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PAOK vs Aris Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game70.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · PAOK v Aris
21 Nov 2026
PAK v ARI
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
PAK88
ARI77
01 Mar 2025
PAK75
ARI63
15 Feb 2024
PAK74
ARI76
18 Nov 2023
PAK82
ARI76
15 Oct 2022
PAK88
ARI66
11 Dec 2021
PAK96
ARI64
13 Dec 2020
PAK75
ARI64
05 Jan 2020
PAK101
ARI84
25 Nov 2018
PAK95
ARI79
11 Nov 2017
PAK63
ARI57
03 May 2017
PAK75
ARI84
04 Feb 2017
PAK62
ARI58
13 Jun 2015
PAK62
ARI51
07 Jun 2015
PAK67
ARI60
07 Feb 2015
PAK77
ARI78
25 Jan 2014
PAK56
ARI49
09 Oct 2013
PAK63
ARI71
16 Mar 2013
PAK84
ARI72
28 Dec 2011
PAK92
ARI87
08 Jun 2011
PAK63
ARI56
01 Jun 2011
PAK59
ARI67
26 May 2011
PAK76
ARI74
05 Feb 2011
PAK79
ARI74
31 Oct 2009
PAK83
ARI48
19 Feb 2009
PAK50
ARI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 79
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 79
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 79
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 79
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#13
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 79
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 79
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 79
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#10
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-21
18-15
35-22
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
157.6Avg total
81.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.071.4149.4+6.6100%
Season at home (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)81.276.4157.6+4.880%
Last 5 (5)76.872.2149.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.890.2174.0-6.422%
vs Similar (11)83.579.9163.5+3.664%
vs Weaker (10)86.076.1162.1+9.9100%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
91avg 81
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
62avg 81
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#26
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 81
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 81
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#12
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 81
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 81
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#30
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 81
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 81
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
no box
H01/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
24-14
24-15
24-19
20-12
15-23
20-22
13-17
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
160.1Avg total
87.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.870.4154.2+13.480%
Season at home (3)87.768.7156.3+19.0100%
Season away (2)78.073.0151.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)87.572.6160.1+14.990%
Last 5 (5)90.274.4164.6+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.295.0181.2-8.820%
vs Similar (8)86.083.6169.6+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.475.1163.5+13.294%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
PAOKAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#13
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
78.1Avg total
38.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.482.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.739.684.2+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.480.0-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.578.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.043.685.6-1.644%-
vs Similar (11)41.439.981.3+1.564%-
vs Weaker (10)42.238.280.4+4.050%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/10
Basket League
San Pablo Burgos
#26
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#30
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
79.6Avg total
44.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.185.1+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.137.380.3+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.089.9-0.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.235.479.6+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.882.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.844.485.2-3.620%-
vs Similar (8)43.944.888.6-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.038.583.5+6.559%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.2%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.8
51.2%
50.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
34.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.419.1
78.3%
71.2%19.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WLWWWLWWWW
Aris
WWWWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#4
+5.7
Net rating
+15.1
100.7
Offensive rating
96.8
94.9
Defensive rating
81.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.7%
3-point %
35.8%
55.6%
Assist %
72.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 96.8Defence94.9 · 81.7Shooting53.3% · 52.3%3-point %31.7% · 35.8%Ball care15.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ PAOK   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
PAOK wins
5
Aris wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26PAOK v Aris88-77
01/11/25Aris v PAOK73-78
01/03/25PAOK v Aris75-63
01/12/24Aris v PAOK88-82
15/02/24PAOK v Aris74-76
11/02/24Aris v PAOK77-63
18/11/23PAOK v Aris82-76
22/01/23Aris v PAOK77-70
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85
30/09/26HManresa93-78
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80
03/10/26AAS Karditsas68-74
29/09/26ALe Mans87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.075.579.7
Allowed / game71.467.574.0
Point differential+6.6+8.0+5.7
Avg total149.4143.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game83.887.778.0
Allowed / game70.468.773.0
Point differential+13.4+19.0+5.0
Avg total154.2156.3151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%86.465.2+21.2
2 PAOK550100%78.071.4+6.6
3 Panathinaikos54180%90.274.6+15.6
4 Aris54180%83.870.4+13.4
5 AS Karditsas53260%71.471.2+0.2
6 Peristeri53260%81.088.8-7.8
7 Lefkadas52340%78.880.4-1.6
8 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.682.6-2.0
9 AEK Athens52340%75.879.4-3.6
10 Iraklis51420%73.475.8-2.4
11 Maroussi51420%74.881.2-6.4
12 Mykonos51420%75.482.4-7.0
13 Vikos51420%76.286.2-10.0
14 Promitheas51420%69.685.8-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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