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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 101-90 (OT)
17-16 20-33 21-13 28-24 15-4
Position#2
Record14-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game78.9
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.3
GermanyBBLRound 23· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 79
A14/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
72avg 79
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 79
H22/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 79
H25/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 79
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 79
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 79
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 79
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 79
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
111-75
111
75
+36
104avg 79
H28/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
18-18
22-22
21-21
21-27
18-23
23-18
27-30
16-27
25-29
27-15
14-14
20-17
21-22
19-15
24-21
23-24
11-20
21-19
26-22
12-22
16-19
21-20
22-31
21-29
29-20
22-16
18-32
22-16
16-20
29-11
25-19
26-15
21-23
27-11
17-23
11-18
34-17
32-21
34-19
169.3Avg total
86.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.278.9165.2+7.370%
Season at home (10)86.071.3157.3+14.790%
Season away (10)86.586.5173.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)86.283.1169.3+3.140%
Last 5 (5)91.080.4171.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.691.8183.3-0.242%
vs Weaker (14)86.975.8162.6+11.179%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
L
92-97
92
97
-5
92avg 77
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 77
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
86-99 OT
86
99
-13
80avg 77
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
53-73
53
73
-20
46avg 77
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 77
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
94avg 77
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 77
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
63avg 77
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 77
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 77
H07/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-18
35-28
17-29
19-22
27-26
24-15
23-24
17-17
24-21
15-24
24-18
12-25
10-12
15-18
16-18
13-15
22-25
20-19
16-18
31-18
23-16
17-22
21-21
17-20
19-25
23-11
19-15
21-24
14-24
20-20
18-30
18-16
21-18
23-25
24-18
20-18
19-23
25-25
21-33
166.4Avg total
80.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.282.3167.6+3.050%
Season at home (10)84.777.0161.7+7.770%
Season away (10)85.887.6173.4-1.830%
Last 10 (10)80.985.5166.4-4.640%
Last 5 (5)82.884.4167.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.491.2169.6-12.811%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.084.7162.7-6.733%
vs Weaker (9)87.280.1167.3+7.167%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A14/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H22/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H25/01
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
BBL
82.2Avg total
39.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.084.9+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.439.483.8+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.145.186.1-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.182.2-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.881.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.545.586.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.446.088.4-3.633%-
vs Weaker (14)43.937.681.6+6.371%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/03
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
38.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.082.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.843.882.6-5.029%-
Last 30 away (16)40.142.282.4-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.579.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.245.683.7-7.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.741.773.3-10.033%-
vs Weaker (9)44.838.283.0+6.678%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.7
53.4%
52.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
33.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.917.8
71.5%
73.5%17.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.4
57.0%
52.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.7
30.3%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
73.5%12.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWLLLWLLL
Alba Berlin
LWLWWLLLWL
#2
League position
#6
+4.1
Net rating
-5.9
112.1
Offensive rating
105.0
108.0
Defensive rating
110.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
20.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.7%
3-point %
30.3%
57.0%
Assist %
71.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 105.0Defence108.0 · 110.9Shooting54.1% · 52.5%3-point %36.7% · 30.3%Ball care18.8% · 20.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Alba Berlin v Ulm96-88
17/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm79-87
04/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm98-88
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
18/12/22Ulm v Alba Berlin83-110
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig111-75
13/02/25AGottingen91-72
08/02/25HSyntainics MBC92-66
05/02/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv90-97
02/02/25ALudwigsburg71-92
28/01/25ABahcesehir Kol.81-85
25/01/25HBonn84-75
22/01/25HBuducnost82-85
19/01/25ABasketball Braunschweig89-98
14/01/25ATrento71-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HBarcelona85-99
03/03/25HBamberg86-77
28/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-98
12/02/25ARostock78-71
09/02/25HHamburg92-77
06/02/25HCrvena zvezda71-77
04/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas53-73
02/02/25ABayern86-99 OT
30/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-87
27/01/25AOldenburg92-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game86.286.086.5
Allowed / game78.971.386.5
Point differential+7.3+14.7+0.0
Avg total165.2157.3173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%70%30%
Points / game85.284.785.8
Allowed / game82.377.087.6
Point differential+3.0+7.7-1.8
Avg total167.6161.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1914574%82.374.7+7.6
2 Ulm2014670%86.278.9+7.3
3 Basketball Braunschweig2214864%83.981.1+2.8
4 Vechta2113862%83.583.0+0.5
5 Heidelberg1911858%78.478.8-0.4
6 Chemnitz2112957%79.080.3-1.3
7 Ludwigsburg21111052%75.372.1+3.2
8 Wurzburg21111052%83.280.8+2.4
9 Syntainics MBC21111052%84.884.9-0.1
10 Alba Berlin20101050%85.282.3+3.0
11 Rostock21101148%81.081.1-0.1
12 Oldenburg21101148%89.589.7-0.2
13 Hamburg21101148%79.881.1-1.3
14 Bonn2191243%82.983.4-0.6
15 Bamberg2191243%83.083.8-0.9
16 Frankfurt2051525%76.383.5-7.2
17 Gottingen201195%80.795.3-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ulm1720212815101
Alba Berlin16331324490
← all games of the day
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