
22-20
17-24
19-25
24-28
19-19
17-21
22-14
24-25
28-22
25-21
31-24
23-22
10-11
12-13
12-20
18-32
23-20
19-15
21-20
18-9
18-17
12-17
30-24
26-26
24-22
8-19
19-10
26-23
17-17
19-17
14-13
12-25
20-13
28-23
14-17
19-13
12-22
19-23
157.9Avg total
79.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.084.6167.6-1.643%
Season at home (3)79.784.0163.7-4.333%
Season away (4)85.585.0170.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.678.3157.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)76.876.4153.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)79.093.0172.0-14.00%
vs Similar (6)82.579.2161.7+3.367%
vs Weaker (23)83.675.2158.8+8.474%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
PanathinaikosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
Basket League
78.4Avg total
39.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.575.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.138.081.1+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.837.170.8-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.978.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.679.6+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.339.368.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (5)34.840.875.6-6.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.836.177.8+5.763%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
LKL
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A17/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A19/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A22/10
LKL
Valencia
#14
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H27/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A12/11
LKL
81.4Avg total
41.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.881.3+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.439.882.2+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)42.638.180.6+4.565%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.581.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.075.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.053.096.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (6)36.540.376.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker (23)44.037.881.9+6.274%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
77.4%15.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.4
52.4%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.1
37.8%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.912.3
77.4%
77.4%12.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWLWLWWLW
#2
League position
#13
+14.5
Net rating
+1.3
115.5
Offensive rating
110.5
101.0
Defensive rating
109.2
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.9%
3-point %
37.8%
60.1%
Assist %
60.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 110.5Defence101.0 · 109.2Shooting54.8% · 54.1%3-point %37.9% · 37.8%Ball care16.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AAris75-65
10/11/23AAlba Berlin99-85
06/11/23HApollon Patras112-60
03/11/23ABarcelona72-80
30/10/23AOlympiacos66-54
27/10/23HBaskonia95-81
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
20/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-86 OT
17/10/23AFenerbahce69-83
14/10/23APeristeri66-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ABC Wolves64-75
09/11/23AAnadolu Efes82-86 OT
05/11/23ARytas81-67
02/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-91
29/10/23HLietkabelis69-63
27/10/23HValencia72-87
22/10/23ANevezis76-70
19/10/23ABaskonia99-82
17/10/23AReal Madrid79-93
15/10/23HJonava86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game81.783.080.0
Allowed / game82.081.582.7
Point differential-0.3+1.5-2.7
Avg total163.7164.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %29%50%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game83.079.785.5
Allowed / game84.684.085.0
Point differential-1.6-4.3+0.5
Avg total167.6163.7170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%86.374.0+12.3
2 Barcelona76186%84.071.7+12.3
3 Virtus Bologna86275%84.280.0+4.2
4 Monaco85362%79.176.0+3.1
5 Fenerbahce85362%79.878.8+1.0
6 Valencia85362%73.273.0+0.2
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%84.686.1-1.6
8 Olympiacos84450%76.574.9+1.6
9 Anadolu Efes84450%79.185.4-6.2
10 Partizan73443%86.086.0+0.0
11 Panathinaikos73443%81.782.0-0.3
12 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%83.084.6-1.6
13 Baskonia73443%79.784.6-4.9
14 Crvena zvezda83538%81.477.1+4.2
15 Bayern72529%73.079.3-6.3
16 Olimpia Milano82625%77.277.4-0.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%77.986.9-9.0
18 Alba Berlin81712%76.884.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1323172073
Zalgiris Kaunas1524131971
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