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Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 94-93 (OT)
29-17 18-20 12-21 24-25 11-10
Position#5
Record12-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2017
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Mar 2027
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upcoming
12 Mar 2026
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01 Mar 2022
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26 Oct 2018
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25 Jan 2018
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16 Jan 2015
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PAO67
ZAL66
04 Nov 2011
PAO92
ZAL75
25 Sep 2011
PAO80
ZAL66
02 Oct 2010
PAO70
ZAL76
22 Oct 2008
PAO78
ZAL51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A21/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A31/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H04/01
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H11/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
A14/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A17/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H19/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#6
W
120-118 OT
120
118
+2
H22/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
21-23
17-11
11-14
17-12
15-20
16-16
15-19
19-12
14-17
21-27
18-15
23-12
24-21
23-23
20-23
24-12
21-17
25-11
22-17
17-19
19-15
18-14
30-27
32-23
17-16
23-15
22-20
20-18
10-17
20-12
12-20
20-15
9-16
22-20
19-24
27-23
30-27
20-24
21-24
156.2Avg total
81.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.475.2152.6+2.363%
Season at home (10)83.374.4157.7+8.990%
Season away (9)70.976.0146.9-5.133%
Last 10 (10)81.674.6156.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.778.7150.3-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.871.9147.6+3.950%
vs Weaker (19)87.271.7158.8+15.595%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H23/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H28/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A30/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A05/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H07/01
LKL
Unicaja
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H12/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A14/01
LKL
Bamberg
#13
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H18/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A21/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
14-14
16-13
22-18
22-19
14-19
12-15
26-15
19-21
16-11
19-17
24-25
18-16
13-17
14-15
20-29
23-15
23-22
26-10
22-21
17-19
15-21
20-15
27-22
25-20
21-15
15-22
20-22
23-21
21-16
17-27
25-29
26-19
21-12
16-26
23-25
26-16
20-25
21-16
16-18
155.1Avg total
79.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.780.5161.2+0.263%
Season at home (9)79.980.9160.8-1.078%
Season away (10)81.480.2161.6+1.250%
Last 10 (10)79.875.3155.1+4.580%
Last 5 (5)83.081.2164.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.590.5169.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.480.6161.0-0.280%
vs Weaker (23)81.871.7153.5+10.083%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
PanathinaikosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A28/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A31/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/01
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H11/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A14/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H19/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H22/01
Basket League
74.9Avg total
39.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.377.2+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.179.3+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)39.535.675.1+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.074.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.042.776.7-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.135.071.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (19)43.935.979.8+8.184%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H23/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H28/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A05/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/01
LKL
Unicaja
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
LKL
Bamberg
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/01
LKL
75.0Avg total
39.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.576.5+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.538.178.6+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.735.074.7+4.769%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.375.0+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.041.278.2-4.220%-
vs Weaker (23)41.334.776.0+6.778%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.0
52.3%
51.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
37.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
70.0%
76.3%11.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.7
53.4%
51.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.87.3
38.8%
37.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.513.2
80.0%
76.3%13.2
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLWWWWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWLWWW
#5
League position
#4
+6.1
Net rating
+0.7
110.6
Offensive rating
114.3
104.5
Defensive rating
113.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.2%
3-point %
38.8%
64.1%
Assist %
64.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 114.3Defence104.5 · 113.5Shooting53.9% · 55.0%3-point %37.2% · 38.8%Ball care16.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.0% · 34.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/18HLavrio120-118 OT
19/01/18HCSKA Moscow70-75
17/01/18AFenerbahce62-67
14/01/18AAEK Athens94-74
11/01/18HBarcelona84-75
07/01/18HKoroivos92-57
04/01/18HAnadolu Efes90-79
31/12/17AKolossos Rhodes72-71
28/12/17AValencia63-67
21/12/17ACrvena zvezda69-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/18ANeptunas83-75
18/01/18HValencia86-82
16/01/18ABamberg86-93
14/01/18AJuventus81-79
12/01/18HUnicaja79-77
07/01/18HNevezis94-68
05/01/18ACrvena zvezda65-77
30/12/17AJuventus78-74
28/12/17HOlympiacos74-68
23/12/17HAlytaus Dzukija72-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%90%33%
Points / game77.483.370.9
Allowed / game75.274.476.0
Point differential+2.3+8.9-5.1
Avg total152.6157.7146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%78%50%
Points / game80.779.981.4
Allowed / game80.580.980.2
Point differential+0.2-1.0+1.2
Avg total161.2160.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1915479%89.578.6+10.9
2 Fenerbahce1913668%79.973.6+6.3
3 Olympiacos1913668%75.073.5+1.5
4 Real Madrid1912763%84.578.9+5.6
5 Panathinaikos1912763%77.475.2+2.3
6 Zalgiris Kaunas1912763%80.780.5+0.2
7 Khimki M.1911858%77.577.9-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv1910953%80.082.3-2.3
9 Baskonia1981142%80.779.8+0.9
10 Unicaja1981142%77.781.4-3.7
11 Barcelona1971237%80.478.3+2.2
12 Crvena zvezda1971237%77.182.1-5.1
13 Bamberg1971237%74.480.0-5.6
14 Valencia1961332%76.779.6-2.9
15 Olimpia Milano1961332%80.785.3-4.6
16 Anadolu Efes1951426%78.483.8-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos291812241194
Zalgiris Kaunas172021251093
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