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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 80-103
22-32 23-18 15-26 20-27
Position#3
Record7-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#1
Record13-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game75.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 14· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT v PAO
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 77
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 77
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
67avg 77
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
60avg 77
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
84-95
84
95
-11
77avg 77
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 77
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 77
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 77
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 77
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 77
A04/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-13
19-20
18-14
14-20
23-15
18-32
21-17
15-17
14-16
20-15
15-16
26-16
18-25
21-27
17-21
26-26
18-18
25-23
15-28
26-18
17-26
19-19
21-18
24-12
26-7
20-19
26-27
29-28
18-19
29-20
21-19
23-18
31-24
22-28
26-19
23-24
27-24
19-17
14-20
167.3Avg total
85.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.381.6164.9+1.754%
Season at home (6)88.880.3169.2+8.583%
Season away (7)78.682.7161.3-4.129%
Last 10 (10)85.881.5167.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)92.281.2173.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.097.2177.2-17.20%
vs Similar (5)82.080.4162.4+1.660%
vs Weaker (19)85.279.3164.4+5.963%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-93
67
93
-26
50avg 83
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 83
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
103-74
103
74
+29
107avg 83
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
104-69
104
69
+35
104avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
126-74
126
74
+52
136avg 83
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
71avg 83
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 83
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
111-90
111
90
+21
118avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 83
H05/01
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
96-84
96
84
+12
95avg 83
H09/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
19-25
12-23
21-25
20-20
25-17
18-15
22-16
38-15
24-25
17-20
24-14
33-12
20-23
23-20
28-14
33-24
24-15
36-18
33-17
13-16
19-20
23-17
25-16
27-20
29-9
22-25
18-18
30-23
24-19
25-24
32-24
28-21
20-17
29-25
23-18
23-13
26-25
26-25
21-21
174.2Avg total
96.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.475.0169.4+19.4100%
Season at home (7)101.772.9174.6+28.9100%
Season away (6)85.877.5163.3+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)96.877.4174.2+19.490%
Last 5 (5)96.679.2175.8+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)82.685.5168.1-2.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.376.6171.9+18.795%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +6.4+6.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +6.4+6.4
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#37
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A04/01
Basket League
83.0Avg total
44.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.583.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.638.883.4+5.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.942.383.1-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)44.138.983.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.088.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.349.590.8-8.217%-
vs Similar (5)41.437.278.6+4.280%-
vs Weaker (19)43.538.682.1+4.963%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H22/12
Basket League
Bayern
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H29/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H03/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/01
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/01
Euroleague
86.9Avg total
49.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.684.2+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.737.284.9+10.475%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.383.3-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)49.037.986.9+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.836.684.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.442.784.1-1.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.437.884.2+8.679%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.3
56.2%
53.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.0
37.8%
34.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
73.3%16.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.023.2
62.7%
53.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.6
42.3%
34.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.3
67.4%
73.3%15.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWWWLLWLW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#1
+4.0
Net rating
+28.0
115.2
Offensive rating
131.8
111.2
Defensive rating
103.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
63.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.8%
3-point %
42.3%
67.3%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 131.8Defence111.2 · 103.8Shooting56.4% · 63.0%3-point %37.8% · 42.3%Ball care16.1% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 38.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AAS Karditsas83-85
28/12/24HAris102-89
21/12/24HLavrio97-86
17/12/24HBonn96-65
14/12/24AMaroussi83-81
10/12/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan84-95
07/12/24APeristeri82-89
30/11/24HPanionios75-71 OT
16/11/24APromitheas76-84
13/11/24HVEF Riga80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HPartizan96-84
05/01/25HPAOK100-81
03/01/25HVirtus Bologna111-90
29/12/24HAS Karditsas96-72
27/12/24ABayern80-69
22/12/24HAris126-74
19/12/24HBaskonia104-69
17/12/24HOlimpia Milano103-74
15/12/24ALavrio85-68
13/12/24AAnadolu Efes67-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL54%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game83.388.878.6
Allowed / game81.680.382.7
Point differential+1.7+8.5-4.1
Avg total164.9169.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.4101.785.8
Allowed / game75.072.977.5
Point differential+19.4+28.9+8.3
Avg total169.4174.6163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos13130100%94.475.0+19.4
2 Olympiacos1413193%90.474.1+16.2
3 Promitheas148657%81.783.2-1.5
4 AEK Athens137654%83.381.6+1.7
5 Panionios147750%78.176.6+1.6
6 AS Karditsas147750%78.480.1-1.8
7 PAOK147750%81.684.3-2.6
8 Peristeri145936%76.981.8-4.9
9 Lavrio134931%80.885.8-4.9
10 Maroussi1441029%75.683.4-7.8
11 Aris1441029%77.989.1-11.3
12 Kolossos Rhodes1331023%76.579.6-3.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2223152080
Panathinaikos32182627103
← all games of the day
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