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Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2026
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Mar 2027
PAO v ZAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PAO92
ZAL88
23 Jan 2025
PAO89
ZAL76
15 Nov 2023
PAO73
ZAL71
26 Jan 2023
PAO89
ZAL65
01 Mar 2022
PAO83
ZAL96
11 Dec 2020
PAO69
ZAL81
26 Oct 2018
PAO83
ZAL87
25 Jan 2018
PAO94
ZAL93
14 Oct 2016
PAO84
ZAL76
13 Nov 2015
PAO91
ZAL56
16 Jan 2015
PAO77
ZAL58
28 Dec 2012
PAO67
ZAL66
04 Nov 2011
PAO92
ZAL75
25 Sep 2011
PAO80
ZAL66
02 Oct 2010
PAO70
ZAL76
22 Oct 2008
PAO78
ZAL51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Vikos
#13
W
103-74
103
74
+29
103avg 84
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-74
92
74
+18
89avg 84
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
84-59
84
59
+25
84avg 84
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
72-55
72
55
+17
67avg 84
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 84
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 84
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 84
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 84
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
23-17
24-11
24-26
27-24
19-17
21-14
25-19
21-7
22-19
27-14
14-19
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
156.7Avg total
83.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.675.0159.6+9.678%
Season at home (7)88.776.7165.4+12.086%
Season away (2)70.069.0139.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.872.9156.7+10.980%
Last 5 (5)81.275.2156.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (6)83.285.3168.5-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.575.4165.9+15.289%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
97-68
97
68
+29
112avg 88
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
86avg 88
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 88
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
73avg 88
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 88
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 88
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 88
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 88
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 88
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 88
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
29-19
23-12
25-16
23-18
16-23
16-24
33-16
16-22
18-18
25-19
21-17
14-27
29-23
13-28
24-21
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
166.7Avg total
88.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.984.0169.9+1.956%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (5)84.082.6166.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)88.078.7166.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)93.075.6168.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)87.085.0172.0+2.050%
vs Similar (5)85.286.4171.6-1.260%
vs Weaker (23)93.877.9171.7+16.091%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
PanathinaikosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#13
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
42.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.180.4+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.437.381.7+7.268%-
Last 30 away (11)38.539.678.2-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.079.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (6)39.340.880.2-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.936.881.7+8.174%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/10
LKL
Barcelona
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/10
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.684.4+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.639.885.4+5.872%-
Last 30 away (12)43.739.282.9+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.478.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.544.588.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (5)40.644.084.6-3.420%-
vs Weaker (23)45.938.284.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.7%
55.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
77.1%17.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLWWW
#1
League position
#10
+13.0
Net rating
+11.2
99.6
Offensive rating
106.4
86.7
Defensive rating
95.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
59.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.6%
3-point %
43.4%
66.3%
Assist %
69.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 106.4Defence86.7 · 95.2Shooting54.7% · 59.8%3-point %34.6% · 43.4%Ball care15.3% · 16.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55
10/10/26APromitheas84-59
08/10/26HFenerbahce92-74
04/10/26HVikos103-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
13/10/26AFenerbahce80-99
11/10/26ANevezis80-76
09/10/26ABarcelona88-81
04/10/26HLietkabelis97-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %78%86%50%
Points / game84.688.770.0
Allowed / game75.076.769.0
Point differential+9.6+12.0+1.0
Avg total159.6165.4139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game85.988.284.0
Allowed / game84.085.882.6
Point differential+1.9+2.5+1.4
Avg total169.9174.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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