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Aris vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 82-65
18-12 25-16 19-19 20-18
Position#7
Record7-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game85.0
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#12
Record7-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game84.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Aris v Lavrio
03 May 2025
ARI79
LAV61
10 Mar 2025
ARI82
LAV65
23 Mar 2024
ARI84
LAV60
04 Dec 2022
ARI87
LAV61
30 Oct 2021
ARI69
LAV73
06 Feb 2021
ARI89
LAV94
21 Dec 2019
ARI81
LAV70
19 Jan 2019
ARI84
LAV70
14 Feb 2018
ARI80
LAV69
26 Dec 2016
ARI98
LAV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
83avg 64
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
51-92
51
92
-41
38avg 64
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 64
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
65-106
65
106
-41
49avg 64
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
68-73
68
73
-5
55avg 64
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
82avg 64
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
77avg 64
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 64
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 64
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 64
A01/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
14-21
22-21
25-19
12-23
14-23
14-21
11-25
24-27
16-16
18-15
25-16
16-28
17-27
18-27
14-24
27-12
7-15
19-18
15-28
22-19
21-26
20-17
21-22
18-23
15-9
15-25
30-16
23-21
19-32
13-19
19-17
24-20
13-18
24-11
19-23
17-24
19-15
13-16
14-20
159.6Avg total
74.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.985.0161.9-8.137%
Season at home (9)76.878.0154.8-1.256%
Season away (10)77.191.3168.4-14.220%
Last 10 (10)74.685.0159.6-10.430%
Last 5 (5)76.679.8156.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.488.4164.8-12.124%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.582.8159.3-6.431%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
53avg 75
H15/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
81avg 75
A21/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 75
A29/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
70avg 75
H04/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
100-83
100
83
+17
98avg 75
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
64-69
64
69
-5
57avg 75
H18/01
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 75
A27/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 75
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 75
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 75
H03/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
17-25
15-18
16-22
28-29
19-18
20-29
19-21
19-23
26-23
14-25
18-16
18-22
23-21
19-26
18-23
28-23
24-24
19-15
29-21
19-10
20-26
13-17
12-16
23-20
20-21
21-24
16-21
17-17
22-17
18-17
17-18
27-24
20-22
20-21
27-25
24-27
19-19
22-18
17-25
165.2Avg total
80.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.384.4165.7-3.137%
Season at home (10)80.883.7164.5-2.940%
Season away (9)81.985.1167.0-3.233%
Last 10 (10)80.384.9165.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)78.881.0159.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.785.5162.1-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.880.8164.5+3.062%
vs Weaker (2)93.070.5163.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
ArisLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/03
Basket League
76.9Avg total
35.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.180.1-6.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.842.280.0-4.414%-
Last 30 away (16)36.243.980.1-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.576.9-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.845.182.9-7.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.840.676.4-4.823%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H15/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A29/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H04/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/01
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/03
Basket League
86.4Avg total
43.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.281.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.839.579.2+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.083.4+1.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.186.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.682.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.540.981.4-0.445%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.439.881.1+1.675%-
vs Weaker (2)44.035.079.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.4
47.3%
53.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.6
29.2%
34.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
73.3%13.1
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.2
56.6%
53.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.9
35.3%
34.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
73.3%14.2
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWLWLLLWLL
Lavrio
LWWLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#12
-13.2
Net rating
-6.9
96.7
Offensive rating
109.2
109.9
Defensive rating
116.1
45.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.2%
3-point %
35.3%
60.4%
Assist %
49.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 109.2Defence109.9 · 116.1Shooting45.7% · 55.1%3-point %29.2% · 35.3%Ball care20.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Aris   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aris wins
7
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Lavrio v Aris93-84
23/03/24Aris v Lavrio84-60
23/12/23Lavrio v Aris91-86 OT
18/03/23Lavrio v Aris81-70
04/12/22Aris v Lavrio87-61
19/03/22Lavrio v Aris68-64
30/10/21Aris v Lavrio69-73
06/02/21Aris v Lavrio89-94
09/12/20Lavrio v Aris92-71
21/12/19Aris v Lavrio81-70
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25APAOK63-75
08/02/25HPanionios80-72
05/02/25HCluj-Napoca74-89
01/02/25AMaroussi78-73
29/01/25HHamburg88-90 OT
25/01/25APeristeri68-73
22/01/25AValencia65-106
18/01/25HKolossos Rhodes83-74
15/01/25HJL Bourg51-92
11/01/25APromitheas96-106 OT
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25HAS Karditsas82-89
09/02/25HMaroussi94-92
01/02/25APAOK74-69
27/01/25APanionios80-86
18/01/25HPeristeri64-69
13/01/25AKolossos Rhodes100-83
04/01/25HPromitheas78-92
29/12/24AOlympiacos77-87
21/12/24AAEK Athens86-97
15/12/24HPanathinaikos68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL37%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game76.976.877.1
Allowed / game85.078.091.3
Point differential-8.1-1.2-14.2
Avg total161.9154.8168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Lavrio
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL37%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game81.380.881.9
Allowed / game84.483.785.1
Point differential-3.1-2.9-3.2
Avg total165.7164.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos20200100%94.276.6+17.6
2 Olympiacos2018290%88.373.2+15.1
3 AEK Athens2012860%83.881.0+2.9
4 AS Karditsas2011955%77.378.6-1.3
5 Panionios2091145%77.077.2-0.2
6 Promitheas2091145%80.282.6-2.5
7 PAOK2091145%79.283.2-4.0
8 Lavrio1971237%81.384.4-3.1
9 Aris1971237%76.985.0-8.1
10 Peristeri2071335%76.182.2-6.0
11 Kolossos Rhodes2051525%77.881.5-3.8
12 Maroussi2051525%76.783.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1825192082
Lavrio1216191865
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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