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Paris vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 72-63
22-14 24-17 14-8 12-24
Position#9
Record18-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game86.3
Paris 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record5-28
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game91.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Adidas Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
63-94
63
94
-31
66avg 89
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
72avg 89
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 89
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
83avg 89
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
96avg 89
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
100-101
100
101
-1
98avg 89
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-98
101
98
+3
100avg 89
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
109-66
109
66
+43
130avg 89
H30/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
L
104-105
104
105
-1
97avg 89
A03/04
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
W
106-103
106
103
+3
113avg 89
H06/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
19-21
13-22
12-28
22-14
25-17
14-29
20-23
32-24
19-22
25-13
23-32
22-18
26-19
28-30
16-12
17-17
18-24
26-20
26-18
24-17
27-27
33-27
16-30
33-23
23-25
30-21
15-29
26-13
30-14
29-22
24-17
28-23
25-30
27-21
24-31
31-39
27-16
23-19
25-29
184.1Avg total
94.2Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.986.3173.2+0.655%
Season at home (16)82.882.6165.4+0.262%
Season away (17)90.889.8180.5+1.047%
Last 10 (10)94.289.9184.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)104.094.6198.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
vs Similar (15)88.190.1178.2-1.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.981.8176.8+13.192%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
L
90-101 OT
90
101
-11
83avg 77
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
97-90
97
90
+7
91avg 77
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
108-73
108
73
+35
107avg 77
A16/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 77
A21/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
80avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
70avg 77
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
64-108
64
108
-44
42avg 77
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 77
A31/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
92-100
92
100
-8
91avg 77
H04/04
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
W
83-58
83
58
+25
83avg 77
H06/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
33-20
13-21
24-28
26-24
24-22
25-23
22-21
28-23
30-18
23-15
27-17
19-23
16-23
29-20
17-25
19-27
23-17
15-18
23-22
14-13
20-27
22-21
15-24
15-27
18-35
11-25
20-21
21-19
23-28
20-21
22-22
17-36
29-25
27-19
19-20
19-7
25-22
26-16
13-13
173.2Avg total
85.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.291.9171.0-12.715%
Season at home (17)81.491.8173.2-10.518%
Season away (16)76.891.9168.8-15.112%
Last 10 (10)85.288.0173.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)79.288.2167.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.993.2172.1-14.313%
vs Similar (4)93.088.5181.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (11)84.179.1163.2+5.055%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
ParisAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A25/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A28/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H30/03
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A03/04
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H06/04
LNB
91.9Avg total
49.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.543.590.0+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.142.989.0+3.256%-
Last 30 away (12)47.044.491.4+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)49.342.691.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)54.845.4100.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.048.079.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (15)45.343.588.9+1.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.843.692.4+5.262%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H13/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A16/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
33-62
33
62
-29
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A31/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H04/04
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
88.8Avg total
43.5Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.484.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.544.486.9-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.542.583.0-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)43.545.388.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.888.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.547.385.8-8.97%-
vs Similar (4)46.240.887.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker (11)43.739.082.7+4.764%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.0
55.7%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.213.0
44.5%
36.2%39.0
🏀 Free throws17.414.0
80.5%
78.0%14.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.9
55.0%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.6
35.0%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
78.0%15.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLWWLWWWLL
Alba Berlin
WLLLLLLWWL
#9
League position
#18
+5.2
Net rating
-3.2
124.4
Offensive rating
109.6
119.2
Defensive rating
112.8
60.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.4%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
44.5%
3-point %
35.0%
58.2%
Assist %
70.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence124.4 · 109.6Defence119.2 · 112.8Shooting60.7% · 53.9%3-point %44.5% · 35.0%Ball care16.2% · 20.4%Off. rebounds30.8% · 33.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Paris   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Alba Berlin v Paris83-92
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HLe Mans106-103
03/04/25AReal Madrid104-105
30/03/25HGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
28/03/25APanathinaikos101-98
25/03/25AFenerbahce100-101
21/03/25AStrasbourg87-79
18/03/25HOlimpia Milano92-79
15/03/25HJL Bourg99-91
13/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-83
09/03/25AMonaco63-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HVechta83-58
04/04/25HOlympiacos92-100
31/03/25AHeidelberg86-90
28/03/25HVirtus Bologna64-108
25/03/25APartizan71-85
23/03/25HWurzburg80-84
21/03/25APanathinaikos81-91
16/03/25ABasketball Braunschweig108-73
13/03/25HBaskonia97-90
09/03/25AUlm90-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %55%62%47%
Points / game86.982.890.8
Allowed / game86.382.689.8
Point differential+0.6+0.2+1.0
Avg total173.2165.4180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)75% (8)14% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL15%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %15%18%12%
Points / game79.281.476.8
Allowed / game91.991.891.9
Point differential-12.7-10.5-15.1
Avg total171.0173.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%86.981.8+5.1
2 Fenerbahce34231168%83.281.2+2.0
3 Panathinaikos33211264%87.783.2+4.5
4 Monaco34211362%86.382.9+3.4
5 Real Madrid34201459%85.182.7+2.4
6 Anadolu Efes33191458%86.882.4+4.4
7 Barcelona33191458%88.084.3+3.7
8 Bayern34191556%87.287.8-0.6
9 Crvena zvezda33181555%82.180.2+1.9
10 Paris33181555%86.986.3+0.6
11 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.486.7-1.2
12 Partizan34161847%81.880.1+1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33151845%77.478.7-1.3
14 Baskonia34142041%82.683.6-1.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3392427%79.083.5-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3352815%79.291.9-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2224141272
Alba Berlin141782463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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