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Aris vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-90 (OT)
22-19 21-26 20-17 21-22 4-6
Position#19
Record3-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Hamburg 🏆
Position#17
Record4-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game88.5
EuropeEurocupRound 17· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2024
Meetings · Aris v Hamburg
08 Oct 2025
ARI98
HAM76
29 Jan 2025
ARI88
HAM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-126
74
126
-52
59avg 63
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 63
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 63
A02/01
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
76avg 63
H04/01
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
79-98
79
98
-19
68avg 63
A08/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
83avg 63
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
51-92
51
92
-41
38avg 63
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 63
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
65-106
65
106
-41
49avg 63
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
68-73
68
73
-5
55avg 63
A25/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
15-24
18-36
17-33
18-23
24-31
28-22
19-26
19-18
22-19
30-26
14-27
22-16
20-30
14-25
21-17
21-25
14-25
22-24
22-24
16-16
14-21
22-21
25-19
12-23
14-23
14-21
11-25
24-27
16-16
18-15
25-16
16-28
17-27
18-27
14-24
27-12
7-15
19-18
15-28
172.2Avg total
76.7Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.984.2158.2-10.319%
Season at home (7)67.375.7143.0-8.414%
Season away (9)79.190.9170.0-11.822%
Last 10 (10)76.795.5172.2-18.810%
Last 5 (5)72.690.2162.8-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.886.9162.7-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.184.2161.3-7.130%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
78-92
78
92
-14
67avg 72
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
82avg 72
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
83-104
83
104
-21
68avg 72
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
82avg 72
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 72
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 72
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 72
A15/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-69
60
69
-9
38avg 72
A17/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 72
H21/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 72
H26/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
23-20
15-21
20-21
24-22
20-25
26-27
16-17
22-30
13-15
21-37
27-22
13-15
16-19
35-15
19-31
17-30
19-27
29-19
12-14
24-19
15-24
25-18
27-23
11-23
20-23
19-11
15-20
12-15
11-16
16-22
21-16
19-29
23-18
13-16
29-14
16-21
18-18
17-10
17-17
160.5Avg total
77.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.288.5165.8-11.225%
Season at home (8)81.285.2166.5-4.050%
Season away (8)73.291.8165.0-18.50%
Last 10 (10)77.583.0160.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)73.674.6148.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.688.9165.5-12.313%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.579.1156.6-1.650%
vs Weaker (1)91.078.0169.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
ArisHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/01
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/01
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A08/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/01
Basket League
81.4Avg total
36.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.742.479.1-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.039.376.3-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)36.445.181.5-8.619%-
Last 10 (10)36.245.281.4-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.641.674.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.143.080.1-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.941.177.0-5.230%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/01
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H08/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H10/01
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A15/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A17/01
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H26/01
BBL
79.5Avg total
35.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.043.581.5-5.517%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.444.183.5-4.821%-
Last 30 away (16)36.842.979.8-6.112%-
Last 10 (10)35.643.979.5-8.30%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.275.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.946.084.9-7.113%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.441.177.6-4.714%-
vs Weaker (1)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.1
46.6%
53.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.8
30.4%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
76.0%14.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.7
51.9%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.4
28.3%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.1
73.8%
76.0%14.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLWLLLLLLL
Hamburg
WWLLWLWLLL
#19
League position
#17
-25.4
Net rating
-7.2
97.4
Offensive rating
99.9
122.9
Defensive rating
107.0
46.2%
Effective FG%
47.6%
62.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
22.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
28.3%
60.6%
Assist %
60.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 99.9Defence122.9 · 107.0Shooting46.2% · 47.6%3-point %30.4% · 28.3%Ball care22.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds33.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
12/11/24Hamburg v Aris93-69
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25APeristeri68-73
22/01/25AValencia65-106
18/01/25HKolossos Rhodes83-74
15/01/25HJL Bourg51-92
11/01/25APromitheas96-106 OT
08/01/25ACedevita Olimpija79-98
04/01/25HOlympiacos77-88
02/01/25AHapoel Jerusalem85-90
28/12/24AAEK Athens89-102
22/12/24APanathinaikos74-126
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HWurzburg68-66
21/01/25HLietkabelis84-77
17/01/25AChemnitz60-69
15/01/25ATurk Telekom65-77
10/01/25HBonn91-84
08/01/25HVenezia77-90
06/01/25ABamberg83-80
03/01/25ACluj-Napoca83-104
30/12/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-91
26/12/24ARostock78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL19%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %19%14%22%
Points / game73.967.379.1
Allowed / game84.275.790.9
Point differential-10.3-8.4-11.8
Avg total158.2143.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.281.273.2
Allowed / game88.585.291.8
Point differential-11.2-4.0-18.5
Avg total165.8166.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1715288%96.280.7+15.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1714382%83.575.1+8.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1711665%88.478.9+9.4
4 Gran Canaria1610662%78.975.7+3.2
5 Cedevita Olimpija1710759%83.281.8+1.4
6 Turk Telekom1710759%80.682.0-1.4
7 JL Bourg169756%87.281.4+5.8
8 Hapoel Jerusalem169756%83.979.1+4.8
9 Besiktas169756%85.984.7+1.2
10 Cluj-Napoca179853%89.087.8+1.2
11 BC Wolves179853%84.485.2-0.8
12 Ulm179853%87.188.5-1.5
13 Venezia179853%81.683.2-1.5
14 Buducnost168850%86.286.1+0.1
15 Joventut Badalona1661038%80.484.6-4.1
16 Trento1761135%79.585.1-5.6
17 Lietkabelis1751229%82.987.8-4.8
18 Hamburg1641225%77.288.5-11.2
19 Aris1631319%73.984.2-10.3
20 Trefl Sopot171166%76.586.8-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aris22212021488
Hamburg19261722690
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