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Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 89-70
17-24 27-15 21-21 24-10
Position#2
Record13-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#3
Record8-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game82.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 16· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
82avg 83
A26/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 83
H29/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
86avg 83
A02/01
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
92avg 83
A04/01
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
112-69
112
69
+43
119avg 83
H10/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
94avg 83
H12/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
W
102-101 OT
102
101
+1
95avg 83
A14/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
89avg 83
A16/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
70avg 83
A20/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
68avg 83
H24/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
23-20
20-23
23-19
23-26
25-14
16-18
18-22
22-30
27-19
25-14
16-22
30-20
25-14
17-21
28-14
23-23
27-20
34-12
20-17
23-17
29-18
21-20
16-17
24-25
27-27
22-20
22-19
25-19
26-16
23-32
14-25
16-13
27-23
15-17
21-17
19-26
19-26
18-18
171.8Avg total
90.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.174.4163.5+14.787%
Season at home (7)92.776.7169.4+16.086%
Season away (8)86.072.4158.4+13.688%
Last 10 (10)90.381.5171.8+8.880%
Last 5 (5)88.084.8172.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)81.680.6162.2+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.080.0172.9+13.095%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
67avg 77
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
60avg 77
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
84-95
84
95
-11
77avg 77
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 77
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 77
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 77
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 77
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 77
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
80-103
80
103
-23
71avg 77
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
88avg 77
H19/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
14-16
20-15
15-16
26-16
18-25
21-27
17-21
26-26
18-18
25-23
15-28
26-18
17-26
19-19
21-18
24-12
26-7
20-19
26-27
29-28
18-19
29-20
21-19
23-18
31-24
22-28
26-19
23-24
27-24
19-17
14-20
22-32
23-18
15-26
20-27
27-17
19-15
25-20
20-16
170.5Avg total
87.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.682.1165.7+1.553%
Season at home (8)88.081.6169.6+6.475%
Season away (7)78.682.7161.3-4.129%
Last 10 (10)87.383.2170.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)90.686.2176.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.597.7176.2-19.20%
vs Similar (4)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (20)85.578.7164.2+6.865%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/01
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/01
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H10/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/01
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A16/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H24/01
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
42.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.183.8+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.241.186.3+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.139.181.3+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.183.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.739.278.9+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.640.686.2+5.065%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H19/01
Basket League
85.2Avg total
45.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.282.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.739.183.8+5.659%-
Last 30 away (13)40.241.781.8-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.085.2+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.892.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.548.790.2-7.217%-
vs Similar (4)40.037.277.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker (20)43.638.281.9+5.465%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.6
57.9%
53.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.7
40.4%
34.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
73.3%16.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.2
57.9%
53.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.5
37.4%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.915.6
74.6%
73.3%15.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LLWWWWWWWW
AEK Athens
WLLWWWWLLW
#2
League position
#3
+11.7
Net rating
+4.3
121.7
Offensive rating
116.9
110.0
Defensive rating
112.6
59.0%
Effective FG%
57.2%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.4%
3-point %
37.4%
72.5%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 116.9Defence110.0 · 112.6Shooting59.0% · 57.2%3-point %40.4% · 37.4%Ball care16.6% · 15.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HFenerbahce77-87
20/01/25APanathinaikos72-78
16/01/25AReal Madrid96-86
14/01/25ABaskonia102-101 OT
12/01/25HAS Karditsas93-72
10/01/25HBayern112-69
04/01/25AAris88-77
02/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
29/12/24HLavrio87-77
26/12/24AOlimpia Milano84-83
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HPAOK91-68
12/01/25HPanathinaikos80-103
04/01/25AAS Karditsas83-85
28/12/24HAris102-89
21/12/24HLavrio97-86
17/12/24HBonn96-65
14/12/24AMaroussi83-81
10/12/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan84-95
07/12/24APeristeri82-89
30/11/24HPanionios75-71 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%86%88%
Points / game89.192.786.0
Allowed / game74.476.772.4
Point differential+14.7+16.0+13.6
Avg total163.5169.4158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%71%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%75%29%
Points / game83.688.078.6
Allowed / game82.181.682.7
Point differential+1.5+6.4-4.1
Avg total165.7169.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos16160100%93.275.3+17.9
2 Olympiacos1513287%89.174.4+14.7
3 AEK Athens158753%83.682.1+1.5
4 Promitheas168850%80.482.4-2.1
5 AS Karditsas168850%76.278.6-2.4
6 PAOK168850%81.584.7-3.2
7 Panionios157847%77.275.8+1.4
8 Peristeri167944%76.279.8-3.6
9 Lavrio1551033%81.084.5-3.5
10 Maroussi1651131%75.482.8-7.3
11 Aris1651131%77.687.2-9.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes1641225%76.479.4-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1727212489
AEK Athens2415211070
← all games of the day
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