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Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 93-83
20-10 31-21 21-27 21-25
Position#2
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 1· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Panathinaikos v PAOK
11 Apr 2027
PAO v PAK
upcoming
28 May 2026
PAO114
PAK102
05 Oct 2025
PAO93
PAK83
05 Jan 2025
PAO100
PAK81
16 May 2024
PAO84
PAK66
10 Dec 2023
PAO97
PAK85
27 Nov 2022
PAO87
PAK63
26 Mar 2022
PAO77
PAK67
08 Nov 2020
PAO96
PAK67
27 Jan 2020
PAO117
PAK79
07 Apr 2019
PAO89
PAK51
26 May 2018
PAO84
PAK67
24 May 2018
PAO92
PAK79
15 Oct 2017
PAO89
PAK74
13 Apr 2017
PAO102
PAK58
05 Oct 2016
PAO88
PAK69
28 May 2015
PAO75
PAK61
26 May 2015
PAO83
PAK58
08 Mar 2015
PAO83
PAK69
15 May 2014
PAO83
PAK77
13 May 2014
PAO89
PAK83
29 Dec 2013
PAO81
PAK61
20 Jan 2013
PAO71
PAK61
03 Mar 2012
PAO85
PAK65
23 May 2011
PAO105
PAK65
19 May 2011
PAO95
PAK52
23 Oct 2010
PAO108
PAK61
06 Dec 2009
PAO83
PAK78
25 Apr 2009
PAO97
PAK54
20 Dec 2008
PAO107
PAK97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
101-69
101
69
+32
107avg 87
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
97-59
97
59
+38
101avg 87
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 87
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
94avg 87
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 87
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
80avg 87
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 87
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 87
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 87
H30/09
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
83avg 87
H03/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
29-26
19-13
24-11
24-18
18-20
31-13
24-8
14-22
19-16
15-17
28-27
20-33
26-24
18-18
29-22
20-19
22-15
16-16
22-18
18-23
13-18
24-25
28-25
28-30
17-14
22-34
21-21
15-19
23-23
14-22
19-21
23-22
24-19
21-20
19-18
17-26
28-25
24-24
27-28
170.4Avg total
87.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.283.2170.4+4.040%
Last 5 (5)85.091.4176.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)84.984.9169.8+0.141%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.577.1170.5+16.4100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 74
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 74
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 74
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 74
H23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
75avg 74
A27/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 74
A03/05
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 74
H07/05
Basket League
Studentski Centar
#48
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 74
H19/09
Champions League
Bursaspor
#35
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 74
A21/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
16-24
13-25
25-15
14-14
18-29
16-27
28-19
27-17
14-16
30-18
23-18
12-22
19-16
19-14
15-20
24-24
15-25
24-12
21-21
9-21
16-19
26-18
27-20
17-36
23-11
18-17
18-26
22-23
23-20
28-14
21-21
19-15
26-16
18-14
16-22
9-30
17-24
20-20
27-18
163.2Avg total
81.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.681.6163.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)81.483.2164.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.686.4167.0-5.929%
vs Similar (13)81.180.1161.2+1.054%
vs Weaker (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
PanathinaikosPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H12/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A25/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H30/09
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H03/10
Euroleague
85.8Avg total
42.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.884.2+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.939.884.7+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.983.6-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.185.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.885.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)40.742.182.8-1.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.839.286.0+7.785%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A27/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/05
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/05
Basket League
Studentski Centar
#48
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/09
Champions League
Bursaspor
#35
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A21/09
Champions League
78.5Avg total
36.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.478.9-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.979.8+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)35.742.277.9-6.521%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.878.5-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.079.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.943.079.9-6.121%-
vs Similar (13)39.939.279.1+0.854%-
vs Weaker (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.1
58.4%
54.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.4
38.4%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.8
79.8%
74.4%15.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.6
47.2%
54.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.7
34.2%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.218.1
74.8%
74.4%18.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWLLLWLLWW
PAOK
LWWLLWLWLW
#2
League position
#3
+5.3
Net rating
-0.8
120.7
Offensive rating
107.8
115.4
Defensive rating
108.6
58.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.4%
3-point %
34.2%
65.9%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 107.8Defence115.4 · 108.6Shooting58.1% · 49.0%3-point %38.4% · 34.2%Ball care16.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Panathinaikos wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Panathinaikos v PAOK100-81
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
29/09/23PAOK v Panathinaikos64-77
13/03/23PAOK v Panathinaikos81-73
27/11/22Panathinaikos v PAOK87-63
26/03/22Panathinaikos v PAOK77-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HBarcelona96-103
30/09/25HBayern87-79
08/06/25AOlympiacos71-85
06/06/25HOlympiacos88-99
01/06/25AOlympiacos83-91
30/05/25HOlympiacos80-68
25/05/25AOlympiacos93-97
23/05/25AFenerbahce76-82
14/05/25APromitheas97-59
12/05/25HPromitheas101-69
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/25ABursaspor73-92
19/09/25HStudentski Centar79-67
07/05/25HPanionios94-78
03/05/25AAS Karditsas76-90
27/04/25AAEK Athens85-89 OT
23/04/25HBilbao84-82
16/04/25ABilbao65-72
12/04/25HAEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AAEK Athens76-89
02/04/25ACholet90-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Peristeri110100%87.061.0+26.0
2 Olympiacos110100%100.081.0+19.0
3 AS Karditsas110100%91.077.0+14.0
4 Iraklis110100%90.079.0+11.0
5 AEK Athens110100%87.085.0+2.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes1010%85.087.0-2.0
7 Promitheas1010%79.090.0-11.0
8 Aris1010%77.091.0-14.0
9 Maroussi1010%81.0100.0-19.0
10 Panionios1010%61.087.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2031212193
PAOK1021272583
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